Lorenzo S

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Hyperliquid $HYPE pumps 13% to $91 after NYSE said it'll bring its perpetual futures to regulated US markets.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$MRVL is down over 10% following reports it's looking to acquire $LITE and combine its chip business with one of AI networking's leading optical suppliers..

But with Lumentum's laser capacity reportedly sold out through 2029 why would it even consider selling now?

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

EARNINGS TODAY:

$MSFT, Double Beat, +4% 🟢
$GOOG, EPS Miss, -8% 🔴
$NOW, EPS Miss, -15% 🔴
$FTNT, Double Beat, -22% 🔴

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

MICROSOFT $MSFT EARNINGS GOD CANDLE

Adj EPS: $4.89 vs $4.72 est ✅
Sales: $92.729B vs $90.663B est ✅

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

SERVICENOW $NOW Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

🔹 Subscription Revenue: $4.0B (Est. $3.98B) 🟢
🔹 Total Revenue: $4.1B (Est. $4.09B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.00 (Est. $1.02) 🔴
🔹 cRPO: $13.65B (Est. $13.56B) 🟢; +20.5% YoY

Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Subscription Revenue: $15.78B-$15.79B
🔹 Subscription Gross Margin: 81%
🔹 Operating Margin: 31.5%
🔹 Free Cash Flow Margin: 36%

Q4 Guide:
🔹 Subscription Revenue: $4.25B-$4.26B
🔹 cRPO Growth: 18.5% YoY

Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 RPO: $29.7B; +22% YoY
🔹 Transactions Over $5M ACV: 19; +135% YoY
🔹 Customers > $5M ACV: 680; +23% YoY

Financials:
🔹 Adj. Oper Margin: 32.5% (Est. 31.2%) 🟢
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $822M

Announcements:
🔹 AI ACV Target: $1.7B for 2026; +70% from the start of the year
🔹 Agentic AI: Production consumption up more than 13x YoY

Comments:
🔸 “Our AI momentum continues to build, with AI net new ACV exceeding expectations and enabling us to raise our year-end target for the second time this year, from $1 billion at the start of the year to $1.7 billion now.”

🔸 “Importantly, we are capturing this significant opportunity with a capital-efficient model, reducing capex and raising our full-year free cash flow margin target by 100 basis points to 36 percent.”

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

ALPHABET $GOOGL Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

🔹 EPS: $2.12
🔹 Revenue: $127.6B (Est. $128.22B) 🔴; +25% YoY
🔹 Google Cloud Revenue: $30.7B (Est. $29.15B) 🟢
🔹 Search & Other: $63.4B (Est. $64.99B) 🔴
🔹 YouTube Ads: $11.2B (Est. $11.4B) 🔴
🔹 CapEx: $51.4B (Est. $55.2B) 🟢
🔹 CapEx to Revenue: ~40.3%

Key Updates:
🔹 Equity Securities: $8.7B net unrealized loss; EPS impact $0.55

Google Services:
🔹 Google Services Revenue: $96.3B (Est. $98.42B) 🔴
🔹 Google Services Oper Income: $39.2B (Est. $40.8B) 🔴
🔹 Google Services Operating Margin: ~40.7%
🔹 Google Advertising: $82.0B (Est. $83.6B) 🔴
🔹 Google Network: $7.5B (Est. $7.2B) 🟢
🔹 Subscriptions, Platforms & Devices: $14.3B (Est. $14.85B) 🔴

Google Cloud:
🔹 Google Cloud Oper Income: $11.1B (Est. $9.75B) 🟢
🔹 Google Cloud Operating Margin: ~36.2%

Other Bets:
🔹 Revenue: $372M
🔹 Operating Loss: -$2.0B

Alphabet-Level Activities:
🔹 Oper Loss: -$7.7B; shared AI research and development expenses

Other Metrics:
🔹 Total Oper Income: $40.6B (Est. $43.23B) 🔴
🔹 Total TAC: $16.4B
🔹 Revenue ex-TAC: ~$111.2B
🔹 Employees: 204,757
🔹 Paid Subscriptions: 150M+
🔹 First-Party Model APIs: nearly 32B tokens per minute

Geographic Revenue:
🔹 U.S.: $67.7B; +39% YoY
🔹 EMEA: $32.7B; +9% YoY
🔹 APAC: $19.9B; +12% YoY
🔹 Other Americas: $7.1B; +17% YoY

Financials:
🔹 Operating Margin: 31.8%
🔹 Net Income: $26.5B
🔹 Other Income, Net: -$8.2B
🔹 Gain on Equity Securities, Net: -$8.7B
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $42.3B (Est. $52.72B) 🔴
🔹 Free Cash Flow: -$9.1B (Est. -$2.7B) 🔴
🔹 TTM Free Cash Flow: $19.7B
🔹 Cash & Marketable Securities: $265.1B
🔹 Long-Term Debt: $125.1B

Capital Return:
🔹 Dividend: $0.22/share
🔹 Stock Repurchases: $0

CEO Sundar Pichai Commentary:
🔸 “Google Cloud revenues grew 103%, powered by huge demand for our AI infrastructure and AI solutions. We’re also seeing strong demand for our TPU systems across a wide range of customers.”

