Contango_Cowboy

Cycling, reading, and skiing.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@Gubloinvestor Good pump to exit your position on.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@aigonewrong hear*

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

Black swan of 2026

[The Wall Street Journal @WSJ]

Jensen Huang has resigned as CEO of Nvidia 🔗 https://t.co/6n3y7kEKxt

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@aigonewrong Yes, would be great to here Jensen speak freely and see what he goes onto from here.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@TechnoGoddy @InvestNorthwise @romanchernin I disagree.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@TechnoGoddy @InvestNorthwise @romanchernin Unlike NBIS, SPCX can raise capital easily.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@rsdelaunay5342 @robbhope @notasharkbait @wallstengine Sounds reasonable

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@MktMavPro Oh you’re right, the market was wrong

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@BoBbyPleWniaK It really rocketed out of the gate.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@robbhope @notasharkbait @wallstengine I believe they have a few billion funding shortfall pending in 2027.

Debt markets have tightened, so I think they may opt to issue shares to “raise capital, AKA, dilute shareholders.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@robbhope @notasharkbait @wallstengine I am more concerned with how many shares outstanding there will be 12 months from now.

The company may do well on a market cap basis, but an increased share count can negate all the gains via dilution.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

One delay in brining new compute online can create a negative feedback loop and the same customer’s will pivot to competitors. Then domino effect.

Nebius is in an extremely vulnerable position with their finances. Hence the market is punishing the share price as is evidenced today.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@growthinvesto13 @EndicottInvests Yes, they are about to dilute the float massively over the next 12 months.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@InvestNorthwise @romanchernin Or maybe the market is waking up to the fact $SPCX will bring online 10gw next year and has revenue to support cap ex rather than rely on prepaid and likely share dilution to fund growth for 1gw from Nebius.

Not worth the risk. Todays price action confirming this.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@notasharkbait @wallstengine How do they pay for cap-ex once the prepayments they are anticipating don’t materialize ?

They issue more shares and dilute all shareholders.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@BoBbyPleWniaK Who knows how the market reacts to any official statement from NVDA today. I expect something to day either way. Big drama.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@StockSavvyShay They really “crushed” it alright, -11% premarket right bow around $138 a share.

Prepaid cancellations will force equity dilution, mark my words.

[Contango_Cowboy @ADHD_Options]

@Bro69Biden @EndicottInvests because the market knows share court is going higher.