acCOUNTable refs

Better Reffing Through Statistics

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

The #NFL teams hurt/helped most by penalties this season

This shows each team’s net gain/loss of Win Probability as a result of flags

We think taking this unique approach to measuring the impact of penalties brings something new and interesting to #NFLStats. We hope you do too!

[Joyce Alene @JoyceWhiteVance]

1/ As we evaluate the prospect of Meadows's motion to remove his prosecution from State to Federal Court, important to remember that the governing law will be fed'l law & the appeal of the district judge's decision will go to the 11th Circuit. Not a state law matter.

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

Well that wraps up an incredible post-season

Thank you so much for everyone who joined us and especially those who retweeted/followed/commented!

Can we get some love for the officials who joined us behind the scenes to share their insights throughout the postseason?

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

Pass Interference by the #Bengals cost them an additional 9.29% Win Probability

The officials doing their best to make our pregame prediction look foolish by making these highly impactful penalty calls (properly officiated ones) after a game with no in-play whistles

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

We don't currently handle offsetting penalty Win Probability impacts. But it's safe to say if you call only one of those penalties, you are getting a 20+% Win Probability impact

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

A massive Defensive Holding call against the #Bengals gives the #Rams turns a 4th and Goal into a 1st and Goal

The Bengals lost 20.07% Win Probability on the play

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@Paul_Martin33 Don't have the stats on that available right at this moment. One for us to look into later!

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@Paul_Martin33 Yeah, that one was massive: 26.46% Win Probability lost on that missed call

But ideally the #NFL would put new systems in place that help officials get these critical calls right

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@thekillakay_ The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed penalty (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

It was almost as impactful by the numbers as the #Saints missed call everyone remembers

https://t.co/pSKIkw5wjU

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@FOXSportsMX The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed penalty (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

https://t.co/pSKIkw4Yum

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@SInow The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed penalty (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

https://t.co/pSKIkw4Yum

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@nroll19 @bdjskajhshsuaj @GeneYussVA You don't have to start with reviewing everything, just everything that would potentially have a large impact on Win Probability. That's a much more manageable goal

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

A Personal Foul against the #Bengals costs them 2.06% Win Probability. Not a minor mistake with a small lead over the #Rams

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

Let's put the missed Face Mask in historical perspective. The most famous missed penalty in recent playoff history was the uncalled DPI that ultimately cost the #Saints a Super Bowl berth

The Saints lost 26.46% WP on that play. The #Rams lost 24.37% WP

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

A no-call can be every bit as impactful as a flag that is thrown. The #Saints know this better than most: https://t.co/qsJGGvFzSF

When the officials failed to flag the #Rams for DPI, the Saints lost over 26.46% Win Probability and ultimately lost the game and a Super Bowl berth

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@Kwando3242 We use Win Probability models to compare the state of the game without the penalty a #Bengals TD to the state of the game with the penalty. That difference was 24.37%

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

We NEED your help! Please RETWEET and @ MENTION your favorite accounts

This is nearly a 25% Win Probability swing in the most important #NFL game on a missed call that *could* have been properly officiated with a more robust review system put in place

Change is 100% needed

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@FieldGulls The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed foul (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

https://t.co/OVhZOLBCjb

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@JacobTamme We expected few impactful penalties, but that's an inexcusably impactful no-call

The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed foul (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

https://t.co/OVhZOLBCjb

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

@tsnmike @MrJaKaRa The blatant ones have to be called. This one was missed in a way that had a huge effect on the game.

The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on that Face Mask no-call. That was a massive missed foul (the largest no-call of the entire playoffs)

https://t.co/OVhZOLBCjb

[acCOUNTable refs @AcCOUNTableRefs]

An extremely costly missed Face Mask by the #Bengals on their TD. The #Rams lost 24.37% Win Probability on the officiating mistake (as confirmed by our rules experts)

That is largest impact from a missed call we've seen in the playoffs

#StatThat