S&P 500 (SPX) is tagging a 100-year long resistance, while the Buffett Indicator is warning about the most overvalued stock market in more than 100 years.
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https://t.co/YIi272FNNZ
The Buffett Indicator (Total US Market Value/GDP) is a ballpark measure of how expensive stocks are at any one point in history…
It’s now sitting at ~220%
Surpassing the Dot Com bubble.
“If the ratio approaches 200%, as it did in 1999, you are playing with fire.” - W. Buffett
$TGT SAFE HAVEN
Now out of the Buy Zone and so far holding above the $104 support line.
Once $104 is held, I believe this returns to the 200 WMA at $155 right now
Save and share it.
𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐧 7/21
$HOOD Break over 113.5, 115c Aug 15--to target: $120+
$ASTS Break over 58.1, 60c Aug 15--to target: $65+
$OKLO Break over 60.2, 60c Aug 15--to target: $75+
$SMR Break over 50.9, 50c Aug 15--to target: $60+
LIKE IF YOU WANT MORE TRADE PLANS❤️
$HBAR HOLDERS, STRAP IN.
The rocket launched straight from the support zone just like we forecasted.
If you bought the dip, you’re smiling now.
That little pullback? Instantly bought up.
@hedera isn’t lagging. It’s leading.
This chart screams: winner of the bull cycle.
HBAR to $0.50+ is back on the table?
$HBAR Grabs Headlines on Yahoo Finance & CoinDesk (200M+ Monthly Readers)
Following its Robinhood listing, $HBAR surged nearly 12%, making it the top daily gainer among the top 20 cryptos.
Over 713 million HBAR was traded in a single hour, triggering a breakout past $0.26 around 12:00 UTC on July 25
$HBAR Grabs Headlines on Yahoo Finance & CoinDesk (200M+ Monthly Readers)
Following its Robinhood listing, $HBAR surged nearly 12%, making it the top daily gainer among the top 20 cryptos.
Over 713 million HBAR was traded in a single hour, triggering a breakout past $0.26 around 12:00 UTC on July 25
🚨 $HBAR Surges 12% Following Robinhood Listing, Top Daily Gainer Among Top 20
“HBAR could potentially rise to $1.26 or even $3.30 in a bullish scenario”
➡️ Joined the https://t.co/edHgHBxUsH crowdfund waitlist yet?
Join today and follow for updates! https://t.co/RETb8VIJcf
🚨$HBAR Booms With BlackRock & Fidelity Funds Now Live On Hedera
“Currently, BlackRock & Fidelity’s tokenized reserves are worth $59 billion, 4 times the market capitalization of Hedera”
➡️ Get in early on the next big Hedera token - link in bio ☝️ https://t.co/P9C842ppbU
#HBAR 1W chart below...
$.26 - $.33 is historically congested - a strong break of this area is BULLISH and most likely sends us back to 2021 levels and beyond. Be patient.
MACD and RSI are prepped for big runs!
No guarantees...ever...but, she looks nice 🤘
🚨 $HBAR Potential 498% Breakout Target Despite Pullback
“From this level, projection suggests a potential rise of up to 498%, which would target around $1.49”
➡️ Do you feel rewarded for the time you spend posting on X?
Visit https://t.co/edHgHBxUsH https://t.co/CZCJafO47M
🚨Hedera - $HBAR Emerges as Top Gainer on Robinhood Following First-Day Listing
Rising 9.62% to $0.2629, leading all listed cryptocurrencies on the platform.
AMZN, BBBY, and the Trust Mechanics Behind Synthetic Equity.
In complex post-Chapter 11 reorganizations, especially those involving phantom equity unwind and synthetic capital stack realignment, performance-based derivatives are rarely designed for direct public payout. Instead, they serve as ignition mechanisms, structured to trigger distribution logic embedded within estate-administered trusts.
The August 25 AMZN Call Option I discovered on OPENFIGI (quoted post), linked to Share Class BBG001S720V4, is precisely that: a trigger. While it presents publicly as a listed Flex option, it ties directly to DK-Butterfly / Bed Bath & Beyond, a fiduciary trust entity confirmed under the Plan.
