Akash

Investor, Consultant, Advisor, Executive Leader

[Akash @Akash_131]

@TechWith_Nova SKILL

[Akash @Akash_131]

@StockOptions888 $SPX

[Akash @Akash_131]

@StockOptions888 $100 strategy

[Akash @Akash_131]

$400K for $BTC in 2025

>> if 2025 $ inflow is as strong as 2024 (esp Q3-Q4) then 2025 is going to be very bullish for $MSTR $BTC #BTC #MSTR

and #Bitcoin proxies like $COIN $CLSK $IREN $BTBT $MARA $WULF $CIFR $HUT $HIVE $BITF $MSTU $MSTX $BTDR $CORZ $CAN $RIOT $IBIT $FBTC

[Akash @Akash_131]

In 2025 NEW $ estimated into #BTC=$183 B (ETF) + $66 B ( $MSTR )+ $38 B (US Govt) + $28 B (Misc Other+Rest of World+Other Govt)= $315 B Total >> $315 B in NEW $$ means 1,700,000 NEW demand for #BTC= translates to delta price increase of $300K. 2025 end BTC Price $400,000 / #BTC

[Akash @Akash_131]

In 2024, Total NEW $ Billions Invested in #Bitcoin = $42 B (#ETF & $MSTR) >> created a Total NEW Demand for #BTC of about 700,000 which then raised $BTC price by $40,000 (from avg of $60,000 to $100,000)
2024 - For every $1 B of NEW Demand (inflow), price per #BTC went up by $950

[Akash @Akash_131]

In 2025 NEW $ estimated into #BTC=$183 B (ETF) + $66 B ( $MSTR )+ $38 B (US Govt) + $28 B (Misc Other+Rest of World+Other Govt)= $315 B Total >> $315 B in NEW $$ means 1,700,000 NEW demand for #BTC= translates to delta price increase of $300K. 2025 end BTC Price $400,000 / #BTC

[Akash @Akash_131]

$MSTR – Volatility is Vitality. When Bullish (MSTR 11-Nov to 20-NOV) every 30% increase in MSTR Price, % GAIN in Profit in Option was ~200% (2x). When Bearish (MSTR 22-Nov to 26-NOV), just 10% drop in MSTR Price, leads to wipe out of ur unrealized profits in Options by 50% (1/2)

[Akash @Akash_131]

So lets say u are at 10x (1000%) Profit in $MSTR Option > if things get very bearish, first 10% drop in $MSTR price, 10x gain can reduce to 5x (unrealized) profit & another 10% drop (total=20% drop) leads to another 50% drop, i.e. u are now at 2.5x (250%) unrealized option Profit

[Akash @Akash_131]

Put another way, in bullish times (11-20 Nov), in one option case, it took 30% price movement in $MSTR to double profit in Option (i.e. 2x gain) >> but in bearish times (22-26 Nov), it only took a 10% drop in $MSTR stock price to cut (unrealized) Option profits in half (1/2)

[Akash @Akash_131]

$MSTR - If u hv MSTR call option, how much
can u LOOSE when MSTR price drops?
Answer: Take 1 case of $MSTR Call Option 17-JAN-2025 Expiry, SP - $520 >> During sharp pullback of MSTR from 22-Nov to 26-NOV, for every 10% drop in MSTR Price, % LOSS in Options was ½ or 50% >> See pic

[Akash @Akash_131]

$MSTR- If u hv MSTR call options, how much
can you expect to make in BULLISH times?
Answer: Take 1 case of $MSTRCall Option 17-JAN-2025 Expiry, SP - $520 >> During uptrend of MSTR from 11-Nov to 20-NOV, for every 30% increase in MSTR Price, % GAIN in Option was ~200% >> See pic

[Akash @Akash_131]

$MSTR - If u hv MSTR call options, how much
can you expect to make in BULLISH times?
Answer: Take 1 case of $MSTR Call Option 17-JAN-2025 Expiry, SP - $520 >> During uptrend of MSTR from 11-Nov to 20-NOV, for every 30% increase in MSTR Price, % GAIN in Option was ~200% >> See pic

[Akash @Akash_131]

$MSTR $MSTX $MSTU - based on the Nov 21 end of the day Option Chain Data for $MSTR, while the sell-off could be anticipated, the support is now also clear - $400 appears to be the floor (support) for this week - as explained earlier (or see pics below)

[Akash @Akash_131]

One can see Nov 21 sell-off coming: -17% sell off in $MSTR not unusual – similar double digit sell-off happened last wk (Nov 13) like clockwork. Both cases (Nov 13 & Nov 21) option chain showed tell-tale predictable patterns. See Pics 1-4 for updated explanation of earlier tweet

[Akash @Akash_131]

One can see Nov 21 sell-off coming: -17% sell off in MSTR not unusual – similar double digit sell-off happened last wk (Nov 13) like clockwork. Both cases (Nov 13 & Nov 21), option chain showed tell-tale predictable patterns. See Pics 1-4 for updated explanation of earlier tweet

[Akash @Akash_131]

Today’s (Nov 21) -16% sell off in MSTR not unusual – similar high -ve % daily sell off happened last week (Nov 13) like clockwork. In both cases (Wed, Nov 13 & Thurs, Nov 21), the Option Chain showed tell-tale similar predictable patterns. See Pics 1 - 4 for detail explanation

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

$13M is the #Bitcoin Base Case.

[Akash @Akash_131]

While MALI-AK number has come in high last few days, buyers are stepping in every time the market pulls down. On Jan 31, 2023 MALI-AK value came in high again. Is the recent run setting up as a bear trap at this inflexion point? To be seen...If the bulls win, off to the races...

[Akash @Akash_131]

Good comeback & close after a near -2% pullback in Nasdaq at open today. MALI-AK value still high today (Jan 25). Weakening of the internals still suggest some rest/red days ahead or choppy conditions may exist.