Tom

Its me

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@DrSolomon777 @KryptoWolfGER Es ist schon hart zu lesen, dass die Leute aus Frust wirklich die größten Lügner wählen wollen, weil sie enttäuscht sind von den aktuellen Optionen.
Irgendwie denkt man, es geht nicht noch beschissener. Die Frustwähler von Trump haben auch so gedacht.

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@WatcherGuru And what’s with the big guys who take trades just minutes before truth social posts appear ? Maybe gains above 1 mil are belonging to another jurisdiction

[Barchart @Barchart]

JUST IN 🚨: S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 4th consecutive red week, its longest losing streak in more than 1 year 📉📉

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@Helmut_MWF Will do the same

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@Helmut_MWF Will be a wild ride, thanks for sharing your insides

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@FXInvesting3 Frohe Weihnachten dir & Familie 🎄🎄

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@amitisinvesting You neither can compare the economies of the counties. Europe is way more struggling than the US hence a different fiscal politics is needed.

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@RyanDeLooong @amitisinvesting Agreed

[Alf @MacroAlf]

The market is signalling a big growth scare.

Should you be worried or fade it?

Thread

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[amit @amitisinvesting]

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. $NVDA reports earnings on Wednesday. The street is looking for $38B in revenue and $0.85 of EPS. This will be one of the most important earnings for Nvidia and the broader market given stocks have fallen from their recent highs and some are questioning if the AI trade is intact, if capex spend will be enough for the semiconductor names this year and if macro conditions surrounding inflation and tariffs will allow the markets to stay elevated. $NVDA is now seen as a company that must be able to keep the broader AI trade relevant as investors become increasingly nervous about the current landscape for equities. Rosenblatt reiterated their buy rating with a $220 PT, writing: "Nvidia reports F4Q25 earnings on Wednesday, February 26th, after market close. We expect a modest beat and raise for Nvidia's January quarter and March quarter outlook versus consensus estimates. All eyes will be on Blackwell commentary, where we see management reaffirming Blackwell shipments beginning in F4Q25 and demand continuing to exceed supply through FY26. We see shipments of Blackwell accelerating as we progress through the year, with a stronger F2H26."

2. Tesla $TSLA is readying a software update for customers in China to offer driver-assistance capabilities similar to those marketed as Full Self-Driving in the US, according to Bloomberg. Over the weekend, $UBER CEO Dara Khosrowshahi addressed Tesla’s approach to the ride-hailing market, noting that Tesla prefers to operate independently in Austin, meaning $UBER will be competing directly with Tesla’s self-driving robotaxi ambitions. Tesla has long signaled plans to disrupt traditional ride-hailing with its own autonomous fleet, and its decision to go solo in Austin suggests a more aggressive push into the space, potentially challenging Uber’s market dominance in the future.

3. $PLTR Palantir is now down 29% from the its 2025 highs of $125 but is still up 15% YTD. Headlines around insider sales and pentagon budget cuts along with macro conditions changing are what some attribute to the decline. Palantir CEO Alex Karp also released his latest book, The Technological Republic and it reached number 4 on the Amazon bestsellers list. Loop Capital initiated coverage on the name last week with a street high $141 PT, writing: "Palantir is well-positioned within the artificial intelligence (AI) and generative AI (GenAI) sectors, which represent massive market opportunities poised to create several multi-billion-dollar revenue companies. Valuation is the primary concern, trading at nearly 44x EV/2027E revenue, which we recognize is steep. While we typically avoid recommending software companies at such high multiples, Palantir's potential as a market leader in AI software—with parallels to Adobe in digital marketing and Salesforce in cloud—makes it a compelling long-term opportunity."

4. MicroStrategy $MSTR has acquired 20,356 BTC for $1.99 billion at an average price of ~$97,514 per bitcoin, achieving a 6.9% BTC yield YTD 2025. As of February 23, 2025, the company holds 499,096 BTC, purchased for ~$33.1 billion at an average price of ~$66,357 per bitcoin. $MSTR raised $2B at a 0% coupon last week and spent $1.99B of that raise in this acquisition of Bitcoin $BTC.

5. $AAPL Apple announced a 4-year, $500 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing to expand supplier networks, Apple Intelligence infrastructure, and silicon engineering research across all 50 states. The plan also supports Apple TV+ productions in 20 states and reinforces its role as a major U.S. taxpayer, with $75 billion paid over the past five years. Apple, which sustains over 2.9 million American jobs, aims to boost domestic innovation. “We are bullish on the future of American innovation,” said CEO Tim Cook, highlighting plans to double the Advanced Manufacturing Fund and expand tech development in Texas.

6. Ken Griffin’s Citadel Securities is preparing to enter crypto trading, aiming to provide liquidity on major exchanges like Coinbase $COIN and Binance. After previously avoiding crypto due to regulatory concerns, the firm is now setting up market-making teams outside the U.S., with future expansion depending on regulations. While Citadel already backs EDX Markets, an institution-only crypto exchange launched in 2023, this move marks its first major step into broader crypto trading.