🔸 “Overall, our first-party model APIs are now processing nearly 32 billion tokens per minute, more than four times what we processed a year ago.”

🔸 “On top of that, the Gemini app has reached one billion users—making it the fastest-growing product in Google’s history—and we surpassed 150 million YouTube Music and Premium subscribers globally, including trials.”

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$GOOGL Q3 EARNINGS

• Revenue $127.6B vs Est. $127.9B
• EPS $2.12 vs. Est. $3.01
• Operating Income $40.6B vs Est. $43.2B
• Cloud Revenue $30.7B vs Est. $29.1B
• CapEx $51.4B vs Est. $55.8B

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Deutsche Bank estimates $NVDA GB300 GPUs can rent for up to ~$14 an hour versus just $3.50 for H100s with some contracts generating ~$60M per MW annually.

That puts 1 GW of AI compute at ~$48B in annual revenue based on blended pricing which helps explain why securing power is becoming so valuable for $NBIS, $CRWV and $SPCX.

[Cheddar Flow @CheddarFlow]

Korean memory chip stocks are trading at 2.8x forward earnings

That's the lowest ever recorded (Goldman, data back to 2005)

The average is about 10x

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

VERTIV $VRT Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

🔹 Revenue: $4.3B (Est. $3.76B) 🟢; +61% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.21 (Est. $1.83) 🟢; +78% YoY
🔹 Adjusted Operating Margin: 25.2%; +290 bps YoY
🔹 Organic Orders Growth: 100%+

Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $14.45B-$14.85B (Est. $14.02B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EPS: $7.10-$7.20 (Est. $6.74) 🟢
🔹 Adjusted Operating Margin: 23.5%-24.5%
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $2.6B-$2.8B

Q4 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $4.3B-$4.5B (Est. $4.31B) 🟡
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.22-$2.28 (Est. $2.22) 🟡
🔹 Adjusted Operating Margin: 25.3%-26.3%

Cash Flow:
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $652M; +50% YoY
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $794M; +64% YoY

Segment Net Revenue:
🔹 AMER: $3.0B; +75% YoY
🔹 APAC: $779.3M; +50% YoY
🔹 EMEA: $544.7M; +23% YoY

Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Organic Net Sales Growth: 55%

Comments:
🔸 “Our more than 100% organic orders growth year over year and our overall performance are clear testaments to that.”

🔸 “I believe there is a long runway ahead and the opportunity only gets bigger from here.”

[Dean Marantis🇺🇸🇬🇷 @Deenobrown123]

Oh no. Bad news for the memory bulls. SK Hynix only made $62 billion dollars of profit in one quarter. For perspective, that’s about 7 years worth of Tesla profits. Or 15 years worth of PLTRs current yearly profits. Or 6 years of AMDs current yearly profits. All in one quarter. Not one year, one quarter. But it really doesn’t matter, because memory is cyclical. And cyclical money is like Monopoly money. All of these really really smart people on X taught me that cyclical money doesn’t count. The memory bears are going to teach those memory bulls a lesson. The cyclical guys are so smart. They know what’s best. $60 billion dollars of profit in one quarter doesn’t matter when it’s from selling memory stuff that is sooooooo cyclical. Oh, and BTW, SK said their HBM will be sold out until 2030. It may be longer, but they can’t see out past that. But don’t worry, memory is so cyclical that I’m sure it will peak soon. I’m so happy I follow so many smart guys that taught me about the cyclicality of memory. Good thing they were all predicting memory stocks to crash. Even the really smart guys with those charts and squiggly lines. They knew it. I can’t wait to see MU at $600 a share soon like they predict. And DRAM at $25 a share. lol. 🤡

Fuckin cyclical clowns out there. When will they figure out that this time really is different? Ai never existed during the past cycles. So, by definition, it is different. That’s ok. I hope they figure it out when MU passes $5000 a share. lol.

[Quiver Quantitative @QuiverQuant]

UPDATE: Here are the insiders who have bought the most stock in their companies in the last month, per our data.

Gamestop, $GME, CEO Ryan Cohen is on top.

[Salma @salmaogs]

10/27 Notable Flow

$AAPL 380 C 01/15/2027 $35.2M 4.89avg
$AMZN 300 C 09/17/2027 $25.4M 22.44avg 19% OTM
$GOOGL 360 C 01/15/2027 $40.9M 8.18avg 12% OTM
$POWL 185 C 12/17/2027 $12.2M 40.13avg 15% OTM

Obviously please be mindful of earnings; these just happen to be some of the best trades that came in today from a flow standpoint.

