Allio

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[Allio @AllioCapital]

🌍 New on the #Macroscope: Macro Investing: The Ultimate Guide to Global Macro Strategy and Hedge Fund Success

Noteworthy insights this week:
💡 Global #Macro ≠ stock picking — it’s about reading #economic forces
📈 From #currencies to #commodities, the best #investors think globally
🤖 #AI is reshaping hedge fund strategy through predictive analytics
📊 Learn how #Allio’s ALTITUDE AI™ embodies the future of macro #investing

Read the full article: https://t.co/62GAfU41ri

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📰 This week’s #MacroCalendar:

• #CPI +3.1% YoY — disinflation stalling
• New Home #Sales +20.5% → builder discounts boost demand
• #JoblessClaims ~223 K → #labor still resilient
• 10-yr yield < 4% | Gold +6.8% → safe-haven demand
• #Fed remains cautious as QT winds down

#Markets stabilize post-shutdown, but sticky #inflation keeps cuts off the table (for now).

🔗 Full breakdown: https://t.co/t3MRUC8lfg

See the Full Macro Calendar in the Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSzotY

[Allio @AllioCapital]

🤖 The future of investing is intelligent.

#Allio’s ALTITUDE AI™ blends automation, analytics & human insight to build smarter portfolios.

This week’s #Macroscope dives into:
• #AI #investing #apps explained
• Predictive analytics in action
• Automation without emotion

Learn how AI is reshaping wealth.
🔗 https://t.co/1XYWHqla2a

[Allio @AllioCapital]

🗓️ Macro Calendar | Week of Oct 13, 2025

🔹 Retail #Sales (Thu) – Forecast +0.4% → key test for consumer strength.
🔹 #PPI (Thu) – Expected +0.2% → #inflation still cooling.
🔹 #Powell speech (Tue) – Watch tone for clues on rate cuts.
🔹 #BeigeBook (Wed) – #Market’s stand-in for official data.
🔹 Housing Starts (Fri) – Likely softer amid high #mortgage rates.

#Shutdown limits data, but markets stay calm: steady yields, solid auctions, #gold near highs.
The soft landing is still alive.

📖 Read this week’s full #MacroCalendar article: https://t.co/YyQSAKkIgl

See the full calendar in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSyQEq

[Allio @AllioCapital]

🚨 New Macroscope: #GovernmentShutdown 2025: What It Means for Your #money

💵 #Congress missed the Oct 1 deadline — funding froze, services paused.
🏛️ Parks, passports, research halted. #SocialSecurity & #Medicare still running.
📉 ~$15B in #GDP lost per week.
💰 Some #investors may be moving toward gold and treasuries, but it's important to understand the risks and benefits. Always consult with a financial advisor.

🧠 Stay liquid. Diversify. Don’t panic.

Full breakdown → https://t.co/MZKdtzAnYT

[Allio @AllioCapital]

💸 #Inflation decoded — new #Macroscope out now.

📊 What is it, really?
📈 Why #prices rise faster than wages
💬 Does the #president control it?
💵 How to protect yourself

From demand-pull pressures to the #Fed’s role — we break it down in plain English.

🧠 Read the full piece: https://t.co/HSpaGbnxJv

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📆 #Macro Calendar | Week of Oct 6, 2025

💬 #Fed tone > fresh data this week.
The focus shifts from numbers → narrative:

📉 Tue: #Trade deficit expected to narrow to –$61B
🗒️ Wed: #FOMC Minutes — how dovish is the Fed?
🎙️ Thu: #Powell speaks — will he hint at faster easing? #JoblessClaims forecast 223k → cooling, not cracking
🏛️ Fri: #Budget Statement + Consumer Sentiment — fiscal & household pulse

#Markets are pricing a soft landing.
The Fed’s tone could decide if it lasts.

Article: https://t.co/DmTb6ZHY8n

See the full #MacroCalendar in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSzotY

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📊 #Macro Wrap-Up - Week of Sept. 29, 2025

#Labor cooling, #housing stabilizing, factories crawling back:
• #JOLTS: 7.1M openings (down again)
• #ISM Mfg: 49.2 (less bad, still sub-50)
• Pending #sales: +0.1% m/m → low but steady
• #Claims: 220k → layoffs still subdued
#Fed: still data-dependent, cuts if labor softens further.

📲 Stay informed with Allio’s Macro Calendar in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSzotY

[Allio @AllioCapital]

🎧 New #OrwellianOptics Ep.

Gareth sits down with #economist & author Mark Skousen (@MarkSkousen1) to discuss:

📖 Benjamin Franklin’s #economic wisdom
⚖️ #Keynes vs Hayek vs Friedman, who’s right today?
📊 Why Gross Output > #GDP
💡 Uncomfortable truths about d#ebt, deficits & #government size

Full episode here 👉 https://t.co/sq2b7s5Knb

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📅 #Macro Calendar – Week of Sept 29, 2025

🏠 #Housing: Pending sales +0.1% m/m, Case-Shiller +2.3% YoY → affordability still strained.
💼 #Labor: #JOLTS 7.1M, Payrolls +39k, Unemp. 4.3% → cooling but not cracking.
🏭 #ISM Mfg 49.2 (contraction), ISM Svcs 52.0 (expansion).
⚡ #Energy: #EIA crude/product draws keep oil firm.
💬 #Fed: Data-dependent, #market still pricing more cuts (80% odds).

🎯 Takeaway: Growth resilient, labor soft, #inflation sticky. #Fed easing still in play as Q4 begins.

