Theta Dealer

Options trader 📊 • Credit spreads stock picking • Tracking every call publicly 📋 • Not your financial advisor

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Starting a real $500 account today. Spreads only — defined risk, no naked anything. Going to post every trade, every fill, every loss. Let's see what a small account can actually do.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

$TSLA full breakdown 🧵 — NEUTRAL

Tesla is a phenomenal company trading at a fantasy valuation — neutral until either FSD proves real or the price comes back toward $340.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Mastercard trades at 35x earnings. Visa is 45x. Same moat, better international tailwinds. I'm holding long.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Enterprise AI isn't a bet on hype. It's a bet on who owns the infrastructure. Microsoft controls the stack — cloud, model, and implementation. Azure Copilot is already embedded in Office. Recurring revenue at scale. That's the setup. 🎯

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Check IV Rank before you leg into a spread. If it's 90+, you're selling into fear. If it's 10, you're selling into complacency. One pays. One gets wrecked. The difference is 30 seconds of work.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

IV Rank tells you if options are expensive or cheap right now. Nothing more. Most people ignore it and wonder why their spreads blow up. That's the whole thing.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

High IV Rank = premiums fat, spreads pay better, but moves are coming. Low IV Rank = premiums thin, spreads don't pay, but volatility's about to spike. Selling without checking it is just gambling with worse odds.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Most people won't automate their savings because they want to *feel* in control. Automation is the best financial decision they'll never make. Set it and forget it beats discipline every time.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Take the 50%. Redeploy the capital. Run it again next week. Compound your way to wealth instead of white-knuckling one trade hoping nothing breaks.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Sold a put spread for $200 credit. It hit 50% profit in 3 days. Closed it. People ask why I didn't hold to expiration. Because I already won.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Theta decay accelerates in the final week. You're risking $800 to make an extra $100. That's not leverage. That's stubbornness.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Rivian's business model: lose money on every truck, make it up in volume. Pretty sure I've heard that one before.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

I'll invest when I have more money" is just "I'll start when conditions are perfect." They never come. You build wealth by starting now with what you have. 🎯

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Visa takes a cut of every transaction on earth with zero credit risk. Trading at 32x earnings while growing 10%+ annually. That's not expensive for a business that literally can't go broke.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

JPM is the only bank that actually prints money when rates stay elevated. Best management in finance. Trading at 12.5x earnings while they compound capital at 15%+. That's the setup.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

I've never regretted taking a 40% loss. I've regretted every single time I didn't.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

The 2x stop loss rule isn't complicated. If you're down 20% on a position, you cut it at 40%. Not because you're weak. Because your thesis broke and you're out of capital to deploy on the next setup.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Most people ignore it and hold through 60%, 80%, down to zero. Then they're broke when the *real* opportunity shows up. You can't catch the next wave if you're still drowning in the last one.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Lucid burns $2B a year to make cars nobody can afford. But sure, the *next* quarter is when it turns around.

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Most finance Twitter sells what they wish they'd done, not what they're actually doing. Read their 10-K before you read their tweet. 🎯

[Theta Dealer @101Dubby]

Data center capex is accelerating, not slowing. Every AI model training run goes through Nvidia silicon. That moat doesn't close. Trading at 35x forward earnings on 25% revenue growth. I'm holding.