Alex Petropoulos 🤠

Increasing Europe's agency in the AGI transition.

Chief of Staff @arqfoundation. Europe2031 co-author.

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

I'm deeply concerned about Europe's future on AI. One of my biggest worries is our erosion of agency, our ability to stay relevant and fight for our values in a future where AI becomes a civilisationally important technology.

Myself, @DadaJudith , @bakkermichiel and others have written a scenario to outline a potential future we worry we are on track towards.

https://t.co/3BRfitBT0n

Every optimistic and realistic path I can see for Europe runs through a central node - one where Europe has more leverage, more importance and more say. One where Europe grows more, builds more where it matters, and takes ownership over its resilience.

Europe 2031 is a five-year scenario of the continent's slide into irrelevance: how AI is driving it, and what can still be done.

The co-authors are researchers, scientists and investors who have advised European leaders, co-authored national AI strategies, built and funded these systems from the inside. We have no interest in hype and we deeply care about this continent.

Europe 2031 ends with five concrete recommendations:
- drastically more compute on European soil
- an AI middle-power coalition
- labour-market reforms
- a bold position in robotics and industrial AI
- and a positive vision of what AI can do for society.

Europe can still change course if it finds the political will and the courage to engage in the most ambitious political and economic agenda the continent has undertaken in peacetime.

I encourage you to read it if you have the time:

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@owl_posting honest choices. I play sym and sombra.

[MTS @MTSlive]

Google DeepMind researcher @EgeErdil2 argues that AI researchers are following the crowd on shorter AI timelines:

"They care way more about what the people I respect think" than the actual evidence behind Anthropic's acceleration report.

"I think objectively, evidence looks kind of weak. It's just this made-up metric that someone made up on which we don’t even know what it means to make faster progress really."

"We have some evidence that progress has sped up, but we don't really understand the Y-axis of that metric very well."

"There's a bunch of redacted evidence by a company which has a track record of being paranoid about this topic. So I just see it as very weak evidence."

"What's happening with the people updating way too much is some kind of social preference dynamic where the influential people update and therefore a lot of people feel like if they don't update then they are out of step with the crowd."

"People updated to be more bearish end of 2025, and now they updated to be even more bullish when I just don't see anything that is that informative personally. I haven't updated very much since the end of 2025 at all."
@GoogleDeepMind

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

its a good day to be a loser

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@essemmeppi @JakubKrupa @tempoweb haha second person to tag me <3

[Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 @lugaricano]

This poll asks for the beliefs of French people about retirement. Fact: France has 1.8 people working people paying pensions per retiree. The Mélenchon supporters who want to reduce the retirement age to 60 believe there are 15 working people per retiree. Look at the striking ideological correlation with the guesses. Is it motivated belief or ignorance/stupidity? Can you govern a country when people hold such insane beliefs?

[David Schneider-Joseph 🔍 @TheDavidSJ]

The AI safety community seems to have updated massively on relatively little incremental evidence, largely as a result of a reputation-based opinion cascade.

[Simon Johnson @baselinescene]

We are hiring at the UK AI Economics Institute for up to 15 research and analysis positions. Roles can be based in Manchester, Darlington, or London. Learn more at the link below and please spread the word!
https://t.co/c79zT4NKGH

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@NathanpmYoung another point in The Claude Has Taste collumn

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@NathanpmYoung @oughtinc interesting, thx for the answer!

[Nathan 🔍 @NathanpmYoung]

🪇🎉 Announcement 🎉🪇

An Epistemics Fund, sponsored by @oughtinc

Ought plans to make between $500k and $5M in grants to top recommendations in community notes, reliability tracking and more.

Apply! Or Ask Me Anything on the fund/my grant evaluations

https://t.co/Rijdg2VPKB

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@jjspicer I guess the crux is in the "regardless of policy choices"

[Jakub Krupa @JakubKrupa]

This, in Rome, is the greatest thing I have ever seen in my life: a vending machine with a wide selection of daily newspapers. @tempoweb

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@Fremond_ @JakubKrupa @tempoweb neeeed

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@KKumar_ai_plans @AaronBergman18 I think it's very easy to write off people who say personally expensive things as just caring less or having a big ego but I think it is more likely that they still feel the discomfort/pain but are willing to take it.

I think decker is brave.

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

it's a cool game but I'm still just so so icked out by Claude's sense of humour. It's insistence on far too clever quips and all of the tongue in cheek (haha I'm breaking the fourth wall) gags make me cringe so hard.

[Sholto Douglas @_sholtodouglas]

An arena FPS with portals - Fable 5.2 is the first model that passes my bar for seriously fun and beautiful games.
We have had a few fun evenings playtesting this against eachother at the office

[Alex Petropoulos 🤠 @AlexTPet]

@SophyRidgeSky @rowlsmanthorpe Colin Furze is a nice amount of unhinged.