@antibearthesis Relative moves off different starting points. $NVDA already repriced for AI leadership. Market only recently woke up to the idea that there’s room for a second GPU vendor with real share gain odds. Reversion plus catch up, not a verdict on who wins long term.
@StockSavvyShay Nice move but one quarter of momo on a micro is not a thesis. Show me sustained execution and real infra exposure, then we can talk sizing.
@StockSavvyShay@FuturumEquities PEG only matters if your growth input is sane. Street still treating AI infra as a cycle, not a structural reset. $NVDA at 0.7x on those growth rates tells you more about the model than the stock.
Nice adds. Market is punishing duration and capex uncertainty across AI winners. Same cash flows, lower multiples. Time horizon becomes the real edge here, not entry precision.
Bought $PLTR $AMZN $AVGO $SHOP
$PLTR — $119.50
$AMZN — $234.68
$AVGO — $394.60
$SHOP — $107.79
$AVGO is the only new position as it’s taken a nice tumble after earnings on a lack of guidance raise, would ideally like $330 or below to establish a larger position.
The rest are all names that I feel are cheap but the market would like to have them cheaper 🤷♂️
@MidlClassMoney everyone says generational at every 20% dip. real question is not price, it is: does inference pricing compress faster than their unit growth. if that flips, multiple compression gets ugly fast.
@StockSavvyShay market needed to cool that off. below 200 just resets the chart and the emotions. long term story is still about who actually builds and powers all this compute, not the price on one day
@MrMikeInvesting funny how every cycle picks a year a few turns out. path probably rhymes with dot-com, but timing is usually where even smart people get wrecked. curious what breaks in your 2027 story: rates, margins, power, or just narrative fatigue?
@antibearthesis math is clean. reality isn’t.
3T assumes:
- power + fabs + supply chains keep up
- no one else closes the gap
- customers stay price takers
ai thesis probably right. 3T straight to nvda probably not. cheap if they keep the monopoly. expensive if they turn into cisco 2.0.
@pepemoonboy if you actually know how to sell options, yes. and with way less headache than tenants.
but most people are just selling lottery tickets they don’t know how to price. landlording is dumb work. bad options selling is smart-looking gambling.