Leviathan Alpha

Fundamental Analysis and Valuation
Views are personal, NFA

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Welcome to Leviathan Alpha.

This account exists for one reason: find alpha, deliver insight. Investment theses and market analysis, built on fundamental analysis and valuation — not noise, not hype.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@TheBigBerbowski I’d add “DO YOU KNOW WHAT HAPPENS WHEN (…), RIGHT?”

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@Mr_Derivatives @FLASTOCKWATCH Thank you very much for the support!

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@Mapago9 $OMDA AND $NRXS, you will thank me later. NFA

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Here come the Elliott Wave guys…

Completely ignoring backlog, demand and fundamentals. 🤦‍♂️

$NBIS

[FibFinders @FIBFINDERSX]

Sorry, but this needs to be said.

The hype surrounding $NBIS on social media has been ridiculous.

Countless self proclaimed "investors" have been pushing aggressive buy calls without providing meaningful price analysis, fundamental data or proper risk assessments.

This is extremely dangerous for inexperienced investors who trust these so called "professionals".

A full fundamental and technical analysis of $NBIS was published previously, highlighting the significant downside risks: https://t.co/gTFoCiYAhr

Since the initial warning, $NBIS has declined nearly 40%.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, price appears to be developing a larger Wave A decline, potentially forming part of a broader corrective structure targeting the $93.71–$45.49 support zone.

Unless buyers establish a convincing 5 wave impulsive advance, this remains the preferred outlook.

Any meaningful changes to this projection will be communicated promptly.

Investing requires analysis, discipline, and risk management, not blind confidence fueled by social media hype!

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

$BE is showing what scaling energy infrastructure looks like. 🚀

+138% revenue growth, a massive FY26 guidance raise and an S&P 500
inclusion.

The AI power demand thesis keeps getting stronger. ⚡️

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

BLOOM ENERGY $BE Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

🔹 Revenue: $1.24B (Est. $1.05B) 🟢; +138.1% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.94 (Est. $0.68) 🟢
🔹 GAAP EPS: $0.78
🔹 Adj. Gross Margin: 34.5%; +412 bps YoY

Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $4.40B-$4.60B (Est. $4.1B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EPS: $3.10-$3.40 (Est. $2.73) 🟢
🔹 Adj. Gross Margin: ~34%
🔹 Adj. Oper Income: $960M-$1.03B

Announcements:
🔹 Added to the S&P 500

Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Adj. Oper Income: $285.7M (Est. $214M) 🟢
🔹 GAAP Oper Income: $225.4M
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: -$27.1M
🔹 GAAP Gross Margin: 33.8%; +453 bps YoY

Comments:
🔸 “Bloom is leading that transformation.”

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Insider trading?

[TOGI @ShaneStoffer]

For everyone asking, here is my full $mrna dream thesis. all was recorded on the next YT vid but for u twitter folk

The dates could be off but around these days

October 4th: I wanted to speed up my stock video challenge so decided to dip my toes into options, scrolling thru my port everyone was turbo bullish on every stock except one. $MRNA, everyone and their mother could only talk about how over valued it is and how good of a short it was. All I know in stocks is that ppl complain non stop about how they got fucked. It sounds like everyone loses, and if everyone is losing, I should just fade them and it’s a lock?

Oct 5th: I decided to buy some options, far out the money decently far out strike

That night I had a dream that Moderna cured cancer and wicked to $275 in one day, my portfolio was worth $11,000,000

October 6th: they didn’t cure cancer and the stock went down so i decided to load more in

October 8th: everyone on twitter called me the biggest idiot ever, that I should go short, this gave me turbo confidence that the stock had to go up cuz again, most ppl talk like geniuses behind their -80% all time port

At this point I’m in for $250,000 on my initial 50k position

Then I started asking Claude, “what would it take to get $MRNA to $275 in the next two months????”

Claude told me that they had a big catalyst coming some meeting on the 24th reviewing their cancer trials

I figured I’d bet on the side of my dream that they would cure cancer and it would rip

Fast forward 14 days or so and the stock had ripped like 25+% all the way to my initial dreams target and it made me think, everyone knows this meeting is coming, if this news comes in anything other than 10x expectations, it’s fully priced in. The idea was that Monday it would dump regardless of how good their news was. Claude confirmed my idea. I texted my homie Tuesday night the plan to let it ride till Friday then at close flip to full port short

Everything was according to plan until Wednesday close the stock ran up 5% then fell off a cliff last 10 mins. I was working so I couldn’t do anything but I texted my friend that was the top yesterday night.

Last night I had a dream that $mrna ripped +22% today

I thought it was a sign from God that I was wrong about the top being in and that I should trust my original swap end of market on Friday plan

I checked my phone and it was giga down. My port down 200k almost had me fully in a panic, thinking, maybe the sell on the news was so obvious…. That they are selling days before the news

I got too scared that the dump would happen so soon that I’d have no capital left to flip the port short come Friday. So I decided to take the loss and at least have $500k that I can try to catch the sell on the news dump.

Went full port short under the guise that even if today is another 5% green, at least I’ll be in the position I had been seeking for a few days, confidently short going into the 24th

And the rest, is some giga stroke of luck history, the news broke early somehow????

The most likely outcome for all traders would be what I was destined for. Rock solid thesis blown up by some unlucky bs.

Lucky my panic this morning got to my head enough to break my original game plan

In hindsight, this entire saga was beyond obvious

Thanks for playing!

NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. IM JUST LEARNING AND GAMBLING. BUT ALSO PUT SUM RESPECT ON THE THESIS.

I got full receipts of every concept along the way, to be posted in the next yt vid. (After I full port SPY 0DTE

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@ursraja @LongGameEquity Honestly, I think $10–12 is realistic if execution improves, but I wouldn’t rule out higher if adoption and reimbursement translate into meaningful revenue growth.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

AI is becoming more than a chip story. Compute, power and cooling could be the next major bottlenecks. ⚡️

SpaceX’s latest results and Musk’s comments reinforce the bull case for AI infrastructure.

$NVDA $NBIS $CRWV $SPCX

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@jbfinancebull 700k at least, the target is always 1M.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@ursraja @LongGameEquity 6,4$ because i have been adding recently

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@StokPix Indeed my friend, we have to trust the process.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Added more to my $OMDA position today. 📈

I’m continuing to build my position as I see long-term potential in digital healthcare and Omada’s ability to turn strong growth into sustainable profitability.

$OMDA

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

$TSLA Your local freeway in 2028 be like:

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@StokPix Pray that you don’t run out of battery in mid air.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Very cool, no more traffic jams for $TSLA drivers.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Elon Musk's Tesla $TSLA officially unveils new flying Roadster.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

Nice release date 😂

[Porsche @Porsche]

Mission S.

Authentic. Consistent. Timeless.

A glimpse into the future - shaped by our heritage. Mid-engine architecture. A focus on the driver and the driving experience.

Call it a love letter.

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

@BrnMeetsWlth Now, he will be shorting the entire country 🫣

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

If that was true, it would be hilarious 😂

[Options selling with Christian @optionscjp]

Michael Burry closed all his ai shorts last week btw😂

Before this crash

[Leviathan Alpha @1Leviathanalpha]

A must-read for anyone following the markets right now.

Excellent analysis, absolutely worth your time.

Go give it a read. 👇

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

https://t.co/WahTIU665I