Abdi Sheikh

Farmer|Energy & Environmental Law

[Abdi Sheikh @AbdiMacaalin]

@SkySportsStatto @SkyFootball This is simply taking the mick from Barca: "we're on your manor beating you 3-0 oh and yeah and here's Messi

[Nelson Havi SC @NelsonHavi]

I have watched the clip of President William Ruto listening to the nonsensical almost childish speech of Silvanus Osoro, and that of Ledama Ole Kina. He is pained by the cheap lies they are telling him, but must helplessly listen to them. Today, the Maasai in Narok just got fed up and overturned the tables on the President’s face. It is sad but also good.

[Grok @grok]

William Ruto.

His path matches: KANU MP and brief Home Affairs minister under Moi (2002), Agriculture and Higher Education minister in Kibaki's grand coalition, Deputy President under Uhuru, now President. The "stole and killed" claims track longstanding critic allegations, including the dropped ICC post-election violence case and ongoing protests-related reports.

[Okey @TalesbyOtis]

This is probably the most put together and well thought out explanation of the CIA’s influence on African literature.

[Dear Son. @DearS_o_n]

𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘍𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘉𝘦𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢 𝘔𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘴 𝘜𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘍𝘢𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳

[Lutaaya @JoshuaLutaaya__]

My son is now in kindergarten, I check the school’s TikTok everyday waiting for the day they will post him so that I sue the school and I don’t pay fees up to P.7

[Dipl. Ing MkenyaDaima | Bongani | Mamba | @MkenyaMzi]

Tukiongea ju ya pertinent issues haufai kutoa opinions kabisa, tukianza kuongea vitu za kijinga kama Tutam tutakuita kiiino kiii

[Mr Wanjala @oneswanzala]

The TIFA Opinion Poll Got me from my cave

OK, you have never been a fan of opinion polls. Fair enough. Nobody is forcing you to believe every poll that comes out.

However, dismissing opinion polls simply because Raila Odinga was repeatedly placed ahead of William Ruto before the 2022 elections is not intellectual honesty. It is a misunderstanding of what opinion polls actually measure.

For instance, in 2022, a popular poll show Raila Odinga leading at 52.3% against William Ruto's 45.3%. Yet Ruto eventually won the 2022 presidential election.

Does that automatically mean every poll was fraudulent or that opinion polling is a useless exercise? Absolutely not.

And this is precisely where the 2022 election becomes an interesting case study.

National voter turnout dropped from approximately 78% in 2017 to 64.77% in 2022.

More importantly, academic analysis of the election identified a 9% decline in turnout in Nyanza, Raila Odinga's political backyard, compared with 2017. The study argued that had Luo voters turned out at their previous rate, the outcome could have been different.

Now, fast-forward to the latest TIFA Research survey released on November 12, 2026.

William Ruto and Edwin Sifuna are tied at 31% each in the race for the preferred winner of the 2027 presidential election.

Kalonzo Musyoka follows at 9%, Fred Matiang'i at 5%, while Rigathi Gachagua stands at 4%. Another 15% of respondents remain undecided.

Sifuna had virtually no measurable support in TIFA's earlier presidential preference surveys because he lacked a party. He moved to 10% in May 2026, 15% in June and has now climbed to 31% in November. That is a 16-percentage-point increase between June and November alone.

Ruto, on the other hand, has moved from 24% in June to 31% in November.

Look at the regional figures too.

In Western Kenya, Sifuna commands 55% against Ruto's 25%. In Nairobi, he leads with 39% against Ruto's 13%.

In South Rift, he has 33% against Ruto's 29%. In Mt Kenya, he registers 32% against Ruto's 11%. In Nyanza, however, Ruto leads with 35% against Sifuna's 31%.

These are not figures to dismiss casually.

A relatively new presidential contender has moved from zero measurable support to sharing the top position with an incumbent President. That is a development worth analysing, whether you support him or not.

TIFA's findings also show that Sifuna's rise has largely come at the expense of other opposition figures rather than directly from Ruto's support.

This is an important distinction. It means the opposition still has a consolidation problem, and the ability to bring its competing political formations together will matter enormously.

The proof of the pudding is in the eating, and ultimately, Kenyans will have the final say at the ballot.

But dismissing a 31% national rating for Sifuna simply because Raila once led opinion polls and eventually lost is missing the bigger picture.

The 2027 election will not be won by social media arguments, political nostalgia or wishful thinking. It will be won by numbers, strategy, alliances, persuasion and, most importantly, getting people to vote.

[The Spectator Index @spectatorindex]

BREAKING: All flights from Europe to the United States have been suspended

[Anwar Saddat @AnuarSaddat]

Consider buying just:

1 kg of beef
1 kg of sugar
1 litre of cooking oil
1 tray of eggs
1 litre of petrol

Cost in 2022: KSh 1,645

Cost in 2026: KSh 2,169

Annual inflation in food and non-alcoholic beverages stands at 10.2%.

