We're close to a valuation floor, so I think the stock can at least appreciate in line with EPS growth. The stock can still 'work' even without a re-rating - at least in theory.
I'm not sure it's realistic for $NVDA to make up >10% of the S&P 500 at this time. It's a real issue that is separate from company fundamentals. It should be a $300 stock but the market can't digest it at this time.
The finance industry is slow moving but it just takes funds to realize the that valuation is too compelling to miss out on for things to start to change. It will likely be more of a slow evolution than a quick step-up valuation change imo
@The_AI_Investor The market thinks $NVDA is less likely to default on its loans than the US government but after next year growth is going to magically stop but only for Nvidia and not for $DELL or any of its suppliers. As Gavin Baker said, somethingโs gotta give
@Midnight_Captl A third of their market cap is in cash and t-bills. It says a lot that they think they canโt make more than 3-5%. Not great capital allocators anymore unfortunately
@partners_road Weโre closer to $AAPL post 2012 as that is when they began their significant capital return program and that is where $NVDA is now. Hard to see the P/E compress much more here
Burry has called 20 of the last 1 market crashes. The boy who cried wolf. He doesnโt understand the hyperscaler business model. Heโs omitting the insane revenue and token usage trajectory of the model companies. Anthropic had a profitable quarter while growing 80x.
He needs the drama to sell subs for his blog.