Technology stocks are driving historic market gains:
The Information Technology sector has returned +225.7% since the bull market started on October 12th, 2022, leading every other sector.
This is followed by Communication Services, which has surged +212.3% over the same period.
Both sectors have outperformed the S&P 500's gain of +107.0% by more than 100 percentage points.
By comparison, industrials, consumer discretionary, and financials have risen +102.1%, +76.6%, and +70.8%, respectively.
Therefore, just 2 of 11 sectors have outperformed the broader market during the current bull run.
The market cannot thrive without tech.
BREAKING: China's President Xi has warned President Trump of a "collision or even clashes" if the Taiwan situation is "mishandled," per Bloomberg.
China is looking for the US to clarify that Washington does not support Taiwanese independence.
AI agents are starting to reshape enterprise software - and the market is missing it.
Names like $NOW, $CRWD, $RBRK, $ACN, and $PATH are positioned to benefit as agentic AI automates security, data, and workflows end-to-end.
Bill McDermott said it best - this changes how work gets done.
Yet many software stocks are now oversold.
The irony? The biggest winners will be the ones already embedding and monetizing AI!
Meanwhile, seat-based models like $CRM, $WDAY, and $TEAM face real pressure as agents replace incremental users.
Once in a decade price entries on some of these stocks - I bought today!
@cperruna What’s your approach here @cperruna ?
Sit tight. Cash at the ready. And ride out the current turmoil with a quality blue chip portfolio whilst waiting for a signal for the next leg up?
@cperruna Nailed it again. What’s the play here @cperruna ? Conditions seem to be deteriorating and looking for some sign of recovery. What would your advice during the next few weeks be? Keeping powder dry but don’t want to catch falling knives.
$NVDA won’t release a new gaming GPU this year due to ongoing global memory chip shortages.
That suggests HBM and advanced DRAM are being prioritized for data center AI workloads which is very bullish for $MU.
COMMON SENSE INVESTING: STOCK PICK OF THE WEEK – Air Canada
Air Canada has been in the penalty box. Still down over 60% since pre-pandemic highs.
Sentiment is poor, higher labour costs, recent pilot strikes, fuel volatility, and macro uncertainty have pushed most investors away.
That’s exactly when I start paying attention.
The business reality (numbers matter):
1. Air Canada generated roughly $5.6B in revenue in Q2 2025, with positive operating income and free cash flow, despite a tough pricing and cost environment. i.e. this is not a broken business running on fumes, it’s still producing real revenue and cash.
2. Passenger volumes remain solid, premium cabins and long-haul routes are holding up better than economy, and ancillary revenue continues to support margins. Demand hasn’t disappeared. Costs are the problem right now.
3. Margins are compressed hence the perfromance of the stock price over the last few years but not destroyed. Labour and fuel are weighing on profitability, but airlines are high operating-leverage businesses. When costs stabilize and pricing improves even modestly, earnings move fast. Oil is consistently coming down, and the Venezuela takeover will further lower the price for years to come with more supply extracted from the world's largest oil reserve. Airlines like Air Canada will benefit!
4. Management confidence is being expressed through actions:
• Recently completed a $500M share buyback
• Balance sheet repair
Airlines don’t buy back stock unless they believe cash generation is sustainable.
5. Speaking of management, CEO Michael Rousseau isn’t chasing growth headlines. The focus has been on liquidity, leverage reduction, route profitability, and protecting equity through the cycle.
That’s exactly what I want to see in an airline CEO. I like him!
6. The network advantage people overlook:
- Air Canada has one of the strongest long-haul international networks in North America. Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal are real global hubs, not just domestic endpoints.
- Long-haul and premium routes drive their profitability when global travel normalizes and AC is positioned for that!
Why I’m personally buying:
I fly Air Canada regularly commuting between Toronto and New York. Planes are full, routes remain competitive, and demand for travel hasn’t gone away despite negative headlines.
That doesn’t guarantee a great quarter, but it does tell me the business still works.
Valuation disconnect:
At current prices, Air Canada trades around 4–5× normalized EBITDA and a low-single-digit earnings multiple based on trough-cycle profits.
The market is pricing in the worst i.e.:
- prolonged margin pressure (e.g. fuel / labour)
- no operating leverage recovery
- little to no cycle normalization That’s a very pessimistic setup.
Upside math (conservative): If Air Canada simply returns toward mid-cycle earnings power, not peak, and trades at a more typical 6–7× EBITDA:
• Base case upside: 30–40%
• More constructive cycle normalization: 50–70%
This does not require a travel boom, just cost stabilization, steady demand, and normal airline math. The benefit of lower fuel prices will also help!
Air Canada is my Stock Pick of the Week.
I just bought today!
$AC.TO = primary listing (Toronto Stock Exchange, CAD) $ACDVF = U.S. OTC listing (USD)
@commonsenseplay Hope so. But retail investors are a force and market indicators don’t matter always.
Until they do. I hope it’s sooner rather than later. These stocks really are a crapshoot - long term valuation will be determined after years of R&D and after many have capitulated
@commonsenseplay Great advice. Do you think the NVDIA results tomorrow will impact quantum stocks? Assuming yes - how are you positioning RGTI for a potential monster NVIDIA result?
A 6th straight day of net inflows via the southbound #stockconnect. China Mobile, Hua Hong Semi, and Pop Mart getting the biggest net inflows while Alibaba and Tencent see mild outflows. Alibaba’s 2nd straight day of net outflow. $BABA $TCEHY $PMRTY