Addison Hayes

Content creator for @DLFootball & @4for4Football
Creator of don't lie, people do

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@JerrySinDWZ Nah, I'm not a volume dynasty player and I actively avoided Sleeper leagues for years haha

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Doing my first ever dynasty startup on Sleeper and it is wild to me how low the bar is for the consensus "best dynasty platform".

I can't believe how many people think this is a good app...

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

I recently built a redraft rankings engine that feeds off of ADP, 4for4 projections, and my own projections all blended together. Interestingly, when the engine projects players to finish 10+ positional spots ahead of ADP and finish inside the top-30 for RB/WR or top-15 for QB/TE, the players finish above ADP at an 85% hit rate (2021-2025)!

Who are the players this year?
- Brian Thomas Jr
- Terry McLaurin
- Alec Pierce
- DK Metcalf (maybe Michael Pittman)
- Malik Willis

▶️ Watch: https://t.co/2sD1aYOnxO

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@DaveKluge @SiriusXMFantasy Congrats Dave!

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@JerrySinDWZ MFL >>>

(Also RSO, FFPC)

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Check out the entire video and the full Burden segment below & don't forget to subscribe! 👇

https://t.co/JfajswkPJZ

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

I'm all for Luther Burden in dynasty, but that hype has carried over to redraft leagues already and his ADP is too high for me to draft him. He's going almost two rounds ahead of Rome Odunze based on a small 3-4 game sample when Rome was inactive. Are we really THAT confident Burden is the Bears WR1?

*the real answer is Colston Loveland btw, but I'll gladly take Rome later*

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Check out the entire video and the full Nabers segment below & don't forget to subscribe! 👇

https://t.co/JfajswkPJZ

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

I'm out on drafting Malik Nabers at his 3rd round ADP this year. There's just no reason to add that risk onto your team when he'll start the season on the PUP and then need physical and mental ramp up time after that to get used to the new offense and playing with Jaxson Dart.

That range of WR is too juicy to miss 25%+ of the season out the gate. I'll pass in drafts and if I want him, I'll trade for him mid-season.

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@OverHypedSleepr Forever waiting for ESPN to add dynasty

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Check out the entire video and the full JSN segment below & don't forget to subscribe! 👇

https://t.co/JfajswkPJZ

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

I might be on an island as the only person in the world who thinks JSN might be overvalued in drafts heading into 2026. The WR3 and 1.05 off the board feels too rich for all the regression signals on his profile from last year:

- 1/13 WRs since 2000 to eclipse 1700 yards. The average drop in production the next season is 33% (Antonio Brown and CeeDee Lamb fell below 1300 yards)

- 14th player since 2000 with 10 catches of 30+ airyards in a season (double the amount Puka had and triple the number Chase had).

- 1/32 WRs since 2000 to eclipse a season-long 30% target share (34%!). The average drop the following season is 7.7%. 2nd highest last year was Amon-Ra at 29%!

- Most receiving yards in a season on a team with under 5000 pass attempts. His 1,793 yards was 230 yards more than 2nd on the list and the average was 1400 for the top-10 seasons!

He's a 1st round redraft pick, but I don't think he's top-5 overall or the WR3!

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@therealKW65 McLaurin and some RB probably

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Hey @LateRoundQB ! I had to start a new account so I can't message you anymore without your follow, but wanted to run another collab by you! Thanks, JJ!

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Check out the entire video and the full Johnston segment below & don't forget to subscribe! 👇

https://t.co/yqnznutUa2

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

If Josh Downs actually plays in 2WR sets this year, his floor is incredible and the ceiling isn't bad either for the type of player he is. Michael Pittman is gone and Alec Pierce is nursing an ankle injury that *might* keep him out to start the season. But even with a healthy Pierce, all we need are consistent 2WR snaps for Downs and the targets will flow.

In fact, when Downs has played 70%+ snaps, he produces like a top-20 fantasy WR, pacing for over 900 yards and 5 TDs on 120 targets. If you're looking for this year's Zay Flowers or Wan'Dale Robinson - that's Josh Downs.

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@JSpiegel2 @nickercolano WR14 overall… awful, I hate when my WRs score top-15 points

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Check out the entire video and the full Johnston segment below & don't forget to subscribe! 👇

https://t.co/yqnznutUa2

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

Quentin Johnston might be the easiest later round pick in redraft this year because he checks so many boxes:

Best fantasy WR on his team last year✅
Upgraded offensive system✅
Perimeter X-receiver playing 2WR sets✅
Double-digit TD upside (16 TDs L2Y)✅

We're so excited for this Chargers offense under Mike McDaniel for Herbert, Hampton, Ladd, Gadsden/Njoku, but no one is excited for Quentin Johnston's upside and I think that's a massive mistake.

[Addison Hayes @AddisonHayes_]

@JSpiegel2 @nickercolano Guess he’ll continue not being good this year then