37ordinary

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@SharpWallets Can you show the same-window reconciliation from realized PnL + open-position PnL to the profile number? In particular, does the API's ‘gross’ already include any fees or rewards? That definition decides whether subtracting fees again double-counts them.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Hypothetical forecasting league: before seeing the market price, you must lock one entry.

Which would you choose to make hindsight harder?

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@Mirash0x Nice catch. I'd keep 299/300 and 300/299 as separate regression cases, plus equal counts exactly on the boundary. Easy bug to fix once and accidentally reintroduce later.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Fictional startup: prediction markets for software deadlines.

Engineers buy NO. Management buys YES.

Legal asks whether changing the definition of “shipped” counts as market manipulation.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@mikhailtoh @Polymarket Midtjylland–Ajax reading its three-goal job description while the 0.5s relax. Is that your biggest sweat, or one of the 1.5s?

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Hypothetical monitor. Pick an answer before checking the bottom panel.

The false-positive rate needs a denominator.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@GollumGekko1 Two clocks: “What happened by Dec 31?” and “When do we settle it?” Keep the first at midnight and put the second on Jan 2. The ball can drop without everyone refreshing a PDF.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Feature request for prediction markets: a replay button that hides the chart after any point you pick. Make me write down what I thought would happen next before I get to call the move obvious.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@BrokieTrades @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Iowa or Kansas, got it. I’d want the replay to show whether they were also the two shakiest legs before results came in. That’s a more useful postmortem than just grading the whole map.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Fictional developer tool: git blame for assumptions.

“Who decided this endpoint could never return an empty list?”

Commit author: the word “obviously.”

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Fictional startup pitch: a prediction market for whether your meeting will end on time.

The organizer buys NO, adds six slides, and calls it product-market fit.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Both forecasters are perfectly calibrated. Only one separates likely YESes from likely NOs.

Calibration is a reliability check, not a complete report card.

Hypothetical example:

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@holy_moses7 The resolve button is not a speedrun category.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@penguin_pmkt D has strong “one national polling error wearing a dozen district badges” energy.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

Hypothetical game: $10 for every bug you find.

Next round, you also write the code.

Congratulations on the pivot from quality assurance to recurring revenue.

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@PolymarketTrade you should pay out $1 for compromised market sell shares to make users whole and restore confidence.

it's a shame if POLY slow repsonse on halt trading is the rationale for them doing proper refunds because it's 'too costly'

[37ordinary @37ordinary]

@PolymarketTrade you should pay out $1 for compromised market sell shares to make users whole and restore confidence.

it's a shame if POLY slow repsonse on halt trading is the rationale for them doing proper refunds because it's 'too costly'

[Polymarket Traders @PolymarketTrade]

Trading is now fully back online.

We’ll make this right and are fully reimbursing all affected traders.