Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund)

Cross-Asset Derivatives Trader | US Equity Swing Trader x Futures Trader | Verified P&L | Ex-Investment Banking | On the continuous path to Mastery | 🇿🇦

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

$HOOD is up 117% from the time of this tweet. This tweet on this day, almost marked the exact bottom. I wrote a mega-thesis on Hood this day and it played out exactly as anticipated.

Also DM'd it directly to my fellow countryman @JamesBruce131 🇿🇦hope you took it brother😂

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

1/ 🧵 I don’t see a downside for $HOOD in any scenario, but for absolute financial nihilism caused by a great depression style collapse. Which is a x standard deviation event not even worth considering IMO. Every other scenario bodes extremely well for $HOOD to 3x from here 👇

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

And there it is.
All dip buyers crushed
All gap up buyers crushed

Oversold bounces are very dangerous to the uninformed.

Just remember that all the influencers you see and love on this app have done well in one of the most historic bull markets ever.

They won’t be around in 5 years from now.

They won’t survive the bear market, that’s why they really heavily on your subscription fees.

Separate clearly those who do vs. don’t

The best traders I know
With true verified track records but everything out for pretty much free. (Think @Qullamaggie @Peoplewish @RealSimpleAriel )

The worst traders I know do the opposite.

Lesson in that.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Oversold bounces can really be exhilarating and often times they appear more aggressive than a standard breakout to new ATH’s in a bull market. That very allure is very dangerous to the uninformed and inexperienced.

We still have miles to go for any major chart to start looking constructive again.

*could* be a start and *is* a start are two different things. Don’t confuse them.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Bonds yields just tagged 4.69% on the 10 year. highest print since Jan 2026.
Long end sitting at a 19 year high on the 30Y
Sept hike odds back up to 63%.
meanwhile $DXY sitting near monthly lows.
normally that doesnt happen. rising yields should mean a stronger dollar. not this time.

this isnt the Fed tightening the screws. its war fear and inflation fear doing the work on yields. two different engines, same number going up.

deficit concerns are eating the dollar’s safe haven bid alive while yields climb. BoJ intervention on $JPY dragging the index down too.

yields up. dollar down.

Broken.

Definitely not a market that warrants allocation of risk capital.

[TradeZella 🦄 @TradeZella]

@99thPercentileX @claudeai love the "mistake-to-trade ratio." that's exactly the kind of question I'd throw at Zella AI every weekend

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Oversold bounces can really be exhilarating and often times they appear more aggressive than a standard breakout to new ATH’s in a bull market. That very allure is very dangerous to the uninformed and inexperienced.

We still have miles to go for any major chart to start looking constructive again.

*could* be a start and *is* a start are two different things. Don’t confuse them.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Warsh today. Held rates steady at 3.50-3.75%, three dissents pushing for a hike, and he still didn't cave into more forward guidance. Statement was shorter than anything Powell ever put out. Direct. Transparent. Real respect for the market itself instead of trying to be the center of it every presser. Refreshing after 5 years of that. I think so far, he was a great choice for Fed Chair. Even though originally he seemed like the most unlikely choice.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@FranVezz Said differently and one of my favourite quotes from @RealSimpleAriel

“All stocks are bad until they prove to me they are not”

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Crypto is holding up surprisingly well while $QQQ and $SPY keep grinding out fresh lows. We're finally closing in on the 200 day moving average, and that's the kind of level that can mark a potential bottom. Still want to see us clear August and get a real VIX flush before I start treating this market constructively again.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@RealSimpleAriel Probably one of your best posts yet and ever so timely. Traders morphing into investors overnight is more cope than any sort of conviction they claim to have. Best loser wins in this game. Own it, Accept it and don't deviate from your system, Ever!

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@CFlanders7 Thanks for sharing @CFlanders7. Incredible perspective to keep top of mind always. But especially in slower seasons such as now.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Proving to be an exceptional trade. Im in via $SCO - Time to manage exposure, trim & trail.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Potentially time to stalk $UCO $SCO

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@ohiain Your own trade feedback is the best market filter available

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Just wrapped up the bi-weekly review.
(Using a combination of @TradeZella AI and @claudeai custom projects)

All in all, July has been a solid month in what have otherwise been difficult conditions for most. Beyond the results themselves, I take additional positivity from the fact that many of my peers in the futures prop space have shared their frustration with the erratic price action.

