Algo pasa con @HP en México, que no tiene piezas para reponer por garantía las que fallan.
Un ratón, un simple ratón, que comprobaron su mal funcionamiento el 19 de junio, primero me dijeron que llegaba en una semana, luego que para el 30 de junio, después que para finales de julio y entonces lo pasaron hasta que terminará agosto y ahora me dicen que será hasta finales de septiembre.
4 meses y medio para reponer un ratón, un simple ratón.
En un tiempo me van a decir que ya no lo pueden reponer, porque ya se venció la garantía.
¿Te imaginas si hubiera sido la máquina?
An Anthropic engineer watched my screen from the next table at a cafe in SF.
"Are you running Claude against live prediction markets right now"
I told him yes.
Then I showed him the stack.
214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,437 in 19 days.
Here's what actually happened:
I gave Claude two repos and a simple job.
Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Just a clean way to score the board fast.
The system does not try to predict the world.
It tries to find which wallets consistently exit better than the crowd, isolate the pattern, and only fire when the same structure shows up again.
Main filter:
captured value / expected value > 0.70
If a wallet wins often but leaks the move on exit, it gets ignored.
If it captures most of the move and cuts losers fast, it becomes signal.
Sizing uses Kelly:
f* = (p*b - q) / b
That is what stops the terminal from apeing into weak edges.
Most of the time it does nothing.
No edge - no position.
Three trades from the run:
> AMD Xilinx - entered 52c. Model said 59c. Closed +7c in 2h40m.
> Artemis launch - entered 63c. Model said 85c. Closed +22c in 5h10m.
> Derecho MW - entered 71c. Model said 87c. Closed +16c in 1h50m.
When he saw the repo links and the live terminal, he stopped talking for a second.
Then he said:
"We tested something close to this internally."
That was the whole joke.
The data is public.
The repos are public.
The market is public.
But most Polymarket traders still trade headlines, hold too long, and call it conviction.
Polymarket does not reward the smartest story.
It rewards the cleaner exit.
You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.
Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:
1. Comment the word 'CLAUDE'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me @marryevan999 (so i can DM you)