A $2 TRILLION company that lost $4.9 billion last year. π
SpaceX went public at $135 and is already ~$200 β the 6th most valuable company in America. But it makes under $19B in revenue and isn't profitable yet. So what's the market actually paying for?
Not 2025's numbers. It's Starlink (already ~$11B of revenue and growing fast) plus a long bet on Mars. That's the whole story behind the price.
(And no β it did NOT just "join the S&P 500." It can't qualify until ~2027.)
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@zerohedge The bond market disagreeing with the Fed this visibly is not a small thing. Yields moving up after a hold means the market thinks inflation is stickier than Powell let on. Watch how equities react to this in the next hour.
@WatcherGuru Gold holds, silver crashes. That divergence tells you this is an industrial demand story more than a safe haven story. Markets are quietly pricing in slower growth.
The chart says everything. Fund manager concern about overinvestment went from -80 to near record highs in roughly 18 months. That's not a gradual shift in sentiment β that's a consensus forming in real time. When 22% of global fund managers agree on something this specific, the market tends to eventually price it in whether the companies cut capex or not.
@unusual_whales SMCI has had accounting scandals, auditor resignations, and now export violation charges involving the co-founder. this one keeps finding new ways to make investors nervous.