That, to me, is the beauty of my model: it is incredibly repeatable across different market environments.

This brings me to a tangent I won't go too far down: your model needs to absolutely suit you. It needs to be your own suit of armour, capable of withstanding any battle, good or bad.

Mine does that for me. A simple, repeatable edge, turned over as frequently as possible. A win rate north of 50% and a profit factor of 1.5 can produce fantastic results, particularly in prop firm trading.

But you have to deeply understand the mechanics of your system and its constraints.

The way I trade my prop accounts is the polar opposite of how I trade my swing equity book. By design. They exist in completely different ecosystems and fractal structures.

But let me not veer too far from the actual review.

A really solid month, characterised by one thing:

Absolute, relentless and unwavering commitment to discipline.

That's it.

I drastically reduced my out-of-system trades, and that's all it took.

The most important ratio you can track is one I dubbed the "mistake-to-trade ratio."

I guarantee most traders don't suck as badly as they think they do. Their results are simply contaminated by randomness, with perhaps 50% of their trades having nothing to do with their actual model.

That, more than anything, has been the single metric that has driven my profitability.

Get that ratio below 5% and watch your trading journey start to fly.

Back to the desk Monday.

All that matters is the next trade - and executing it with pristine discipline.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@Trader_Brodz @Topstep Thank you Broski! Appreciate you!

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Closed the @Topstep account +$1000 today. Good way to end a week where price action was genuinely tricky, NQ kept faking direction, a lot of my setups needed two or three attempts before they actually worked, and a few just didn't pay at all. Green is green though.

Not touching charts this weekend. Going to actually rest, see people, sleep normal hours. Monday I come back with clean levels and a clear head, that's the whole job really. Recover properly so the next week of screen time actually counts.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Sup Bro

In terms of active frequency it’s probably about 50/50

I.e I’m on the desk everyday trading prop accounts
But there are some months in a year where I’m very inactive on the swing trading book due to unfavorable market conditions like right now.

But in terms of dollar value it’s about 70/30 weighted towards my swing equities book. Just because that book is much larger than my prop accounts for now at least.
Looking to scale aggressively this year with prop capital into multi 6 figs/7fig under management

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@GnT_Trades Let’s get it!

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Most new traders don't die from bad trades.

They die from good markets that go quiet.

Corrections are where the amateurs flame out. Not because the market took them. Because they couldn't sit still. Boredom hits. Overtrading starts. Account bleeds slowly. Then confidence bleeds. Then they're done.

The math of every elite system ever built tells the same story. The pareto principle, but intensified. Not 80/20. More like 90/10. Maybe 95/5.

10% of the trades drive 90% of the returns.

10% of the trades. That's it.

Which means the other 90% of your time, your actual job, the one you're being paid to do, is protect capital. Financial capital and mental capital. Both.

Right now $QQQ and $NQ are chopping. Wide and loose. No real traction. Sloppy tape since the June highs, stuck in this corrective triangle for weeks, sellers active on every rally, no clean follow-through. This is not the time to be swinging big.

This is the time to do the boring job.

Reduce size. Tighten your watchlist. Study the historical setups. Stay sharp mentally. Stay ready.

Because the fat pitches come. They always come. And when they do, they move fast, and they don't wait for you to rebuild your confidence after you blew it overtrading a choppy tape.

The traders who make real money aren't the ones doing the most. They're the ones who did the least damage during the dry spells and showed up with capital intact when the market opened up.

Study @Peoplewish . Study @RealSimpleAriel . Every elite system ever built carries the same theme. Let the conditions come to you. When they do, be aggressive. When they don't, be a ghost.

Most people can't accept that doing nothing is the job. They need to feel active. And that need will cost them.

The market will be ripe again.

Be there when it is.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

@gbc_it Awesome spot @gbc_it ! Would of preferred a larger volume day here, HVE would of been great. But definitely one to watch tomorrow.

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Potentially time to stalk $UCO $SCO

[Vinny V (99th Percentile Fund) @99thPercentileX]

Crude's July rip into $90 looks stretched. Iran premium's priced in, Trump gains nothing more from war and loses plenty if inflation rebounds into the midterms, and seasonality flips bearish from here. Breach and fail of $90 is the asymmetric short.