Alpha Max

Bitcoin and Crypto since 2013. Cyber Security . Investor . Trader . CEO @decentrader

[Decentrader @decentrader]

If now is the time when you spend time and money on what coins to invest because it was 30$ in 2021 and its 0.3 now and if it goes to 1$ you will have 10x or 100x at 30$ .... is the right moment it will go to 0.03

If the reason for any investment is like this ... or was in the past .. the next one is because the people you fallow told you what the buy and when .

And if you are at step 1 or step 2 ... Then next one is "fuck crypto" .

At step 3 is the right moment to buy crypto . But who buys when all sell? 😂

And from what i see ... whe are not yet at step 3 because you crypto boys post every day where to buy and what. Probably now you buy $HYPE because it will go to 200$ from "trust me boys" .

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC

Time to see btc bllow 59k because the boys have SL there. Why? Because last time btc hit 63k they all shorted for lower and got liquidated. Now they are not stupid any more and they will long with SL bellow the last low .

Markets hunt SL and 90% of traders use high leverage . Thats why price goes up/dow 3k daily range. If 1 guy goes 10k$ 10x long and 10 guys go 40x 1k$ thats 4 time the OI . When you short with 40x 100$ and you get liquidated.. do you think maket is traking you? Yes.. you and other 90% because you all think the same.

Do you ask yourself why you long or short? Or what made you do it?

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC Psychological Action

Wave One: "Super Cycle"

At $120k: Euphoria. "Super Cycle" → $180k target.

First dip: Billions added to Open Interest.

Result: -30% crash.

Wave Two: "Cycle Is Dead"

At $80k: Optimism. "No bear market" → $100k target.

First $2k–$3k bounce: Billions added to Open Interest.

Result: -30% crash.

Wave Three: "This Cycle Is Different"

At $60k: Hope. "Bottom is in" → $95k target.

First $2k–$3k bounce: Billions added to Open Interest.

Result: -30% crash.

Wave Four: "This Time It's The Same. Bottom Is In."

"Saylor sold at the bottom last time."

"Bitcoin has never gone below the previous ATH."

Result: In Progress... another -% move into the $42k–$37k area?

To be continued...

[Decentrader @decentrader]

bitcoin:native Yesterday the last week fractal play was finished and half way the second one i talked about in the live stream.

Similar to eth and sol. The liquidity is into the $52000 but we might also dip to $48000 area where we have some strong support.

Like i said few days ago (people will long or add to longs al 74k and will get hurt right bellow 68k) and again people started to long 68-66k .

People still bet we find a double bottom and put a lot of bids that will be blasted like its nothing. And when start lose the 50s into 40s probably retail is going to be out of money or not buy is going to 0.

[Decentrader @decentrader]

ethereum:native

Right bellow here down to $1500 there is some last liquidity grab and also 4y support trend and probably people will have stops right bellow and could see some dip right bellow into $1400 . Usually ethereum:native bottoms few months early than $BTC . This might push some alts to gains 60% to 140% because btc.d will also drop. But this is going to be only temporary to drain last money from retail before they capitulate.

[Decentrader @decentrader]

solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 Similar to ETH but the target is way more lower into the 40$ range where is the strongest support. And probably people will first long 60$ which should work for few days just to get liquidated right bellow into the 40$ range .

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

Let chaos begin. Get ready for new history in the books. 5:33

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC

Every one starts to be bullish and call for 85-90k

This reminds me of 2024 q1 which was similar to this one. We also had israel vs iran conflict and people called for 77-80k but instead we got months of chop and finally 50k . ETF had inflow back then , MSTR also had a lot of buys . Yeah short term bears got liquidated but after that bulls started to take pain killers.

Seems that we are again allover that with similar setup - similar people with similar targets.

Bellow 70k liquidity already start to build. The Open Interest is also astronomic the past few days and feels like people dont want to take profit here because higher we go and a lot of people bet on negative funding but they did the same back then

Even if the market was wiped out on 10/11 2025 compared to 2024 they are back and more strong.

Two years ago OI was 18BIL and now 10k above that price is 21BIL . extra 3 BIL in leverage betting LONG.

COMANDO Signals 3 . Market overheated LS 0.6 extreme .

And seems that people thing again this time is different cycle is not the same . How that worked last few times?

[Decentrader @decentrader]

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[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

I talked about his discord full of chat bots 😂
@anthdm

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC is ~715 days after the halving. This is not the end of the cycle, it’s the middle of it.

We’re sitting in the “Hope” zone (NUPL ~0.24), which means there’s still profit in the system and no real capitulation yet.

Previous cycles bottomed after 75–85% drawdowns. This one only pushed around 50% so far. The real flush hasn’t happened.

From here, the market usually moves through distribution and then into a final capitulation.

If that structure holds, the $35k–$40k area is still in play.

What you’ll likely see before that:
fake strength, sharp rejections, and a lot of chop that traps both sides.
The final move doesn’t come with hope. It comes with panic.

https://t.co/L0GplWfHcu

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC

I’ve created a Telegram channel where I’ll share chart analysis and trade ideas from time to time.

No spam. Just clean setups, key levels, and real market structure.

From time to time, I’ll also drop limited-time coupons for Decentrader tools and possibly for Project Alpha charts.
Link in description.

https://t.co/YufCnHFo4S

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Alpha #Decentrader

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@decentrader My view on the $BTC cycle and market

[Decentrader @decentrader]

BTC — Live Analysis

Where we are in the cycle matters more than the price.

On-chain tells the real story.
Live breakdown of price action and key levels.
Let’s see where the market stands.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #OnChain #CryptoAnalysis #Trading #MarketStructure #SmartMoney #Liquidity #Alpha

https://t.co/ritK8EEjr5

[Decentrader @decentrader]

$BTC vs $TRX

Since 2018 $TRX is the nr 1 bear market safe asset and also more profitable then the whole stock market. While people wait for 3-6% YOY return . TRX outperforms all of them.

It was also a good asset on bull markets.

The NR1 best L1 in both bull and bear scenarios with low volatility . While $eth - $sol - $bnb pumps and dumps like they are meme coins.

Any one can explain why?

New Tool On Decentrader - ALTSZN Index next week.
#btc #trx #sol #eth #crypto

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@trader1sz @decentrader with https://t.co/qkFWxTLCbX and https://t.co/eF2X1KNyHm

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@KillaXBT you also have bots to tweet and reply . bruh.

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@KillaXBT if you need bots in discord 🤣 . that says all. block me fast.

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@KillaXBT Your transparent trades? Where?

[Alpha Max @AIphaMax]

@BobLoukas Its going to be early . Your 48 is in 2027 .