ॐ नमः शिवाय
Another one side movment day ka decide kar liya Hai
Lekin bataunga jab
Jab is Tweet ko 1000 Retweet with comments ho jayenge
नहीं तो अपना राम अपने मन में।
जय श्री राम
🕉️🇮🇳🚩
@InvestorOfJAMMU Are you serious?
- 320 ipos in 2025
- mean reversion not happened post march 2020
- mtf book 1.12 lc crore
- markt cap to gdp 143%
List are still many.
Stocks wise it may but don’t you think a healthy mean reversion, for good market.
@ChikouTrader@piyush_trades is the brand ambassador of 20k and this furu believes that 20k will be hit this year itself..open challenges like leaving twitter if 20k doesn't come etc etc😂
@Rishabhh005 this guy having aug 2025 target as 21k..postponing date on monthly basis fooling people😂
@Rishabhh005@LatherSahil@Rishabhh005 , dear nifty is side ways isn’t it? There is no chance looking at current conditions that wave c is even forming. Can you please recheck your counts?
My #notes for you 🙏
#Bookmark for reference
Markets losing "surprise element" -
becoming predictable using Elliott Wave theory
•Last 4 months: able to predict every bottom with "utmost precision"
•Currently in consolidating market - ABC correction pattern
•Every 4-hour divergence working "like a charm"
Personal Trading Performance & Strategy
•Went "all in" on September 29th after deploying all money
•PnL this year already double last year's full-year performance
•Two accounts: Cash portfolio (Paytm) held until targets, F&O account (Zerodha) for active trading
•Currently long Bank Nifty and Mid Select futures
•Never trades options - advocates against option trading
•Focus on futures without time consideration
Recent Trading Calls & Accuracy
•Predicted bottom August 11th, top August 22nd, bottom August 29th
•Went all-in on realty and defense August 29th
•Shorted Nifty at 25,400 (actual top was 25,450 - within 30-40 points)
•Closed all shorts September 29th and went long again
•Used Elliott Wave theory with 4-hour and 2-hour timeframes
•Simple wave counting: find 5 waves and look for divergence between 3rd and 5th waves
Current Nifty Targets & Levels
•Current level: 24,900
•Three profit booking levels: 5%, 15%, 25% higher
◦5% = 26,300
◦15% = 28,600
◦25% = 31,000
•Will not short at these levels, only book longs
•Expects all 5 green days next week
•Ultimate target: 33,000 (99% probability based on 1.618 extension)
Bank Nifty Analysis
•Currently at 55,500
•Near-term target: 58,000 (4-4.5% higher)
•Long-term target: 73,260 (32% higher over 7-8 months)
•Kotak Bank showing strength at golden pocket (0.618 Fibonacci)
•Axis Bank breakdown in July signaled market correction
•Bank Nifty leading the way up
USD/INR Chart Analysis Secret
•Key insight: Look at Nifty divided by USD/INR on TradingView
•Nifty in dollar terms show clearer Elliott Wave patterns
•Rupee depreciated 1.5-2% in September, inflating asset prices artificially
•Many analysts failed because they weren't looking at dollar-denominated charts
•Recommends viewing all major indices in USD terms
Sector Outlook & Recommendations
Gold Analysis & Strategy
•Current level: $3,900+ (₹118,000)
•Gold has "no demand and no supply" - purely currency dependent
•Secret: Forecast gold by looking at DXY (dollar index) inverted
•Expects 2.5% correction to $3,790 before resuming uptrend
•Will wait for correction, not short the trend
•In India: Double tailwind (international prices + rupee depreciation)
Silver Analysis
•Started bull market 1.5 years after gold (late 2024)
•Rose from ₹82,000 to ₹145,000 (bought at ₹82,000)
•No divergence on weekly charts - top not close
•Expects to reach ₹170,000
•70% of move completed, 30% remaining
•Resistance at $47.4, expects 4-5% cooldown for 2-4 weeks
Investment view
Alternative Investments
•Brazil mutual fund (HSBC) over China exposure
•Structural stories: Defense, EV (Ola Electric disclosure), drone technology
•US-focused companies to benefit from rupee depreciation (97-100 target)
Safe Parking Options (when market tops)
•Government bonds > corporate bonds > arbitrage funds > money market funds > fixed deposits
•Arbitrage funds: Equity taxation (12.5% LTCG) with FD-like returns
Elliott Wave Education Advice
•Don't learn from 70-year-old books
•Learn from real-time practitioners with screen sharing
•Combine with ratio charts, Fibonacci, swing failure patterns
•Elliott Wave alone is "garbage" - needs multiple confirmations
Q&A Highlights
•Premium group: Capacity 250, entries blocked for 2 weeks
•SIF funds: Too new, wait for performance history
•US markets: Expecting major crash in 2030 (50% decline)
•Rupee target: 97-100 near-term, 60 in 5 years