Upon deeper review of the trust’s underlying synthetic instruments, I identified two non-standard UPI options, both tied to BBBY common equity (ISIN: US0758961009):
🔲QZ9LB1MN059P- Valuation: “Other”
🔲QZ16HG0CMB4P- Valuation: “Other Path Dependent”
◼️Both were issued on June 9, 2024 (6/9).
◼️Both are physically settled.
◼️Both are structured to vest only upon fulfillment of a nontraditional trigger (like an external benchmark event, such as AMZN > $220 on 08/01/2025).
If that threshold is met, the AMZN derivative becomes in-the-money, but more importantly, it satisfies the embedded vesting logic of the BBBY UPI options, unlocking mirror equity or phantom distributions downstream.
At that point, the payout mechanism shifts to forward contracts, specifically the forwards discovered by @nobles305:
🔲QZ0FVCVXRC1P (dated 07/01/2025)
🔲QZFWKRCQFLP4 (dated 02/29/2024)
Both are non-standard, cash-settled equity forwards, pegged to BBBY equity via spread-bet logic. These are not public instruments. These are trust-level delivery vehicles, designed to distribute Value once the internal path-dependent options vest.
In short:
🔳The AMZN call lights the fuse.
🔳The non-standard BBBY options unlock the vault.
🔳And these forwards are the cash flowing out.
But no recapitalization structure is complete without a liability ledger.
That’s where the bond forwards come in:
🔲QZG6MW29NCR3 (A80 – 2014 Senior Notes)
🔲QZ0GZRR3B3PF (B63 – 2024 Notes)
🔲QZQH1SN28DL2 (C47 – 2034 Notes)
Each is a physically settled forward contract, tracking the forward value of BBBY’s legacy senior notes. These contracts don’t deliver value, they preserve it, acting as phantom liabilities within the trust to balance the equity-triggered payout structure.
They ensure that the capital stack remains legally symmetrical:
🚰Equity may flow, but only after legacy bondholders are accounted for.
📑 Legally speaking, this structure complies with §1123(a)(4) and (a)(5) of the Bankruptcy Code. The synthetic obligations are coded, the forward instruments are active, and the triggering derivative is loaded.
The trust is built.
The contracts are live.
The ignition is imminent.
And when it fires, Value will only flow exactly where the structure intended it to.
🛏️🛁🚀
$HOOD
Robinhood has done a really nice job beginning to consolidate in the triple digits.
Has not seen below $90 since their crypto event.
Analysts expect $913M of revenue on Wednesday and $0.35 of EPS.
I have the same EPS with a slight beat on revenue.
Max pain is $90 in my opinion if the numbers aren’t the best or don’t match expectations. I think if they smash, $120 is possible. Could also be flat around the $105 range.
There are MANY catalysts going into H2:
- Robinhood Banking launch
- New active trader event in September
- Expansion of tokenization in the EU
- Rate cuts
- Credit card expansion, currently at 300K, company said they want to get users up to 400-500K by end of year
- Staking for $ETH now on the platform
- WonderFi acquisition becoming official
- Bitstamp institutional business being incorporated
- Cortex, their AI product, rolling out
- Potential S&P inclusion
How do you think the company does on earnings next week?
$HOOD +3%
🚨Yahoo Finance/Coindesk Covers $HBAR (200M Monthly Readers)
Hedera Surges 12% Following Robinhood Listing, Making it Top Daily Gainer Among Top 20
“The listing sent HBAR trading volumes sharply higher, with a mid-day breakout around 12:00 UTC on July 25 pushing prices through the $0.26 mark amid more than 713 million tokens traded in a single hour”
“Fibonacci extension levels, which are often used to estimate future price targets during strong uptrends, suggesting that HBAR could potentially rise to $1.26 or even $3.30 in a bullish scenario.”
The Robinhood and Kraken listings have both had immediate impact on price & volume - on major news events like ETF or SWIFT we’ll really see the power of these platforms.
Keep stackin!