DON HILL

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[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Really makes you appreciate how small European countries are. Just the top 8 cities in the US have more than 21 milliin people.
You have to add multiple countries together just to have same population as cities in the US.
Then think about being butt up against a nuclear weapon weilding nation that invaded a neighbor.
It makes NATO look kinda important LOL

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

@Flintown1992 @SenRonJohnson Not his fault, just saying he was responsible. Read my whole reply.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Watching this does anyone else first see a former home with dining wall cabinets, crushed furnishings and only ghosts of former family residents celebrating holidays, baptisms, engagements, graduations and birthdays inside the four walls and roof providig aplace of safety and comfort?Sounds of laughter and memories filling those rooms with flower gardens surrounding their humble abode?
Those watching this stop, look around what you call home, imagine having just hours to flee learning the unthinkable is unfolding-a full blown invasion by a neighboring superpower.
Take picture from right where you sit there right now. Ask Grok to render what it woukd like after 2 years of door go door combat.
Post that picture here, and then say those being driven back deserve sympathy.
Do it and shut up.
Live in fear before you cast stones at those who lost everything.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

President Trump developed the shot and endorsed it. In fact, he has never reversed his position on the vaccine still touting it as one of his 1st administration's greatest achievements.

Trump is not a bad or stupid. The problem is that Trump's business background misguides him into trusting the wrong people. In the business world phony experts do not survive very long, bottom line profit and losses are black and white proving them right or wrong.

Trump just has difficulty accepting how in DC and politics being wrong and a failure is irrelevant. Success is gained by saying what one is told to say regardless of the truth. Newsom is great example - if CA was a corporation, the board would have canned him long ago.

So when Fauci and Bessent show up with expert credentials and everyone saying they know their stuff, Trump's experience in the real world tends to mislead him into trusting the wrong folks.

It is just incomprehensible to a successful business person that any system could survive with incompetent or ill-willed people running the show.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Agree not always needed.
My use of locally saved prompt and reference files supports multi-AI platform teams working collaboratively on tasks and project together. Prompt files ground the AI team in the same truths, scope and outcomes without having to manually set that up in each AI session.
Since reusable and locally saved and reloaded each time I need a specific project or task completed, no risk of decay or drift sitting inside an AI platform 3 or more months waiting for next time used.
Can also design prompts with specific guardrails for each AI to address their unique strengths and weaknesses.
So for repeatability of routine and complex tasks and projects, prompt files can savetime and produce consistent results.
For example an AI team generating content for new ecommerce page produces same tone, layout, look and feel in June 2025 and a year later.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

One on one teaching session. Video available? 🤣😝😄😃

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

They look job ready, what's the problem?
Headed out in the world equipped with the knowledge, discipline and eagerness to earn a living to support themselves and a family.
Same as past generations that got the same solemn commencement speech that childhood was behind you and the future of adulthood ahead.
Their time in school all paid for with borrowed money not current taxpayers anyways. They will work and pay taxes their whole life without denting the debt left them.
So yeah, party like there is no tomorrow.
Cause young adults today got nothing to look forward to except servitude to the debt masters.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Shotgun loaded with rock salt does well close range. Wobble a blade causes vibration video scatter and flight instability.
Or just cyber attack Chinas fiber optic plants that supply all sides.
Arrays of silent balloon drones with sensitive audio listen and triangulate to pinpoint high pitch drone movements.

Lot of ways to defeat but China raking in billions along with weapon dealers. None dare kill the golden goose making them rich.

War is about profits not politics.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

@Venky2424 @saif_aldareei You were saying?

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

@LindseyGrahamSC Awesome analysis, thanks that provided a lot of clarity. Thanks for sharing.
Btw my original point was US does decide strait, not iran. Weird small boat attack permitted, on other hand helped by keeping it closed which is the goal right now.
Thanks again for insighful post!

