Alpha Portfolio Management

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[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

To EV or not EV…

Sales of EVs are outselling UK petrol cars for the first time.

Chinese brands now account for 30% of all UK EV sales. Government courts Chinese car manufacturers to invest domestically.

#EV #ChineseEV

https://t.co/Orfypv086A

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

The AI ‘Gold Rush’ - picks and shovels

Today’s gold rush is being driven by the boom in AI and the massive investment by the American AI hyper-scalers in data centres.

#datacentres #hyperscalers

https://t.co/OiK8T7yaks

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

A Super El Niño – are you prepared?

Scientists believe this year's El Niño could be unusually powerful, a ‘super’ El Niño. Exacerbating global food supply constraints caused by the conflict in the Gulf.

#ElNiño #Elnino #Climate #ExtremeWeather

https://t.co/rweI8s7Ggq

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

The rise and rise of the mega-cap US technology stocks AI chip designer Nvidia recently hit a market valuation of over $5.5 trillion while Micro Technologies recently broke through the $1 trillion value ceiling. https://t.co/uY5fAfnyXl

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Not there yet

A US peace deal with Iran still seems very elusive. ‘Very close’ to a deal but ‘not there yet’, says US Vice-President JD Vance.

Time is ticking and the risk of a prolonged energy crunch remains.

#MiddleEast #Iran #Peace

https://t.co/JcUytQbylG

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Is Special K toast?

After a poor performance in the local elections, Keir Starmer, or ‘Special K’, is facing a leadership challenge.

Reform UK is currently the most popular political party. Is it the end of two-party politics in the UK?

https://t.co/1EFIhp4JlL

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Private credit - are there more cockroaches?

Alarm bells are ringing within the private credit sector.

Investors are withdrawing billions from US private credit funds, reminiscent of the early days of the 2008 financial crisis.

https://t.co/BlHynmPru2

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Iran’s Trump card

Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is a priority.

Iran is causing a stranglehold to the free passage of shipping and appears to be its ‘trump card’ in negotiations.

https://t.co/93SbRKAU7j

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Britain’s Debt Crisis

The benchmark 10-year Gilt yield currently stands at 4.8%, the highest of any in the G7.

The UK has also suffered the biggest increase in borrowing costs of any major economy since the Gulf war started.

#ukdebtcrisis

https://t.co/YIqONMWnhO

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Iran – a Slippery Slope

A diplomatic team led by US Vice-President JD Vance tried, and failed, to reach a negotiated agreement to end the war with Iran over the weekend.

What next?

https://t.co/tY6kHYT2pF

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

A Sobering Time

The ONS has updated its inflation shopping basket.

Reflecting changes in UK consumer tastes, trends, and lifestyles.

It now includes alcohol-free beer, houmous and pet grooming.

https://t.co/4F4Kv4QFDI

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Creating a bit of a stink

Muck spreading. Has Trump entered the US into a conflict with no clear aims or strategy?

The increasing price of fertiliser could create a global food crisis.

#Sulphur #sulfur #urea #ammonia

https://t.co/AxqUA5oG7o

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Dire Straits of America

Oil has risen on fears that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed to unfriendly tankers.

Trump is asking for international help. Can America keep the Strait secure?

https://t.co/e65C54snec

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Another energy price shock.

Oil was briefly above $100 a barrel. A prolonged conflict with Iran could keep energy prices high.
Bad news for the global economy, inflation and interest rates.
#EnergyCrisis #LNG #Hormuz

https://t.co/h1wSof142J

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Is Labour about to lean to the left? Political risks are on the rise - are the knives out for Keir Starmer?

Have lessons been learnt from the bond market’s reaction to flawed PM Liz Truss and #Trussonomics?

#LabourUturn

https://t.co/Foh18vKQ8e

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

The cancellation of EV credits in the US is causing a car-tastrophe.

Car manufacturers are now shying away from electric vehicles #EV.

It is estimated to have cost the western car industry $65bn in write-downs so far.

#Stellantis #BYD #Leapmotor

https://t.co/hJyzHO8JOd

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

AI-mageddon

In just 14 days markets have wiped over a $1 trillion from companies on fears that AI could negatively impact existing business models.

#Anthropic #Claude #Altruist #InsurifyAI

https://t.co/pZGqExl2gJ

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

TACO – Does Trump always chicken out?

President Trump is as unpredictable as ever.

His voter popularity is waning, will tariffs keep being used to bully other countries?

#Anthropic #Bitcoin #TariffTantrum

https://t.co/gyB0F8yFG9

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

AI RAM raid

AI has caused a surge in demand for memory chips, doubling the price of computer RAM in a few months.

3 manufacturers control over 90% of the market - Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Now Micron has now exited the retail market.

#DRAM

https://t.co/x8piBtZDMc

[Alpha Portfolio Management @AlphaPMBristol]

Silver has the highest electrical conductivity among all metals and is therefore used in an increasing number of industries.

https://t.co/slhoDeVtom

#Silver