Reflection on @sportfun Tournament Squad Week 2
Who is 852luk:
⚽ #1 Pioneer on FootballdotFun Chinese community
⚽ FDF Portfolio Worth: #33
⚽ Week 2 Skill Rating: 1298 (Rank 83)
⚽ Week 2 Tournament Points: 11,363
⚽ Week 2 Skill Points: 21,271
Week 3? What should you do?
P.S. I indicated the price of my suggested player in the analysis below. The first price is shared when I shared this article to my Chinese community. The second price is the current price as of when I shared this analysis on X.
You will know what to do after you read this analysis.
🗡️ Forward (FW):
Kane ($0.636->0.731), the Bayern striker did exceptionally well last match and single-handedly got 46% of my Tournament Points (TP). Next match playing against Augsburg would be his show as well. He scored one goal and a hat trick in the last two matches H2H Ausburg last season. In overall, Bayern has scored over 2.5 goals in the last 6 matches H2H Augsburg. I have a lot of Kane shares already and I did not buy more. If you still hold 0, better buy some for your TP & SP. Although "BTC" Yamal & "ETH" Mbappe got a lot of points from dribbling, I think Kane is the "SOL" in FDF, a cheaper key pick FW who could score 1-2 goals in this match, and closing the price distance from the top 2 players tokens.
🧭 Midfielder (MF):
Hit 3 out of 5 without Pedri and McTominay, I should have kept my Pedri but my entry price is just not that good so I shifted to somewhere else. Take this as a lesson, and I simply took my Pedri out of the development squad to active now. I did not add more MFs this week, as all my MFs are more heavily focusing on opponents' half-pass with possession-first tactic, like PSG and Barcelona. Have been calling PSG's Ruiz ($0.145->0.159) in my community group since mint day while everyone just focusing on Dembele and Pedri. You could have picked easy thousands shares when he's low and you cannot now. If you fade Vitinha ($0.422->0.448), you better use the same money to bet on Ruiz as you could have bought triple shares of Ruiz. Another stable pick would definitely be Olise ($0.612->0.678), don't have to mention about another Bayern striker again, scored a goal in last match.
🛡️ Defender (DF):
My scores from Defenders are a disaster since I heavily focused on one Defender, Van Dijk ($0.238->0.232) from Liverpool. Meanwhile, Konate's performance has been pulling down the defensive performance of the whole Liverpool team. I don't see Liverpool could get any clean sheets in the upcoming fixture. When I first joined the game, I already knew people had been heavily focusing on the price growth of Forwards. At that time, I put more money on Midfielders and Defenders, and I grabbed Van Dijk below $0.1. Make sure you know you win the game by TPs, sooner or later, the difference between every position will be reduced.
This week, I sold a lot of Van Dijk shares and I put most of the sold Golds to expand my defensive line. Cucurella ($0.175->0.187) should be your first pick. He ranks in the top 5 for the last two weeks, and there is only one other player who could match his performance, Huijsen ($0.311->0.327). Chelsea has an easy fixture in the upcoming six weeks. We don't need to talk about Chelsea vs. Manchester United, the hardest fixture would be on Oct 5 against Liverpool. The money you invested in Huijsen could buy nearly double the shares of Cucurella. It doesn't mean investing in Huijsen is bad; I hope both perform well, but Cucurella is definitely underpriced. Another player you should keep an eye on is Dumfries ($0.107->0.112); he is always my secret pick as the Dutch player can excel in Inter and international matches. He scored 11 goals as a defender for Inter last season. If you are thinking about grabbing Inter Defenders after seeing Bastoni with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last match, Dumfries might be your cheaper alternative.
🥅 Goalkeeper (GK):
I have mentioned that I faded Courtois (just in price action since the pump to 160M MC is unexpected). I have mentioned that on X, I grabbed Simon ($0.0964->0.092) as an alternative and it ages well in Week 2. Let me tell you why. Simon was the least conceded goalie last season in La Liga and he's the no.1 GK in Spain (You will see international matches in September). Bilbao is obviously not as strong as Real Madrid but what I always mention. In FDF, GK is not just focusing on getting clean sheets and you could rank top 3, I would say you might need a weaker team so your GK could perform more with saves, pick-ups, and clearances. That's why I sold all my Courtois previously (While I'm writing this article, you guys pumped 20%+ on Courtois). Another GK I added this week is Vicario ($0.125->0.149), #1 on GK leaderboard for the last two weeks, and his price action was red. Let's come back to this analysis next week and see who's right.
⭕ Conclusion:
I have checked from the Top 50 whales wallets and I am the one holding the LEAST number of players (20), since most of the whales actually bought Founders Pack and they just HODL. I play the game, and aim for accuracy, holding only the valuable players to increase my chance getting more TPs to win the game but not spreading. Would continue to learning more from time to time with every FDF gamers.
