An amazing admission. This has to be one of the worst election performances perhaps ever relative to the means at the disposal of the party (thousands (?) of canvassers and Elon's backing). Restore is just an extremely unlikable party.
Thoughts on the Makerfield by-election result:
Burnham was smart choosing a seat which has only voted Labour in general elections for a century. But nobody expected this margin of victory.
Reading Makerfield as a national bellwether is a mistake. Local residual intergenerational loyalty to Labour is stronger than anyone expected. Gogglebox Britain's (average disengaged voter) grasp of economic realities much weaker than our dire circumstances demands.
Reform underperformed, despite their vote share increasing by 3 percent (2893) since 2024. Third by-election in a row where they underperformed despite favourable demographics and a dominant national poll lead. Insisting they will inevitably form the next government is now less persuasive.
Reform can't blame the loss on vote-splitting. Reform ran a negative campaign ("keep Burnham out"), and, unfortunately, the media attacks on Rob Kenyon for crass old jokes stuck. Will have to change tactics for next time to recover.
Restore result in line with Survation polling, but has disappointed supporters. Possible that more Restore canvassers were sent to the constituency than votes gained.
A weak candidate, and lack of engagement with local hustings and national media will be blamed.
The result has weakened their bargaining power: Restore are less likely to pressure Reform, meaning Farage may grow complacent and to soften on policy again. (Frustrating Zia Yusuf to no end.)
Will be to the detriment of anyone who wants problems fixed more than "their team" to win. (Me included.) Restore can only regain that leverage with a much better result in a future by-election.
Everyone who pays attention to politics and knows what the problems are will be feeling disillusioned today.
We're supposed to find John Travolta in some way admirable as he shucks and jives across the dance floor while thrusting his member at the camera. As far as I can discern this is all the film is about