Against The Spread

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[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

I'm not here to sell picks.

Betting Twitter is run by guys with subscription picks and zero spreadsheets.

So I built one. Then a database. Then a Tableau dashboard on 3 years of MLB data.

Here's what I'm building — and why the data embarrasses a lot of "experts."

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight Great call so far you are locked in rn. This Dodgers game was my worst beat in a minute

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #3 — Jun 10

SGP+ Parlay (+488) 🎯

→ CHC -1 (Lorenzen xERA 6.13)
→ PIT 0 runs 1st inning (Ohtani ERA 0.74)
→ Scherzer over 4.5 hits (xERA 6.82)
→ PHI F5 +0.5 (Luzardo xERA 3.48)

Four data backed legs. Plus money.
0.25 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Parlay

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 10

Arizona Diamondbacks F5 -0.5 (+114) 🐍

→ Gusto xERA: 6.24 — emergency start
→ ARI wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 110 — elite offense
→ ARI Wednesday away: 69.2% in 2025
→ MIA Wednesday home: 30.8% in 2025

0.25 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 10

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-126)

→ Ohtani ERA: 0.74 confirmed by xERA ✅
→ LAD wRC+ vs RHP 2025 : 113 — elite
→ PIT wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 84 — struggles
→ PIT after blowout bounces back: 37.5%

1.0 unit. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight For sure especially not being able to score the runner on 3rd with only 1 out smh

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 16 results:

❌ BOS ML (-109)
Tolle regression. TB played great defense late.

❌ NYM ML (-131)
Peralta massive regression.
Mets can make any pitcher look good.

✅ TOR WALK OFF WIN 🎉
Bounce back data: 78.9% delivered.
Sharp money was right.
Walk off 9th inning.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 16: 1-2 (-1.35 units)
Overall: 18-22 (-3.53 units)

Back tomorrow. Fresh research. Process never wavers.

#ATSAnalytics

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@NickyCashin The line continuing to move towards TOR is pretty telling let’s go Jays

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #3 — Jun 9

Toronto Blue Jays ML (+110) Boosted

→ TOR G2 bounce back: 78.9% in 2025
→ PHI Tuesday away: 41.7% in 2025
→ TOR wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 113
→ Sharp money moving line toward TOR

$25 bonus bet. Gut Call. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 9

New York Mets ML (-131)

→ NYM Tuesday home: 83.3% in 2025
→ NYM wRC+ vs RHP 2025: 118
→ Peralta xERA: 3.78 — confirmed solid
→ May bottom 5% in hard-hit rate

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏 #BestBet

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 9

Boston Red Sox ML (-109)

→ Tolle xERA: 2.31 — confirmed elite
→ TB Tuesday home: 35.7% in 2025
→ BOS Tuesday away: 58.3% in 2025
→ Martinez xERA: 4.53 — regression due

0.60 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 15: 1-1 (+0.06 units)
Overall: 17-20 (-2.45 units)

Back at it tomorrow. Big slate. Let’s make some money.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

Day 15 results:

✅ PHI F5 -0.5 (-130) — WIN
Sanchez xERA 2.82 delivered.
5-2 after 5. Clean. 🎯

❌ MIL + F5 U6.5 (+160)
Harrison struggled. HR festival.
ATH game at Las Vegas venue
hitter friendly park, lesson learned on venue research.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@PhillySharp1 We love the F5 as well -0.5 has solid value

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — Jun 8

MIL ML + F5 Under 6.5 Parlay (+160) 🍺

→ Harrison xERA: 3.11
→ MIL 2026 away record: 19-10 = 65.5%
→ ATH Monday home: 30% in 2025
→ Coors hangover suppresses MIL offense
→ ATH scores 3.7 runs Monday home avg

0.50 units. Bet log live in bio.

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 8

Philadelphia Phillies F5 -0.5 (-135) 🔔

→ Sanchez xERA: 2.82, 7-2 record, 86.1 innings, 3 HR
→ Corbin xERA: 5.27 — due for regression
→ PHI Monday away: 55.6% in 2025
→ PHI 2026 away record: 16-13

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #2 — June 7

Texas Rangers -1 (+102)

→ TEX Sunday Home: 57.1%
→ CLE Sunday Away: 42.9%
→ deGrom 2-1, 1.52 ERA at home
→ deGrom great K% and BB% which will suppress the low scoring CLE bats

0.75 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏 #BestBet

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@RazorsInsight We are on the rangers today but our data has the angles and pirates as promising angles!

[Against The Spread @ATSAnalytics]

@ATSAnalytics Pick #1 — Jun 7

Miami Marlins F5 ML (-115)

→ Jax xERA: 5.10, due for regression
→ Alcantara last outing vs TB: 0 ER 6K’s
→ MIA Sunday Home: 61.5%
→ TB 2026 away struggles: 16-15

0.50 units. Bet log live in bio.

#Gambling𝕏