7. $GOOGL Google Cloud has secured a $2.5B, seven-year deal with $CRM Salesforce, enabling Salesforce customers to run key software like Agentforce AI and Data Cloud on Google Cloud. The partnership aims to challenge Microsoft’s dominance in enterprise AI and cloud, with clients like Wayfair and Accenture set to migrate Salesforce apps to Google Cloud. Additionally, Salesforce will integrate Google’s Gemini AI into its services.

8. $HIMS delivered a strong Q4 performance by surpassing revenue expectations with $481M compared to the anticipated $470M and meeting EPS guidance at $0.11. Additionally, the company showed FY24 revenue of $1.5B—an impressive 69% YoY increase—and grew its subscriber base by 45% to 2.2M. $HIMS guided for 2.3B of revenue in FY25, above expectations of $2B. $HIMS stock fell 18% after hours and is now up 71% YTD, down 42% from last week.

9. $HOOD The SEC dropped their case against Robinhood regarding cryptocurrencies today. $HOOD is now down 20%+ since their Q4 earnings in which they surpassed $1B of quarterly revenue. Bernstein recently raised their PT from $51 to $105, writing: “HOOD is our best-idea for 2025. HOOD crushed Q4 earnings with its first $1Bn revenue quarter, led by 487% seq. QoQ growth in crypto revenues (733% YoY). Q4 was the election quarter and the big crypto inflection was expected. The market consensus here (which has scrambled post election to ramp up estimates) is still missing the business model shifts and the exponential revenue pool expansion. HOOD is building a global financial ecosystem across asset-classes - equities, crypto, tokenized securities, stablecoins, prediction markets. And leveraging blockchain rails to drive operating efficiency."

10. Anthropic, the creator of the Claude chatbot with $AMZN and $GOOGL as their main early investors, has secured a $3.5 billion funding round at a $61.5 billion valuation, exceeding its initial $2 billion target due to strong investor demand. Backers include Lightspeed, General Catalyst, Bessemer, and Abu Dhabi’s MGX. While still trailing OpenAI in user adoption, the company’s annualized revenue has grown to $1.2 billion, though it remains unprofitable. The new funds will support the development of more advanced AI models as competition intensifies, with challengers like China’s DeepSeek offering lower-cost alternatives.

11. U.S. equities now make up over 70% of the developed world’s market cap, a sharp increase from ~40% in 2008, while Europe’s share has dropped below 20%. Global equity investors are not only heavily concentrated in tech stocks but also increasingly tilted toward U.S. markets. The current decline in equities is consistent with historical trends for post election years during the latter half of Februrary: Seasonax's aggregated data shows that February marks a bottom in post-election years for equities, which could be interpreted as making sense because usually a new administration brings a ton of excitement that gets aggressive post inauguration in January and chills off by end of February.

12. Warren Buffett’s $BRK.B latest shareholder letter highlights Berkshire Hathaway’s growing cash reserves, now at $334 billion, up from $325 billion in Q3. In 2024, the company paid $26.8 billion in taxes, roughly 5% of all corporate taxes in the U.S. Addressing Berkshire’s large cash position, Buffett reaffirmed that most of the company’s capital remains in equities, despite a decline in marketable equities from $354 billion to $272 billion, while its non-quoted controlled businesses increased in value. Reflecting on 2024’s performance, Buffett noted that 53% of Berkshire’s 189 operating businesses saw earnings declines, yet overall results exceeded expectations, driven by rising Treasury Bill yields and increased holdings in short-term securities. Berkshire did not buyback any of their stock, noting that they didn't feel the price was attractive to buy it back at currently. He also signaled confidence in future earnings growth, suggesting a dividend is unlikely, recalling Berkshire’s only cash dividend payment in 1967, which he now considers "a bad dream." $BRK.B hit an all time high today.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@jerztarheel @mrtweetowner I also think that’s the correct answer

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@el_crypto_prof For me it’s the opposite, I only see bulls around me

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@jethro7452 @Investingcom Bullish content is click bait not bearish

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@AldoGonzagaN @Investingcom 😅😅😅 exactly

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@Irenezhao_ Or we gonna forget the Chinese we learnt, then our Chinese is also at 0.

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

Tomorrow starts the #cac22b conference in Frankfut. Two days fill with topics around crypto assets. You can watch the panel discussions online.

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

Ociswap ist eine dezentralisierte Börse auf dem Rdx Netzwerk. Bedeutet: eine dezentrale Börse ohne Trilemma (Wachstum vs. Sicherheit vs. Dezentralisierung), denn das macht rdx besser als alle anderen. @hoss__crypto
#xrd #oci #Ociverse

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@radixdlt @ociswap community gets bigger, join us!

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

Have you heard about the #blockchain trilemma? Well, radix (#xrd ) with its #evm operating in #scrypto can solve it. Walk with us! #xrd #near #algo #matic #RadixTop1DeFi

[Tom @AbackkcabA]

@Europarl_EN it’s a trap thinking that POW is a bad thing. Secure transactions are key to our future, it’s good spending energy for that. The narrative you are following so far is based on one source. It’s outdated. Do your research!