AlvinChipmunk17

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC

So far, this cycle has mirrored 2022 remarkably closely.

The main difference is the volatility, deviations, and market manipulation.

This cycle has produced much larger moves above and below key levels. For example, in the previous cycle, BTC swept the ATH and retraced relatively quickly.

This time, price spent 60 days ranging above $108K before eventually moving lower, creating a much more prolonged distribution range.

We also saw a significant low at $28K in the last cycle. Once that level was broken, price never returned to retest it until the bear market had ended.

This cycle's equivalent appears to be the $74K low.

The key difference is that BTC aggressively deviated above that area beforehand, trapping and shaking out a large number of participants. As a result, the deviations around major highs and lows have been far more aggressive this cycle.

If the pattern continues to track the previous cycle, it would suggest that the bottom is likely close following the sweep below 60K.

However, given the increased volatility, we should also be open to the possibility of a deeper and more gradual deviation than what occurred in 2022.

Regardless, my view remains unchanged. I am a buyer at these levels because I believe the current cycle is nearing its bottom and the next major cycle will begin once this process is complete.

A few months of pain/chop is enough to make people go insane.

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

https://t.co/Ufde4JAt7j

[AlvinChipmunk17 @AChipmunk17]

@RosenvoldGeo Have you considered Israelis and Americans may be just as uninterested in a deal as in 06/2025 and 02/2026? Trump withdrew from the JCPOA. His personality structure and Israel’s strategic interests leave little room for real peace.

[Craig Murray @CraigMurrayOrg]

So on TACO Tuesday Donald Trump sent Sharif a draft message to send back, asking Trump for a ceasefire.

[Navroop Singh @TheNavroopSingh]

📍In short, President Trump had hoped that he would be able to execute a highly risky extraction operation to get hold of Highly Enriched Uranium on 3rd-4th April 2026 & post which he could declare the victory by Easter i.e. 5th April 2026.

📍The F-15E which was shot down was on such a mission to smother and take out Iranian Air defences in Isfahan area making way for such an HEU extraction operation to be carried out.

📍However Iranians armed with manpads & Air Defence Systems, drones detected the air intrusion in that area and foiled the plan of US military to extract HEU from Isfahan tunnels.

📍There were visible marks of Air Defence system hits on the body of the C-130s as is visible from the images of the crash site, which indicates that the aircrafts came under fire while landing rendering them inoperable to fly back.

📍Further Iranian Basij forces tried to reach landing site but they were likely deterred by US air support in favour of its ground troops insertion.

📍Having its cover being blow of the covert operation US military personnel destroyed its inoperable jets, aborting the mission and calling upon backup three Dash-8 aircrafts to extract them of a failed mission.

📍The broader implications of these events extend beyond the immediate tactical outcome. The ability of Iranian air defences to engage and potentially down advanced U.S. aircraft within central Iran challenges assumptions regarding air superiority in the region.

📍The apparent detection and disruption of a large-scale SOF insertion further underscores the effectiveness of Iranian surveillance and response capabilities.

📍For the United States and its allies, the episode raises questions about operational planning, risk assessment, and the limits of covert action in contested environments.

📍The old assumptions by the Americans that Iran’s air defence systems, its missiles & drone capability systems have been substantially degraded have aturned out to be gross exaggerations.

📍The Iranians are however undeterred, refused to negotiate and give away the strategic leverage gained by controlling Strait of Hormuz which supplies world’s 20% energy in Oil, Gas & other cargos.

📍It would however be foolish to believe any de-escalation is in offering as US would once again try such insertions and raids in Iran & probably next at Kharg Island, Qesham Island or Greater Tunb or lesser Tunb islands in Strait of Hormuz.

📍Such insertion operations are again fraught with danger given Iranian air defence systems are still intact as we have seen over last few days.

[Navroop Singh @TheNavroopSingh]

https://t.co/WGInRluOtk

[Wick @ZeroHedge_]

RIP Netherlands.

I’ve seen this story before. Let the great brain drain begin. Absolute economic suicide 🤦‍♂️

[James @JamesEastonUK]

When we finally get back in the purple box, I will dump my holdings like I work for Binance.

Until then, it’s Operation Fat Bags.

h/t: @StockmoneyL 🦎

[Coinbase Institutional 🛡️ @CoinbaseInsto]

Sui has quickly become one of the most active developer ecosystems in crypto.

We're proud to now offer token standard support for $SUI assets. This is a significant workstream that underscores our commitment to expanding institutional access to the ecosystems that matter most to our clients.

[Sui Insiders💧 @SuiInsiders]

gm SUI fam!🫶

Bullish on SUI 💧

[Sui Insiders💧 @SuiInsiders]

LIKE, IF YOU ARE NOT SELLING #SUI 💧

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

https://t.co/Nvc3dKn8Y7

[Sui Insiders💧 @SuiInsiders]

LIKE, IF YOU ARE NOT SELLING #SUI 💧

[Matt Hougan @Matt_Hougan]

https://t.co/Hh8ZXJC13c

[AlvinChipmunk17 @AChipmunk17]

@AndreasSteno LLMs amplify false narratives, herd behavior and volatility. For Bitcoin, liquidity correlation may fall from ~90% to ~80% as noise rises. Full-cycle investing doesn’t change, returns can grow if you exploit the herd.