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

2015 ████ (~7T)
2020 █████ (~8T)
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2024 █████████ (~14T)
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Billionaire wealth growth...yeah kinda think doubling is sign something going on.
Never said Iran not bad, just saying US holds all the cards. A toilet don't flush in Iran without us knowing it. We owned them big time.
Now just deciding who makes money off it.
I guess you thought COVID was naturally occuring. .largest transfer of wealth in human history. But yeah, move on nothing to see hear LOL.
No one traded before 911, and the spike in oil trade hours before Iran announced reopening never happened too.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Grok
During the Iran-Iraq War's "Tanker War," the US Navy decisively countered Iranian small-boat and conventional naval threats
Iranian speedboats that sortied were quickly engaged and neutralized by air power. This remains the largest US Navy surface action since WWII and showed that massed small-boat attacks are highly vulnerable to coordinated air and surface responses in open engagement.

As an aside it takes an F15 4 to 6 minutes to cross the strait. And Iran's air defense is gone per Trump. We own the skies.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

From a guy who knows oil is plentiful but like diamonds artificially controlled for the profits of a few.
My point is the Iranian boats operate only as allowed by the US at this point.
The US decides when that strait reopens not Iran.
Very odd US would look weak having Iran appear to control it.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

a single day's traded volume of ~1 million WTI contracts would represent a notional value in the tens of billions of USD (e.g., 1 million contracts × 1,000 barrels × ~$90 = ~$90 billion in underlying exposure)

Plus, a bunch of trades occurred hours before Iran announced reopening, so traders knew reooening and tried to cover best they could..

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

This play was called by Wall Street not the IRGC. Billions of dollars of oil future positions got wiped out by the sudden reopening and threatened the bankruptcy of financial institutions and billionaires around the world.

It would have been a global financial crisis if left open.

Give it a few more days for the traders to offload the loss positions onto retirement funds and individual investor portfolios.

Ask yourself this - you think the US Navy could not have scrambled a jet or drone to blow a couple of gunboats out of the water??? US has air assets 24/7 up and ready for action. Order to stand down would have come from Bessent and Lutnick both getting hammered with blackmail calls to tell Trump to give traders time to shift loses to retirement and individual investors.

Global conflicts are now 80% rich getting richer and only 20% about control and power.

Again, so obvious. At casual cruising speed an F15 would need 4 to 6 minutes to go across the Strait of Hormuz......

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Grok.
"Oil futures fell over 10% after Iran's foreign minister declared the strait open, confirming market disruption from the incident but without supporting evidence for the financial conspiracy narrative."

Ok, I admit wall street did not do a press release so I am absent of evidence...

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Not saying that at all and makes sense for India to use other weapon suppliers. Just saying that important to show respect to the nations supplying weapon systems and avoid going against their interests in the heat of the moment.

Besides, Wall Street ordered the shots fired to provide a few days to offload loss positions on oil futures to retirement funds and individual investors. The reopening happened too quickly and left institutions and billionaires exposed to crippling financial exposure losses.

It will reopen again in a week after they shore up their positions.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Not disagreeing with India's choice of weapons at all. Totally understand and thanks for sharing that insight.

I was just pointing out that Russia definitely would not favor falling oil prices.

And Israel ironically needs Iran to remain a threat (albeit a weakened one) in the region to justify continued US funding as the primary ally in the region. A full regime change in Iran back to being a US ally would relegate Israel to a Germany or Italy level of importance. So Israel finds itself in the position of holding the US back from finishing the job lest they lose their influence and subsidies. Israel right now is one of Iran's behind the scenes champions ensuring the US falls short of full victory.

So that means Israel would be unhappy if India wiped out the few remaining sea assets that remain.

And France, well they're French ... they might be ok with it.

And again, no complaints on relying on others besides US for weapon systems, just saying that when using those, a nation should respect the country suppling them and not act rashly in the moment.

[DON HILL @9472665PLACE]

Ah.... hold on there. The same Indian Navy that holds annual joint exercises with Russia? Buys all their military hardware from Russia?

The Russians would be very displeased with falling oil prices. High prices fund their economy and military campaigns.

New Delhi would have a lot of explaining to do siding with the USA on this adventure.