不死薬

No conquest without labor

[地図とかデザインとか @chizutodesign]

主要神社９社（香取・鹿島・氷川・浅間・住吉・春日・白山・諏訪・八幡）の全国分布をまとめました⛩️

神社によって分布の地域性があるのが興味深いです。
薄いグレーはOpenStreetMapに登録された全神社（約4万社）です。

[Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) @teortaxesTex]

A thread with a good collection of hard/private/OOD evals where the Western frontier is comprehensively dunking on Chinese/open source models and it's not remotely close.

[Masayuki Tsuda @MasayukiTsuda2]

雨が降っているときの音と水面に広がる波紋の両方を表現したロス・マクスウィーニーの木製オートマタ 📹ross.mcsweeney

[高橋としゆき @gautt]

念願の一発中央揃えが実装されて地味に嬉しい

[Ironlily @IronlilyS]

You know what? People always praise knights or samurais, and they're all nobles. We should promo some ordinary soldiers!

If you see this post, post a soldier!!

[Franek @Franrekk]

Turns out negotiating with terrorists is actually fine

[PHALANX @PHALANX_LTD]

Race to Rabaul is our logistics-focused game on the Pacific Theatre of WW2, made by legendary designer Volko Ruhnke.

You will need to manage supply lines over land and sea, shifting transports, men, food and ammo to where they are needed.

The beautiful and visually clear point-to-point map shows your pathways to victory - one island at a time.

Check out the game here:
https://t.co/aJXFvaFaAC

[Tatsuya Tanaka 田中達也 @tanaka_tatsuya]

学校ダイスき

[そばかわ @sobakawan]

Tokyo自由系*ガール

[ホムラ @1212hommeg]

経済産業省の忘年会の余興の手品で
「ここにマジックがあります」と手品師が言った瞬間
「それはマッキーです」
「もしくは油性ペンです」と審査官から怒涛のツッコミが入ったのは知ってる
商標に厳しすぎ

[Sebastian Bae @SebastianBae]

🔥 Just because a model has a "physics engine" does NOT make it a good wargaming engine. Physics engines can be helpful if done right, but fundamentally, a game is about how player decisions are informed, engaged with, and implemented within the game - at the right granularity.🧵

[Justin Case @justincbzz]

Syria is giving us so much justice porn it's on a generational level. How rarely does this truly happen.

[Michael Pettis @michaelxpettis]

David Ricardo showed in 1817 that if each country produces according to its comparative advantage, global output is maximized. Many analysts argue today that China's trade surplus reflects its comparative advantage in producing everything, and so its trade surplus is good for global growth.

But that's not true, and that is certainly not what Ricardo showed. China has a competitive advantage, not a comparative advantage, largely for the same reason that it has such weak consumption – large direct and indirect transfers from the household sector, in the form of an undervalued currency, cheap credit, restricted labor, overspending on infrastructure, land and other subsidies, etc., subsidize production across the board at the expense of household consumption.

The point is that these lower production costs give China a competitive advantage in producing most things, but this not the same as a comparative advantage. The former means you are able to produce more cheaply than your trade partners. The latter means that the relative "cheapness" with which you produce some goods is greater than the relative "cheapness" with which you produce other goods, so that you can only have a comparative advantage in roughly half the goods you produce. This is because comparative advantage is about relative costs, not absolute costs, and while you can have lower absolute costs in most or even all things, by definition you cannot have lower relative costs in more than half of what you produce.

Ricardo's example shows this very clearly. In his model. Portugal produced both textiles and wine more cheaply than England, which meant that Portugal had a competitive advantage in all goods, and England a competitive disadvantage in all goods.

But Ricardo did not argue that the world would benefit if Portugal produced both wine and textiles, with England producing neither and acquiring them by running trade deficits with Portugal. Instead he showed that because the relative "cheapness" with which Portugal produced wine was greater than the relative "cheapness" with which it produced textiles, Portugal only had a comparative advantage in producing wine, and England had a comparative advantage in producing textiles.

He showed that if Portugal only produced wine, and exported some of it to England to buy textiles, and if England only produced textiles, and exported some of it to Portugal to buy wine, trade would be balanced and total output would be maximized even with Portugal's competitive advantage in both.

If you do the math in Ricardo's model, you quickly see that global output is maximized only when global trade is balanced. For global production to be maximized, countries should not be net exporters of all goods in which they have a competitive advantage. They should be net exporters only of those goods in which they have a comparative advantage, and they should use the proceeds of those export revenues to import those goods in which they have a comparative disadvantage.

Once you allow trade to become persistently unbalanced, you run into the problem that Keynes identified in the 1930s – trade imbalances allow countries that have become more competitive by suppressing domestic demand to export weak domestic demand to the rest of the world. When that happens, either total global production is reduced and unemployment rises, or debt must rise in the deficit country to make up for the weak demand in the surplus country and to prevent unemployment from rising.

Economists often cite David Ricardo's model of comparative advantage as one of the few, great, non-trivial models in economics, and so it is worrying that so few academic economists understand the math behind the model. Ricardo's whole point was to make the unintuitive point that competitive advantage is not the same as comparative advantage, and that the world benefits from balanced trade even when one country can produce everything more cheaply.

This becomes more obvious when you realize that just by changing the value of the currency you can shift competitive advantage from one country to another, whereas comparative advantage is structural, and does not shift so easily. The main point, which surprisingly few academic economists understand, is that Ricardo's model of comparative advantage is a model of balanced trade.

[電ファミニコゲーマー @denfaminicogame]

『Forza Horizon 6』先行プレイで「軽トラを魔改造」してみた。“時速285km”で日本の原風景をかっ飛ばせて最高
https://t.co/hT0dKMVTIG

本来の最高速度は110~120kmほどのホンダ・アクティも、エン���ンを限界まで魔改造して名実ともに「農道のフェラーリ」に！

※Xboxより商品の提供を受けています。

[Alexander Clarkson  @APHClarkson]

There is something absurd in fevered speculation around these summits, not just among the dwindling band of MAGA fans but also among those who hate Trump and as a consequence overcorrect by claiming Chinese triumph in ways that skip over China's structural vulnerabilities

[ムラマツヒデキ｜クオートワークス @muuuuu_chang]

「AIなら30秒でできますよね？」

はい、30秒でできます。
でも恥ずかしくない状態にするのに3日かかります。

[まけし @Makeshi_traf]

名阪神間、全列車停車駅路線図「豊姫」完成！

西は姫路、東は豊橋までをまとめた停車駅路線図を製作しました！

以前やたてつ様（@yyyy_yatatetsu ）が製作しておられた「豊姫」を許可を得て、約10年ぶりに現代版としてリメイクしました！

リプ欄に4分割拡大版やこだわりの点などを掲載しています！

[Michael Pettis @michaelxpettis]

1/4
According to Reuters, domestic car sales in China were down 21.6% year on year in April, even as car exports surged 80.2%. Everyone knows that domestic demand remains incredibly sluggish in China, but such sharp drops in domestic car...
https://t.co/1pXBP8tJVw

[Franek @Franrekk]

Tiles

[Sonoda Hiroki @SonodaHiroki]

普段から読んどかなきゃ「温度」変わったときにわかんねえ��らな