[Trade Whisperer @TradexWhisperer]

$SKHY just made $63B in operating profit. In ONE quarter.

At their current pace, it takes $TSLA 87 quarters and $AMD 32 quarters to make $63B.

Market cap:
$SKHY $785B
$AMD $914B
$TSLA $1.6T

SK Hynix is worth less than half of Tesla.

What the actual fuck.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$SKHY now expects memory demand to outpace supply through 2030 with DRAM demand growing over 20% in 2027 alone.

That's also pretty significant for $MU and Samsung because producing more HBM takes up capacity for regular DRAM just as AI agents are driving demand for both.

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Earnings Today:

$HOOD, Double Beat, -5% 🟥
$V, Double Beat, -2% 🟥
$TER, Double Beat, -6% 🟥
$STX, Double Beat, -6% 🟥
$BBAI, Double Beat, -4% 🟥
$NXPI, Double Beat, -8% 🟥

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

SK Hynix plans to return about 80% of the gains from selling down its stake in Japan’s Kioxia to shareholders through a special dividend of about $12 billion, per Bloomberg.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$SOFI CRUSHED THEIR Q3 EARNINGS

• Revenue $1.4B vs Est. $1.25B (+44% YoY)
• EPS $0.18 vs Est. $0.16
• Total Members: 17.1M (+35% YoY)
• Total Products: 26.7M (+44% YoY)

FY26 Guidance
• Revenue $5.04B vs Est. $4.87B
• EPS $0.61 vs Est. $0.59

FY27 Guidance
• Revenue $6.4B vs Est. $5.9B
• EPS $0.90 vs Est. $0.82

[Kakashi @kkashi_yt]

someone is up over $112,000 in profit

[TOGI @ShaneStoffer]

For everyone asking, here is my full $mrna dream thesis. all was recorded on the next YT vid but for u twitter folk

The dates could be off but around these days

October 4th: I wanted to speed up my stock video challenge so decided to dip my toes into options, scrolling thru my port everyone was turbo bullish on every stock except one. $MRNA, everyone and their mother could only talk about how over valued it is and how good of a short it was. All I know in stocks is that ppl complain non stop about how they got fucked. It sounds like everyone loses, and if everyone is losing, I should just fade them and it’s a lock?

Oct 5th: I decided to buy some options, far out the money decently far out strike

That night I had a dream that Moderna cured cancer and wicked to $275 in one day, my portfolio was worth $11,000,000

October 6th: they didn’t cure cancer and the stock went down so i decided to load more in

October 8th: everyone on twitter called me the biggest idiot ever, that I should go short, this gave me turbo confidence that the stock had to go up cuz again, most ppl talk like geniuses behind their -80% all time port

At this point I’m in for $250,000 on my initial 50k position

Then I started asking Claude, “what would it take to get $MRNA to $275 in the next two months????”

Claude told me that they had a big catalyst coming some meeting on the 24th reviewing their cancer trials

I figured I’d bet on the side of my dream that they would cure cancer and it would rip

Fast forward 14 days or so and the stock had ripped like 25+% all the way to my initial dreams target and it made me think, everyone knows this meeting is coming, if this news comes in anything other than 10x expectations, it’s fully priced in. The idea was that Monday it would dump regardless of how good their news was. Claude confirmed my idea. I texted my homie Tuesday night the plan to let it ride till Friday then at close flip to full port short

Everything was according to plan until Wednesday close the stock ran up 5% then fell off a cliff last 10 mins. I was working so I couldn’t do anything but I texted my friend that was the top yesterday night.

Last night I had a dream that $mrna ripped +22% today

I thought it was a sign from God that I was wrong about the top being in and that I should trust my original swap end of market on Friday plan

I checked my phone and it was giga down. My port down 200k almost had me fully in a panic, thinking, maybe the sell on the news was so obvious…. That they are selling days before the news

I got too scared that the dump would happen so soon that I’d have no capital left to flip the port short come Friday. So I decided to take the loss and at least have $500k that I can try to catch the sell on the news dump.

Went full port short under the guise that even if today is another 5% green, at least I’ll be in the position I had been seeking for a few days, confidently short going into the 24th

And the rest, is some giga stroke of luck history, the news broke early somehow????

The most likely outcome for all traders would be what I was destined for. Rock solid thesis blown up by some unlucky bs.

Lucky my panic this morning got to my head enough to break my original game plan

In hindsight, this entire saga was beyond obvious

Thanks for playing!

NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. IM JUST LEARNING AND GAMBLING. BUT ALSO PUT SUM RESPECT ON THE THESIS.

I got full receipts of every concept along the way, to be posted in the next yt vid. (After I full port SPY 0DTE