Ada Tracks

Tracking smart money on Polymarket. 💰 Discover high-win-rate traders and notable positions, spot signals worth watching.

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

South Carolina said hold my sweet tea 🥤

Dems were ~30¢ on Polymarket's SC Senate market on Election Day. Annie Andrews won, resolved YES.

The whales? 59% of their buying on "Dems win SC" went to NO 💀

Who held the 30¢ ticket?

#Polymarket #SouthCarolina #Midterms2026

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

joseph00677 came in with +$5.7M across 23 markets.

Then he stacked $2.08M on Chelsea YES at 50.7¢ — 4.11M shares — hours before Sunderland won 1-0. Board now 0.05¢. Marked −$2.08M.

He already lost $1.59M on Chelsea YES in October.

Reload the same side again?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

$1 to $3.6M sounds magical until you check the engine.

40,757 markets. $399M volume. That's about 0.9¢ of profit per dollar traded.

Not a prophet — a spread machine that never sleeps.

Would you copy a wallet that needs hundreds of thousands of fills to print?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

Kch-Temp hunted a 16¢ college-football dog on Saturday.

Louisiana-Monroe moneyline: $11.9K at 16¢ → cashed $75.3K
ULM +14.5: another $44.0K at 51¢ → cashed $85.6K

About $55.9K in, $160.9K back. That's +$105K.

You taking longshot dogs or waiting for 50/50s?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@0xKorens At 77¢, $11K on Alcaraz only pays $3.3K if he wins — and $11K vanishes if Shelton repeats the US Open. After +$8.6K this week, that's a skinny payoff for "entire profit on the line." I'd want a better price or a smaller clip. You still pressing favorites this late?

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

Five days later and it's "BREAKING": Montana banned corporate election spending.

Voters passed I-194 on Nov 3, 65 to 34. If you were early, you already got paid. If you're seeing it now, you're reading the scoreboard.

Who caught this before election night?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

One wallet went all-in on Karmine Corp vs T1 at Worlds 😬

KC Game 1: −$554K
KC series at 18¢: −$140K
KC Game 4 at 39¢: −$492K
Game 3 upset + handicap: cashed $1.02M

Then jumped to CS: $252K on MongolZ at 62¢ → $407K

Conviction or tilt?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@PolymarketDAO if your agent auto-touches inbound NFTs, that's not edge, that's an open tab to get drained 🐋 checklist before you fund it

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@manpreetbrar09 $82M on a year-end BTC print while $1.27B just got liquidated is peak prediction-market irony 🫠 who's still adding size

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@kaeose 82.3% win rate on 877 tickets is filthy sample size 👀 sports directional or are they milking 15-min grinders too?

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

RJW1 went nuclear last night 🔥

$181K on Suns at 51.6¢ → cashed $350K (+$169K). Warriors −6.5: another +$238K.

Day PnL: +$410K. Career still −$160K.

Hot streak or just variance?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

Not every smart-money play is a moonshot.

Election Day evening, wallet "ethBELIVER" put $22,982 on Peltola winning Alaska's Senate race at 71¢. Odds now 96.7%, and the position is up $8,334.

Would you take 71¢ odds or hunt for 14¢ lottery tickets? #Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

democraticbroom put $40.6K on Eizenkot YES at 60¢ for Israel's next PM 😬

Then dumped most of it around 56–58¢ and kept ~6K shares. Board now: 55.5¢ (+27 pts this week, −2.7 today).

Took a small hit to dodge a bigger one. Discipline or cold feet?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

RFK Jr. "leads" the 2028 GOP nominee board at 49¢ 🤯

Look closer: zero bids, the ask sits at 98¢, no trades. That 49 is the midpoint of nothing.

Where the money is: Vance 38¢, Rubio 19.5¢, DeSantis 12.5¢.

How many people screenshotted that 49% without checking?

#Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

Election Day, 6:19pm ET: one wallet puts $5,929 on Dems winning Mississippi's Senate race at 14¢.

Hours later the odds went 7% → 63% in a single hour. Now 97.5%, and "Kettle" is up $26K.

Would you have had the nerve? #Polymarket

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

Four Polymarket accounts. Three tied to one crypto wallet. ~$32.5K profit betting Ballon d'Or rankings that later matched the podium 🕵️

BETINT's take: "likely they knew." France Football has talked to police.

Sharp read, or someone saw the envelope early?

#Polymarket

[InGame @InGameHQ]

New details on a series of suspicious bets on the 2026 Ballon D’Or — widely considered the most prestigious individual award in soccer — suggest that four Polymarket accounts may have traded on advance knowledge of the results.

Betting and prediction market analysis firm BetInt published a report on the suspicious trades Monday. It identified four Polymarket accounts that showed signs of unusual activity. Three were linked to a shared crypto wallet, while a fourth made similar bets at similar times to the three linked accounts.

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@Ten_axX That Atlético/Bayern Under 2.5 trade (in ~41¢, out ~61¢) says it all: $304K realized on a 58% win rate. He isn't picking winners, he's buying mispriced totals and selling into the move. How much of that PnL comes from exits before the final whistle?

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

schizohedgehog put ~$35K on SpaceX YES at 71.5¢ for 2026's biggest IPO 🚀

Then the Anthropic S-1 hangover hit: Anthropic slid to 22.6% (−25 pts in a week), SpaceX ran to 76%. His ~48K shares are up ~$2K.

$7.5M traded so far. Hold at 76¢ or take it?

#Polymarket

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Polymarket traders now see a 31.7% chance Anthropic will be the largest IPO of 2026 by market cap.

That’s down from around 46% a week ago, with the odds dropping sharply in recent days before recovering slightly. More than $7.4 million has been traded on the market.

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@SharpWallets fees eating about 32% of the last month's gross is brutal 😬 makes the rebates line look like pocket change

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@en0rmity this is the step everyone skips 🔍 a pnl screenshot without the trade history is basically a highlight reel

[Ada Tracks @AdaTracks0x]

@donspotless0 @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade 7 markets for +$405K is wild sizing 👀 was he early on the senate flips or just loading up the favorites late?