Al Ahmeda

Scale your prediction edge.

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Leverage doesn't work on prediction markets, because those markets are binary and can resolve pretty much instantly.

Positions may fall to zero faster than liquidation can happen, so lenders face high risk of bad debt.
1/

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Insider from last 12d war, bought Israel strikes Iran at 12% 12h before the strikes in June 25, now buying airspace closure and US invasion

https://t.co/wkO2PB5qvA

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Spotting several accounts just funded that buy shares on various markets predicting major escalation

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Market buying Khamenei out by eom

https://t.co/Ohgpv3MVDx

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Looks like everyone is accepting that de-escalation is the way forward, going forward with destroying energy infra in Iran would lead to retaliation on GCC O&G infra

So full airspace closure of Iran is unlikely now and the odds seem pretty good for the next 2 days at least

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

https://t.co/5ff1CQnzjp

Resolution source used by the market: https://t.co/GwcdUswbLQ

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Apr 100+%
Easy bond on gas prices by end of month, it's an average so even if oil drops the price of gas won't return to early 2026 prices before weeks

Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

There's a few oil markets expiring end of March which are very safe with pretty high apr

The latest fake announcements by Trump to tame markets have decreasing effect and nothing could push oil to not just spike but close below 75

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@PolymarketIntel Sure tankers are burning but why not sail through...

https://t.co/1AdipR0OZI

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

This is a cheaper bet that the conflict is over, otherwise the slow SPR release can't compensate for destroyed oil supply

So +EV based on my scenarios

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

https://t.co/KpFoRnPKM2

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

This is a cheaper bet that the conflict is over, otherwise the slow SPR release can't compensate for destroyed oil supply

So +EV based on my scenarios

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

https://t.co/k59qivGub2

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?

SPR release makes oil rise slower as early market panic is over
Position: 740 NO @ avg 0.95
Hedging long oil perps with those

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@CryptoMikli Jonah is full head in the Zionist sand, he couldn't admit that Iran may hold some cards

As for oil price, currently gov scrambles to release SPR reserves to prevent gas from blowing up

Short term can fade with low risk maybe
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@UrKodaddy @Polymarket Currently gov scrambles to release SPR reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold price and prevent gas from blowing up

But it's also an opportunity for a low risk short term trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@EmmyHood01 @Polymarket Currently gov scrambles to release SPR reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold price and prevent gas from blowing up

But it's also an opportunity for a low risk short term trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@01nv1s1ble1 @rouchben8 @Polymarket Can't buy back when the market is still short 5mbpd, but it's also an opportunity for a low risk short term trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@ThCryptoCook @Polymarket Currently gov scrambles to release SPR reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold price and prevent gas from blowing up

But it's also an opportunity for a low risk short term trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@ScottLeekimbel @Polymarket Currently gov scrambles to release SPR reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold price and prevent gas from blowing up

But it's also an opportunity for a low risk trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@FinancialWarden @Polymarket Bc gov scrambles to release reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold prive and prevent gas from blowing up

Butit's also an opportunity for an easy trade
https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

@Lagerale @Polymarket Bc gov scrambles to release reserves and make fake Hormuz escort announcements to hold prive and prevent gas from blowing up

Otho it's an opportunity for an easy trade https://t.co/BeQ5W0dGFs

[Al Ahmeda @AlAhmedaPM]

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Needs a close at 150 which is quite impossible as long as SPR flowing