afroopinion

[Dr Nico @klup]

My company @Afroopinion looks for volunteers to perform election surveys on WhatsApp, especially those from diaspora are invited. In 2021 Kyagulanyi got 63% and M7 27%, how much will it be now?

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Why didn't we see a Afrobarometer forecast for the Ghana Presidential Elections? Is it maybe because @afrobarometer is located in Ghana and doesn't (didn't) want to get into problems with the government?

[Afrobarometer @afrobarometer]

“The latest Afrobarometer survey in Ghana shows that unemployment is the top policy issue that Ghanaians want their government to address. This is followed closely by infrastructure/roads (38%) and healthcare (33%)," said our @joeasunka in an interview with Perry World House ahead of Ghana’s election.

Read the full article here: https://t.co/3pTJmkb9ff

#GhanaDecides2024 #VoicesAfrica

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Tomorrow are Presidential Elections in Ghana. We forecast that John Mahana will win the first round with 48.5%, but a second round will be necessary. Mahamudu Bawumia will get 39.4%. Nana Kwame Bediako gets 12%. https://t.co/tXpVKb0Nyz

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

None of the mayor surveys, including our own survey, had more than half of the respondents favoring Ruto. Did we poll wrong, or are there flaws in the electoral process?

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Most mayor surveys predict Waihiga at 0.2% or less. Of our respondents, 1.4% tell us they will vote him. If indeed his score is above 1%, four of the surveyors below have something to explain.

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Happy to see that so far Kenyan elections are peaceful. Like we predicted it's a neck and neck race. There are reports Ruto is winning, and reports Odinga is winning. Exciting race!

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

*chance (not change)

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

On Monday we published our survey for Kenya. We expect @RailaOdinga to win the first round against @WilliamsRuto, but without sufficient votes to get to 50%+1. https://t.co/3YbuiXjNfH /1

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

So we expect Odinga 49 +/- 4%, Ruto 45.6% +/- 4%, Wajackoyah 3.7% +/- 1.3% and Waihiga 1.7% +/- 0.7%. A change of about 35-40% that Odinga will win without needing a second round.

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Our first research was done in October/November 2020, ahead to the Ugandan presidential elections. We were still using the name Freedom Uganda @UgandaFreedom. https://t.co/gVzoj4jYun

[afroopinion @afroopinion]

Our motto "When you can't trust governments to count -- We will"