Aaron Smith

@CoastalBaseball R&D | Boston University

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@Drizzy_Dru29 If we're gonna contend he better not be gettinging serious at bats

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@PitchsAintCloks @BigBobsCards Still has bad hip mobility relative to everyone else in the mlb. There's no perfect comp, but if this kids gets with a good coach wouldn't be surprised if their mechanics end up looking very similar.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@PitchsAintCloks @BigBobsCards Kind of looks like verlander

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@HOF_mj1 Why? He's not good

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@Jerk_Chicken12 @crksokc @JohnyJ_15 not really the same. Bubuc looked real good before getting tj. And was only in the pen cause of tj recovery

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@TyrionStrongjaw @jtpenfield I think it's for real. All he did was start throwing his cutter a lot more wich is a significantly better pitch against righties and lefties

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@RyanBergertSZN Bergert will still be recovering

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@BryceEr81486104 @Chabotsports Increase our margin for error by getting competent starting pitching and a bullpen. Even with as many issues this team has outside of the bullpen, if it was avg we'd have quite a few more wins.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@John_FKN_Brown @crksokc @jazayerli I was more so considering his time before the royals. Not sure what happened when he got hear but his stuff hasn't changed since he was with the pirates. Deff not calling him good tho, more like a better version of Jordan Lyles which I don't think is useless

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@John_FKN_Brown @crksokc @jazayerli I don't think falter makes the deal worse. Sure he sucked with us but he's been league average the past two years.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@drunkeneagleLLC @kingdom_royals Who was that

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@ColeRagansSZN I'll give jj Estevez. Regression sure, but throwing one game was pretty unpredictable. Strahm being complete ass this year was pretty easy to see coming tho

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@Yomiks1902 @ReidOptionKC Brett is a Texans fan, given what mahines or the chiefs have done to them I think it's fair to give him a break on this.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@ArrowheadLive Sure, cheap homes exist, but they’re the bottom 15% of the market and the overall quantity of cheap homes decreases each year. it is more difficult now more than ever to buy a home and that difficulty is only increasing. You being able to buy home doesn't make this not true.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@ArrowheadLive construction doesn’t raise the median price, it lowers it. new homes also aren't skewing the numbers. repeat-sales data tracking the same houses shows the exact same house that sold for $150K in 2010 goes for $400K+ today.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@ArrowheadLive The median family in 2010 needed about 43K to afford the median home and earned more than that; today they’d need 120k and earn nowhere near it. Even the down payment went from about $30K to over $80K, while rents rose 30-50%, making it harder to save. Your just ignoring reality

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@ArrowheadLive In 2010, the median DFW home cost about $150K while the median household earned around $55K, so a house was about 2.7 times income. By 2025, the median home hit around $410K while incomes only grew to about $87K, pushing that ratio to nearly 5x income. Home prices roughly tripled

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@WhitMerrifield Are both of these guys “tough guys”

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@JonPgh @inStasis1 Location plus doesn’t measure command. It’s certainly related but not the same thing.

[Aaron Smith @AaronSmit1788]

@OnePitchOneSoul @benwhitelaw73 I thought for most models, you train on an arbitrary number of previous years, so 23 and l24, and predict on 25. And then use 2025 prediction validate how well it explains 25 and predicts 2026. This still allows for data leakage though with pitches existing in multiple years?