Full read here: https://t.co/JFHCP0jNhB

📲 See more of the Macro Calendar in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSyQEq

[Allio @AllioCapital]

What does 1.9% U.S. growth mean for your portfolio?

The IMF forecasted 1.9% U.S. growth in 2025. Not booming, not crashing, just stable.

In a world where major economies are decelerating, or distorting through currency controls, clarity matters.

At Allio, we build portfolios to reflect this macro reality:

→ Predictable policy
→ Slower, steadier growth
→ Less upside, far less downside

In volatile markets, consistency beats chaos, and 1.9% with visibility is a premium we’re happy to build around.

—-
🌎 When you think macro, you think differently. We make macro strategies accessible to every investor.

📈 Explore how macro shapes your money: https://t.co/SHJIkBqwTb

💡The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Allio Capital’s investment strategies involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any references to AI, optimization, or alpha generation are descriptive of strategy design and do not imply assured outcomes. Investors should consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Learn more at https://t.co/BfOUxixqhq

[Allio @AllioCapital]

Most platforms give you tools. We give you a map, too.

At Allio, we pair automation with insight:

🛠️ ALTITUDE  AI™ detects shifts in macro signals: policy, capital flows, inflation, and more.
🧭 The Macro Dashboard shows you where we are in the cycle, and why it matters.

Together, they do more than show you data. They guide good decisions.

In today’s market, tools without direction are risky, which is why we give you both signal and strategy.

—-
🌎 When you think macro, you think differently. We make macro strategies accessible to every investor.

📈 Explore how macro shapes your money: https://t.co/SHJIkBr4IJ

💡The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Allio Capital’s investment strategies involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any references to AI, optimization, or alpha generation are descriptive of strategy design and do not imply assured outcomes. Investors should consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Learn more at https://t.co/BfOUxixY6Y

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📊 #Macro Wrap-Up – Week of Sept 22

🚀 Growth: Q2 #GDP revised to 3.8%; #PMIs cooled but still expansionary.
👷 #Claims: 218k, lowest since July → labor “softening, not cracking.”
🏡 #Housing: New-home sales up, existing sales down; 30-yr #mortgage 6.30%.
⛽ #Energy: #EIA shows draws across crude/products → #oil stays firm.
🏦 #Fed: Powell/Williams → cuts data-dependent; auctions smooth.

🎯 Takeaway: Growth resilient, #labor steady, #inflation sticky → all eyes on Sept 17 Fed.

📲 See what’s coming next week on the Macro Calendar in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSyQEq

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📊 Macroscope – When the Government Comes Marching In...

- Gov’t reach: ~10% Intel stake; “golden share” chatter in steel; #FCC/#Kimmel free-speech flashpoint.
- #Dalio warns on autocratic drift → rising risk/term premia over time.
- #Markets resilient post −25 bp cut; #stocks near highs.

Takeaway: Consider a balanced approach between quality and select hard assets.

👉 Read: https://t.co/Ink2RYny57

[Allio @AllioCapital]

Why are foreign investors buying U.S. assets at record levels?

Because clarity matters.

Over the past 12 months, global investors have poured $1.27 trillion into U.S. markets: the highest total on record.

It’s not because everything is going right. It’s because key fundamentals still stand strong:

● Predictable policy
● Resilient energy supply
● Relative yield strength

At Allio, we follow the same logic.

🟣 Macro signals guide our portfolios.
🟣 Strategic clarity drives our allocations.
🟣 Resilience beats guesswork.

Because in a fragmented world, capital flows where conviction is clearest.

💡This communication from Allio Capital is for informational purposes only and not investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Investing involves risks, including potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Allio Capital uses AI-driven technology alongside human oversight, which carries inherent risks such as inaccuracies or system failures. Consider your financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance before investing. Visit https://t.co/ojuYVE0imn for additional disclosures.

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📊 #Macro Insights - 9/23/2025:

- #Gold +1.0%, #Platinum +3.4%
- #Europe #PMIs mixed: #Germany Services 52.5 (expansion) vs Manufacturing 47.0 (contraction); #France Composite/Manufacturing below expectations.
- #US #stocks (S&P 500, Nasdaq) at records post #Fed −25 bp cut; #Powell later today in focus.

Takeaway: Dovish policy + geopolitics support metals; watch #USD/real yields and curve for risk tone.

👉 See more in the #Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSyQEq

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📊 Macro Insights - 9/22/2025:

ETH −5.8%, BTC −2.2%
Gold +0.9% (above $2,600).
Mega-caps: JPM −1.6%, AAPL +1.2%, V −0.7%.

Fed’s −25 bp cut keeps S&P/Nasdaq at records with more easing expected.
Europe cautious, DAX hit as VW/POAH cut EV views amid Russia tensions.

Takeaway: Dovish tailwind vs. geopolitics; barbell quality + hard assets, watch $/real yields.

👉 See more in the Allio app: https://t.co/GSE2aSzotY

[Allio @AllioCapital]

📅 Macro Calendar - Sep 22, 2025:
the big ones →
#PCE (Fri), #PMIs + #Powell (Tue)
#GDP final + Durables (Thu),
New Home Sales (Wed).

Watch:
- Orders-vs-prices in PMIs (margin signal)
- Core & “supercore” PCE (cut cadence)
- #Capex proxy (non-def ex-air) • auction tails/indirects (term premium).

Set-up: If PCE benign + PMIs >50 → measured easing path, duration + rate-sensitives supported. Hot PCE or soft capex → curve reprices, dollar firms, risk tightens.

Article: https://t.co/gqux2mt69k

👉 Full calendar in the app: https://t.co/GSE2aSyQEq