TNF POTD๐ (Oct. 15th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Jason Myers O1.5 PATs (-154)
Keeping this one pretty simple. Myers has made at least 2 extra points in 4 out of 5 (80%), converting a season-high 4 PATs in the lone road outing (Week 2), averaging 2.8 entering Week 6, and ranked top-6 among all kickers
With Sam Darnold starting and/or playing more than 5 snaps, Myers has made multiple PATs in 3/3 (100%), averaging 3.9 from Weeks 3-5
Entering TNF, Seattle is currently a slight -2.5-point favorite on the road with a 21.5-point team total, priced at -330 to score 2+ touchdowns
Over the last 2 seasons, Myers has been one of the most reliable kickers in the league, converting 73 out of a possible 74 (98.6%) PATs
Dalton Kincaid weekly finish by game:
Week 1 - TE5
Week 2 - TE3
Week 3 - TE37
Week 4 - TE52
Week 5 - TE34
He has scored the 46th most points at the TE position since Week 3.
TNF POTD๐ (Oct. 8th)
Collab w/@PropKitchen ๐จโ๐ณ
1. Chris Godwin Jr. O27.5 Rec Yards(-115)
#WeAreTheKrewe
With Baker Mayfield out, we still like the path for Godwin to clear this number with Daniels under center.
In Danielsโ last start without Baker, he attempted 27 passes, so the passing volume was still there.
Godwin was also clearly involved, finishing with 7 targets, 6 receptions, and 31 receiving yards.
This does not require Godwin to break a big play or have a ceiling game. He just needs to stay active in the short-to-intermediate passing game, where he can be a reliable outlet for Daniels.
If Tampa keeps the offense simple, Godwin should continue seeing quick looks and chain-moving targets.
The matchup also supports it. Dallas has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to wide receivers, so there should be room for WR production in this spot.
If Tampa is playing from behind or forced into a pass-heavy script, that only helps Godwinโs volume.
Similar usage should be enough for Godwin to get over 27.5 again.
TNF POTD #2๐ (Oct. 8th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. CeeDee Lamb 20+ Rec Yards Each Half(-135)
โ๏ธ@SC_FFB
โข 29+ 1st-half receiving yards in 3/4 (75%) games, including 3/L3 (100%), and 2/2 (100%) at home, averaging 4.3 receptions on 5.0 targets for 45.5 yards, leading the Cowboys with a 27.4% target share in quarters 1-2
โข 34+ 2nd-half receiving yards in 4/4 (100%) games, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.5 targets for a league-high 79.0 yards, leading the Cowboys with a 33.8% target share in quarters 3-4
โข Career-high 17 receptions on 21 targets this past weekend (10/04/26), totaling 49 1st-half receiving yards and 140 2nd-half receiving yards, leading the Cowboys with a 46.7% target share on the day
โข 24+ 1st-half receiving yards and 44+ 2nd-half receiving yards in 2/2 (100%) games against the Buccaneers with Dak Prescott active and playing through the 4th quarter, averaging 5.5 receptions on 10.5 targets for 86.0 and a touchdown, leading the Cowboys with a 23.1% target share
โข The Buccaneers are a pass-funnel defense, ranked 2nd in EPA/rush (-0.25) and 5th in DVOA against the rush (-27.2%), already allowing the 2nd-most yards after catch (523) this season, and will be without starting cornerback Benjamin Morris and All-Pro safety Antoine Winfield Jr.
TNF POTD๐ (Oct. 8th)
Collab w/@PropKitchen ๐จโ๐ณ
1. Chris Godwin Jr. O27.5 Rec Yards(-115)
#WeAreTheKrewe
With Baker Mayfield out, we still like the path for Godwin to clear this number with Daniels under center.
In Danielsโ last start without Baker, he attempted 27 passes, so the passing volume was still there.
Godwin was also clearly involved, finishing with 7 targets, 6 receptions, and 31 receiving yards.
This does not require Godwin to break a big play or have a ceiling game. He just needs to stay active in the short-to-intermediate passing game, where he can be a reliable outlet for Daniels.
If Tampa keeps the offense simple, Godwin should continue seeing quick looks and chain-moving targets.
The matchup also supports it. Dallas has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to wide receivers, so there should be room for WR production in this spot.
If Tampa is playing from behind or forced into a pass-heavy script, that only helps Godwinโs volume.
Similar usage should be enough for Godwin to get over 27.5 again.
TRUST IN GODWIN ๐ซก
๐ NFL TNF Dish #2 (10/8)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ก๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @AltLineDemon ๐
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- With Baker Mayfield out, we still like the path for Godwin to clear this number with Jalon Daniels under center.
- In Danielsโ last start without Baker, he attempted 27 passes, so the passing volume was still there. Godwin was also clearly involved, finishing with 7 targets, 6 receptions and 31 receiving yards.
- This does not require Godwin to break a big play or have a ceiling game. He just needs to stay active in the short-to-intermediate passing game, where he can be a reliable outlet for Daniels.
- If Tampa keeps the offense simple, Godwin should continue seeing quick looks and chain-moving targets.
- The matchup also supports it. Dallas has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to wide receivers, so there should be room for WR production in this spot.
- This should be another positive game script for the Bucs passing offense with Dallas entering as touchdown favorites. If Tampa is playing from behind or forced into a pass-heavy script, that only helps Godwinโs volume.
- Similar usage should be enough for Godwin to get over this line again.
S/O my guys @FrannysPlays and @ChronicBets, saw them post it first! ๐ค
Best Odds: -114 FanDuel
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX