Altai News Radio

Live Conflict Map

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👀 New UI/UX changes to the site, plus we are making significant upgrades to our LLM framework.

🚨*Warning! Changes to the intelligence engine will cause some assessments to be wildly off, will update when assessments align with reality!

https://t.co/Jdmv0OPeaD

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📡Noticing an increase in activity in: Sudan, Yemen, and Thailand/Cambodia. https://t.co/Y2nixPKXZH

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📡Polymarket Intelligence Panel has been undergoing some massive changes, but the live map still works. I am adding a lot of data to the Altai AI in order to get more accurate assessments, which is breaking some of its functionalities. Small team, but it is almost there!

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Apologies for assessment downtime, but I ran into some bugs trying to get the LLM working and integrated. Once I have it making assessments for all the markets, I can start adding more events to the map!🤠

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Continuing work on Altai's prediction model. Will update once it is functioning.

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🚨Guinea-Bissau soldiers seize power after a shooting near the presidential palace, three days after a national election.

Source: Business Insider (https://t.co/0jXxvIBaJo)

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Altai Intelligence's current assessment for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025:

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🚨Ukrainian delegation allegedly agrees to a potential peace deal, according to a US official.

Source: ABC https://t.co/Li0AO31spw

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Putin told Erdogan that the US peace proposals were in line with what was discussed between the US and Russia in Alaska and could be the basis for the final peace settlement.

Source: Kremlin (https://t.co/L2pDG92Fvn)

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Chairman of Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada Ruslan Stefanchuk stated that "Crimea is Ukraine, part of the Ukrainian state, and the war will end when Crimea is returned to the territorial integrity of Ukraine".

Source: Ukrinform (https://t.co/s2k3rFJljP)

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🚨The US Treasury has designated the Maduro-led Venezuelan Cartel de los Soles as a foreign terrorist organization as the US continues to pressure Venezuela.

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PRC MFA reported that Xi told Trump that Taiwan's return to China is a key part of post-war international order. Xi stated that "China and the United States once fought side by side against fascism and militarism, and should now work together to safeguard the outcomes of World War Two".

Source: PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs (https://t.co/ya5i3lSSW6)

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⚡️US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that a tremendous amount of progress was made after a day of negotiations with Ukrainian and European officials. Zelenskyi and Trump would need to sign off on the final text of the agreement before Russia received it.

Source: Financial Times (https://t.co/ZfdsDerq8n)

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Site is currently down/not working correctly. We are adding some new intel functionalities to the site and patches should be done by tonite or tomorrow.

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Site upgrades: Currently implementing GPT-5 widget to assist with querying info from the site. Expect some bugs! 🐞

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🤔On the possibility of a Ukraine Russia ceasefire by the end of 2025, especially within the context of the 28-point peace plan:

1) Trump gave a "hard" deadline by next Thursday for Ukraine to respond to the plan. Given that it is being presented as a "live" document, this implies that there will be some back and forth between the US, Ukraine, and Russia before anything is settled on (if anything is settled on).

2) Ukraine continues to view the concessions outlined in the plan (loss of territory, decreased military, no NATO membership) as unacceptable, which will continue to offset any kind of deal.

3) Zelenskyi insisted that the deal be made on Ukraine's terms and continues to coordinate with European allies.

4) Russia continues to hold that any peace plan must bring in the "realities on the frontline", which implies that Russia will at a minimum demand territories up to the current frontline, and possibly complete control over any oblast Russian forces are currently operating within.

5) It is unlikely that we see a peace deal by next week at this point, unless Ukraine sharply changes the conditions of what they would agree to.

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⚡️Putin stated that Russia received the 28-point plan from the US, but that Ukraine and its allies are still under the illusion of the possibility of a strategic Russian defeat.

Russia is ready for peace, but it must be ensured according to the current dynamics on the frontline.

Source: TASS

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🚨Putin stated that Trump's peace plan in Ukraine was discussed before the Alaska summit. All Russian partners supported the possible agreements at the Alaska summit. The US has not yet managed to secure an agreement from Ukraine on the peace plan.

Source: TASS

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Noticing some increased activity around Venezuela amidst all the Ukraine news coming out: https://t.co/Jdmv0OPM0b