Republicans have long worried that -- once Trump is gone -- the college graduates whom he alienated will remain Democrats, while the disengaged voters whom he mobilized will stop turning out.
The 2025 election results make that scenario more plausible https://t.co/RUxYG3iT76
Projecting. If you throw out the six poll suppressors, there were 18 statewide polls in October with an average margin of 7 points. Someone obscured an accurate picture of New Jersey's electoral mood, and it wasn't them.
Gloucester County, epicenter of the South Jersey red wave that toppled the state Senate President and nearly vaulted Ciattarelli to victory in 2021, returns to the Democratic fold with Sherrill carrying it by 4 points.
be careful with pollsters who invest a lot of time and money into marketing based off single election performance, and don't appear to take methods too seriously
https://t.co/MRR51bMbJN
You all got mad at me for this but again: these races were NEVER close and a basic understanding of fundamentals regarding how elections work could have told you this.
The biggest obstacle for Republicans in NJ: Trump-hostile voters who were willing to back Ciattarelli in '21 when (a) Trump was no longer president and (b) Ciattarelli had more public distance from him.
They are especially prominent in higher $ towns w/ lots of college+ whites:
5⃣ Days until the first New Jersey Gubernatorial Debate between Jack Ciattarelli and Mikie Sherrill on Sunday, September 21 at 7 PM, sponsored by the New Jersey Globe, On New Jersey, and Rider University.
The @HughesCenter at @Stockton_edu and @ThePressofAC will sponsor a debate between State Legislative District 2 Assembly candidates on Oct. 21 at 7 p.m. Learn more: https://t.co/u2FqGvLC4A
📢 New Jerseyans want renewable energy development prioritized, the latest poll by the Hughes Center at @Stockton_edu finds. See the full results on our website: https://t.co/S8ogG22yUN
Badges? We don't need no stinkin' (beach) badges, 2/3 of New Jerseyans say in @HughesCenter poll.
Story by @WayneParryACP https://t.co/VCbJCKzVdT via @thepressofac
Join us on July 9th for a timely discussion on New Jersey's energy future and the possibilities of an all-of-the-above approach to energy generation. Register for the webinar here:
https://t.co/2hFIzEhaq0
Let's take a trip down Demographics Avenue, shall we? (courtesy of this incredible tool from the New York Times)
Mamdani is winning majority Asian precincts by 15 points.
And not just South Asian bastions like Jackson Heights.
East Asian bastions like Sunset Park & Chinatown.
Earlier this month @HughesCenter released a report "Immigration and the Labor Market" by @Stockton_edu Professor of Economics @ramya_devan and student Tatiana Shukovsky that addresses some common preconceived notions about immigrant workers. Learn more: https://t.co/0hC0DBga5K.
But he also talked about what RFK Jr. gets right on nutrition like the harms of petroleum-based food dyes and ultra processed foods, in children in particular.
And NJ voters agree our food system needs reform: https://t.co/AaH8S49XAI
Seems like a good time to tune in to one of our latest guests on @HughesCenter Conversations who talked about how federal health agencies are losing their independence and the rigor of vaccine testing and development, despite claims to the contrary.
https://t.co/rc9Zmel0pw
HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced he is removing all 17 members of the CDC's vaccine advisory committee and replacing them with new members. https://t.co/b0rB6u1YoD
With about 1.2 million votes in the count so far for both parties, this will be the biggest primary turnout since 2020.
And it is the biggest turnout for a gubernatorial primary since 2001.
Voters and candidates alike deserve credit.
No shade to Matt specifically here but I continue to think this isn’t really how voters viewed the race.
Baraka did best among urban Black voters, while Fulop got lots of suburban/rural white votes; would either group naturally flip to the other candidate if only one ran?