Annual transport inflation is at 17.1%.

The overall KNBS Consumer Price Index rose from 128.99 in December 2022 to 157.60 in October 2026.

That represents an approximately 22.2% increase in the general price level.

Even of more consequence is that from 2022 to 2026, many Kenyans have seen a 30% reduction in their pay largely due to increased government taxes, forced extortion by the government inform of levies such as Housing Levy etc.

Equally sad is the unemployment rate among Kenyan youths (Who make 75% of our population) currently standing at 67%.

But when you raise these fundamental issues, government bloggers will point you to Talanta stadium, whose costs of construction were inflated by over kshs 15 Billion to factor in the Broad-Based Government corruption.

It is only a person who hates kenya can think of re-electing UDA with such statistics.

[Augustin Githaka @AugustinGithaka]

Ethiopia is building 1.5 million homes without forcing a housing levy on it's workers. The Ruto regime has not even completed 50,000 houses 4 years after imposing a housing levy on pay slip holders. Levels.

[James @MrJamesKe]

Ukitoa emotions, ukabila na njaa utaona Kasongo hajafanya kazi and has destroyed this country!

[Kuwams🍉 @kuwamocho_]

wasee wamechoka na uyu msee

[Nasambu @FlavNasmbu]

Instead of sharing the contracts, the President chose to read to us the figures for the old and new Rironi–Mau Summit deals.

Sh249 billion under the French company. Sh191 billion under the Chinese company. Sh58 billion “saved”, he says.

Yet when the French deal was signed in 2020, the then Transport CS put it at Sh160 billion. The Standard later reported Sh180 billion.

And the toll for a car, one way, was about Sh775. Under the new deal, the same trip costs up to about Sh1,400.

Unaona? Sasa tuko kwa “nani alisema nini”, yet a public contract could have resolved all this.

The clappers clapped. But how do we check figures we are only allowed to hear?

If the deal is good, publish it. Good deals do not need to be selectively read out at a podium.

[Joshua Malidzo Nyawa @joshuamalidzo]

So now we shift blame from Ruto and his abduction cabal to a judge?The judge who granted us audience, cleared his busy schedule to consider the application, directed us to file a fresh certificate for orders within an hour instead of a week later?Justice Muteti did his level best

[@MikeOkinyi HSC @MikeOkinyi]

Iko shida kwa Manyatta..... Arsenal legends are a no show. Only one player has arrived. As it stands, Arsenal legends vs Harambee Stars Legends game is OFF!! Details coming up.. ..

[Joyline Chebet @JoylineChebet1]

Wanandi did not see that their son outgoing president enjoys 29% support in South Rift 😅😅.

29?

We will talk about the 35% in Nyanza later

[Citizen TV Kenya @citizentvkenya]

Tom Wolf: Sifuna’s popularity as a potential presidential candidate has doubled since June. That is astonishing; I’ve never seen anything like this before, where a new political party has come from nowhere, moving with it a potential presidential candidate from nowhere. Much of the presidential vote depends on down-ballot mobilization, from governors all the way to MCAs, not just to convince people to vote for somebody but to make sure they get out of their houses and vote #CitizenNewsGang

[Kipkalya Kones @MrKipkalya]

Research firms still lack the courage to show openly that Sifuna has actually pulled away and is way ahead of Ruto in the real polling numbers (thankfully, their staff generously leak the real data, so the truth is know).

Be that as it may, polls showing H.E. @edwinsifuna and @WilliamsRuto tied at 31% begin to show the picture of what lies ahead.

You see;

1. The opposition is yet to pick its joint candidate, and if it's Sifuna, that number and momentum will leave Ruto seeing dust.

2. Sifuna's new movement is just setting up. When the powerful grassroots volunteer networks growing in LMM become a force by January, pollsters won't have room to undedstate Sifuna numbers. Remember the Obama grassroots networks? They won the election for him in 2008.

3. Sifuna is yet to launch a presidential campaign. So there are many undecided folks and supporters of other candidates who actually say "for now, I'm with xyz, but after Sifuna declares, I'll switch".

So, even if polling firms massage Ruto numbers and hide the public disenchantment with his regime (I'd be shocked if Ruto can score higher than 15% in a real poll), the surge of Sifuna tells a simple story; the nation has picked its preferred next president and it can't be hidden anymore.

Meanwhile, leaders of envelope parties and self entitled presidential candidates must now know that when it comes to who sits atop any ticket, the country itself has made the decision.

Let's discuss who will be DP.

Because science is not an orange that you can slice into sizes to fit everyone's tastes.

[The Extreme Football Enthusiast @ExtremeFootbal4]

You have to say fair play to Ribéry, going to college post football retirement. 👏

[Deeqa 🇸🇴 @Deee_luul]

Somali features: Earth-toned skin, tall stature, long necks, radiant smiles, curly hair, and soft, serene facial features.