David Bush

Quant Trader. 1st Place Winner of BattleFin. 1st Place Winner of NAAIM. Shares evidence-based financial market insight. Based in Caribbean. No advice given.

[David Bush @Alphatative]

Deeply negative Stretch% readings often occur at major lows.

Worst 5 Readings per year 2014 to now:
2020-03-12: -42.32% (BTC $4,970)
2015-01-14: -37.73% (BTC $178)
2018-02-05: -34.27% (BTC $6955)

The fear at these lows is palpable. The prices at these lows are long gone.

[David Bush @Alphatative]

With the divergence between the surging NASDAQ 100 & sagging Bitcoin growing, the BTC/NDX ratio hit a 2-yr low in Feb.

Test: “Buy Bitcoin when BTC/NDX hits a 2yr low. Exit 2 years later.”
Avg Trade: +1114.5%
Worst Result: +203.9%
Win Percent: 3/3

Limited data. Compelling value.

[David Bush @Alphatative]

The 4% Inflation Line: Where Equity Returns Go to Die

[REKTelligence @REKTelligence]

On a recent @PompPodcast , Jordi Visser @jvisserlabs made a claim definitely worth examining: the stock market has been historically negative when #CPI is above 4%. I ran the numbers. Here’s what 110 years of data shows.

full report here: https://t.co/PRJEyZ9qfz

CPI Regimes, 1915 - Present

[David Bush @Alphatative]

Really great to talk quant philosophy, method, and systematic crypto with @algo_advantage!

[AlgoAdvantage | Simon @algo_advantage]

Join David Bush @Alphatative & myself on a guided tour of building out a stable, but high performance systematic crypto portfolio. Curious how many of my followers trade crypto and how they do it. Would love to hear in the comments.
https://t.co/fqk3Fqmk8g

[David Bush @Alphatative]

Get ready #Bitcoin HODLers...

[Bitcoin Magazine @BitcoinMagazine]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 SEC ruling on BlackRock's spot #Bitcoin ETF due this week - Bloomberg

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@CryptoHayes King Arthur - would you be willing to assign a probability to BTC 10k? 65% chance it gets there? 90%? Cheers

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@RyanSAdams The Good People in crypto are: [1] those who know the difference between a CeFi business operating within the crypto space and an actual DeFi project [2] those who understand Satoshi's white paper = *no need to trust* [3] those who build for the future no matter what

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@bankless Arthur Hayes... for his perspective on the intersection of this week's crypto industry-specific treachery and the glimmer of macro light we saw this morning. KUTGW!

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@RaoulGMI Would be more interested to see you ask same question >= 35% or more

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@CryptoHayes Sir Hayes - just getting in to this tome... Perhaps you've devoured long ago? Cheers, much respect. Keep the essays flowing!

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@CryptoHayes Macro simply rules the day. Assuming a successful merge (not a given, of course), today's weakness is ultimately just noise. A conservative ETH annualized return (from near a bull cycle peak of 1/01/2018 through mid-bear 8/31/2022) is still +117.5%.

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@vurnt22 Dear JVas and Vernon - I played drums with Gordon Gaines in the late 80's and/or early 90's...time is fuzzy. Incredible gigs. We started at midnight on Monday nights, often getting started 1am Tuesday or later. I am unearthing old cassettes and a video to digitize. Cheers, ((db))

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@Acruz_2018 Thanks for the kind words, Cruz!

[David Bush @Alphatative]

Hey #TABLEAU users, if you know of any reputable consultants to assist with Tableau dashboards (financial data) I'd be grateful for any suggestions or send pvt msg. Thanks! #dataviz

[USVirginIslands News🇻🇮 @USVInews]

Read Tim Duncan's childhood #HurricaneStory and how he plans to help the #USVI recover from #Irma & #Maria
https://t.co/WkgB7JjLic

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@JetSetSarah @HotelCaravelle you're all in my thoughts

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@Jensole2006 wishing you and my many STX friends good luck and safe passage through #stcroix

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@TropicalTidbits possible to assign probabilities of #Maria hitting #stcroix? any chance it misses? or will be as bad as Hugo 1989? thank you vm

[David Bush @Alphatative]

@ZachHurwitz @chatwithtraders Much respect, VWAP King Hurwitz. Back at you CWT Episode 11