"Iran gaat dit winnen" aldus @keesdekortbnr in gesprek met @hollandgold#Iran wordt extreem onderschat en defensieve capaciteit Israël put uit
https://t.co/ve3DtOCLuv
Widening the view
#FactorInvesting works better with European #Stocks than American
Lower economic growth > lower corporate profits > lower #StockMarket returns > greater need for generating excess return > more focus on distinct factors
#Value#Size#Momentum#LowVol#Quality
The performance of different asset classes by decade from the 1950s to 2023
In the first 4 years of this decade U.S. large cap equities have earned 12% return, making it so far, the most profitable asset class in the 2020s.
#SP500#Bonds#Gold#Oil#WallStreet
As goes January, so goes the year
The January indicator is a statistical oddity as it lacks scientific evidence
For 2024 January's return foretells a great year for the #SP500
If it turns out differently, there are three kinds of lies: little lies, damned lies and statistics
Estimating future drawdowns
Sooner or later markets are going to be hit, but how hard?
Rule of thumb: drawdown = 3.3 x sigma
#SP500#Correction#BearMarket#WallStreet
Momentum is the premier market anomaly and contradicts the strategy of buying low and selling high
The #momentum factor prevails in the market due to irrational behavioral biases of investors such as herd mentality, fear, greed and confirmation bias
#SP500#WallStreet
The more #Volatile your #Equity#Investments, the more you benefit from #Diversification
By including different #AssetClasses, you increase the probability that your investments will provide satisfactory returns
Yet, diversification does not solve the lack of knowledge
In theory a stock split compares to cutting a piece of cake. It doesn’t impact a company’s fundamental position and therefore creates no additional value
In practice the number of shares outstanding increases. This will boost its stock’s liquidity
#WallStreet $NVDA
Concentration vs Diversification
Apparently Harry Markowitz found a free lunch in finance
#Diversification involves investing across various assets
#Concentration focuses on a limited number of assets
What wins in the long term: Index fund or Top 10 S&P stocks?
#WallStreet#SP500
On Monday the #Nikkei dropped 12%, marking its largest decline since 1987
The fear gauge surged to levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis
Japan’s market turmoil led shares in Europe and New York lower, with American investors notably more concerned
#SP500#VIX#STOXX