Will share my wallet right here so you could track what I have done in past 2 weeks and track what I do in the future:
0x81E32117F22382c87AbfC6653302D660096eEb08
If you like this analysis, please like, retweet, comment and bookmark and we reflect this analysis next week to see how it ages.
Learn more about FDF tips and tactics by joining my TG group. Non-Chinese are welcome as well ⏬
BTC is tagging every level I’ve marked in previous tweets.
Did I nail the levels? Yeah.
Did I execute them flawlessly? Hell no, and I also took some (given, small) Ls along the way.
Welcome to trading. It’s 90% psychology, 10% actual execution and risk management.
For example, I closed my shorts around 116K, so no, I’m not riding this whole leg down. And no, I won’t pretend I "knew" this would happen. It was one possible scenario. I’ve been talking with some of the sharpest, no-BS traders I know, and not one of them predicted — or had the conviction to act on a drop this steep. Many adjusted fast and shorted. But expecting a drop to ~112k and 20-30% correction on alts? Nah, not really.
Market Snapshot 🧠
🔴 USDT.D is holding strong — no signs of momentum loss.
🔴 August tends to be brutal.
🔴 It's the start of the month — always volatile.
🔴 Hawkish Powell and CPE added fuel.
🔴 Tariff pause? Denied.
🔴 Trump’s flexing again — two nuclear subs near Russia.
🔴 Binance & Coinbase are running liquidation season like it’s Black Friday — hundreds of millions sold off, users wiped.
Even with the bullish news from SEC, the market didn't care.
2 scenarios I anticipate
Bounce + Trap Setup:
We bounce inside this current FVG, push to 121.6–122K (ATH retest), reject, and dive into the 108–110K abyss to fill the last valid FVG before a full Q4 blow-off top(Invalidation: we nuke directly into 108–110K now).
Straight Drop + Bounce:
We dump to 108–110K, wick, bounce off the trendline/support, and start the slow grind back up into ATHs — prepping for September’s rate cuts and final BTC top in Sept–Oct.
Why It’s Plausible
Everyone’s getting chopped. Longs got nuked. Shorts printing, and that never lasts. Market hates when retail wins. So yeah, they might run it back up, wreck the shorts, then rug the longs again while filling that last “bull market” FVG. Then nothing is holding us back to blow the hats off. Game on.
Bottom line:
Levels are marked. We wait for confirmation. We don’t gamble. We don’t catch knives. We don’t chase UFOs. We hunt liquidity. And we take trades with precision, not hope/fomo.
$BTC
No BS #RWA-strategy portfolio for the biggest upcoming narrative midwits are not ready for (cause they've no expertise to talk about anything that is not degen).
Bookmark this tweet so you can come back to it when you are adding to your bags on a dip. Ye, I went full out on visuals.
Large-cap:
$LINK
Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network enabling secure off-chain data integration for blockchain-based RWA tokenization, bridging real-world assets like equities, bonds, and commodities to smart contracts.
Bullish Facts
Institutional Adoption: Partners with giants like DTCC (handling $2+ quadrillion annually) and ANZ Bank ($1T+ AUM) for tokenized asset solutions.
Market Leadership: Dominates the RWA oracle space, supporting projects like Backed, Brickken, and TUSD, with a robust infrastructure for cross-chain interoperability.
Mid-cap:
$ONDO
Ondo Finance democratizes access to tokenized institutional-grade financial products, such as treasuries and private credit, enhancing liquidity in DeFi.
Bullish Facts
BlackRock Partnership: Collaborated with BlackRock to move $95M into its BUIDL tokenized fund, driving a massive price surge.
Market Traction: RWA market cap grew 65% in 2025, with ONDO posting 42–65% gains in the last three months.
Small-caps:
$CPOOL
Clearpool is a decentralized credit protocol that tokenizes real-world lending and borrowing, allowing institutions and DeFi users to access uncollateralized loans backed by RWAs like invoices and corporate debt.
Bullish Facts
Institutional Integration: Partners with Centrifuge to tokenize $50M+ in private credit, attracting institutional lenders.
$EPIC (super under the radar)
Epic Chain is a Layer 2 blockchain built on Optimism, designed for tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs) with a focus on entertainment, digital collectibles, and scalable infrastructure. Formerly known as Ethernity Chain, it has evolved into a compliance-focused RWA ecosystem, backed by partners like Ripple, Morningstar, Algorand, and Polygon Studios.
Institutional Backing: Supported by Ripple and other major players, Epic Chain is positioned to attract institutional capital, especially with its RWA superstructure spanning over 150 countries.
RWA Innovation: Its focus on tokenized media IP and carbon-neutral infrastructure aligns with ESG trends, enhancing its appeal for institutional and retail adoption.
Bookmark, like, and comment to not lose this info, and if you want to see more information and personal takes on the most interesting RWA projects and how to make $ on them.