𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃

Sports lover. President of an analytics consultancy.

Texas BBA in Finance | UCLA MBA | UCLA Masters in Applied Economics

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@Reech___ Well, he sure answered that question!😂

Pre-portal, I assumed players were at a disadvantage when changing teams, schemes, play calls, etc. But, it's clear that great players are great players no matter what. And, while some positions are at a scheme disadvantage, not all are.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@svembu This is some revisionist bullsh*t. As a white American that owns companies in Mumbai & Surat, the overwhelming majority of Americans LOVE Indians. They are amazing people, smart, hard-working, family oriented, w/ a (generally) strong moral compass.

Don't make up lies.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@TheAmer96874779 @JasonMBrodsky I can only speak from knowledge of the US banking system. Our (US) banks have handled money for terrorists, cartels, ponzie schemes, money launderers, people that seek to subvert the election system, et al. Those crimes are only discovered by audits and/or whistleblowers.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@yarbatman https://t.co/pVph2DJnsX

[Miad Maleki @miadmaleki]

1. "Oil exports have been a constrained source of FX"
If oil was already a constrained source of FX, then cutting it to zero via blockade isn't manageable. The rial lost 60%+ post-war, food inflation hit 105%, and Iran is printing 10-million-rial notes worth ~$7. You don't get to argue "oil didn't matter much" and then claim a 6-month runway.

2. "War depresses import demand"
War doesn't eliminate import need, it shifts it. Iran imports ~$159M/day in industrial inputs, machinery, medicine, and raw materials. Depressed consumer demand for smartphones doesn't offset the collapse of supply chains keeping factories, refineries, and hospitals running.

3. "Non-oil trade with Iraq, Turkey, Afghanistan is significant"
These exports are mostly petrochemicals and metals, already down 13% in value befoire the blockade. Production facilities have been hit by strikes, and Iran can't import the catalysts and industrial inputs needed to keep what's left running. Also, lower production needs to address domestic need. Don't forget about gasoline shortage. 90%+ of Iran's $109.7B in annual trade flows through now-blockaded southern ports. Alternative routes via Jask, Chabahar, and the Caspian handle less than 10% of volume.

4. "Iran has $100B+ in international reserves"
These are in restricted/frozen/blocked accounts and inaccessible, that's exactly why the regime made unfreezing them a non-negotiable precondition in Islamabad. Even if a host country made the risky decision to release funds, good luck finding a bank willing to touch them. Obama had to fly pallets of cash to Tehran because no bank in the world would process the transfer. "China might oblige"? Under what mechanism, and through which correspondent bank? These aren't reserves.

5. "6-month window before the economy unravels"
Iran's economy was in freefall before the blockade, inflation at 47.5%, currency in collapse, largest bank failed in December, mass protests since January. Every day of blockade accelerates the unraveling. There is no 6-month cushion.

6. "Iran was at the negotiating table in good faith"
Iran still hasn't reopened the Strait per the ceasefire. 230 loaded tankers are waiting. That's not good faith, that's leverage Iran tried to hold and is now losing.

7. "The blockade isn't really enforceable"
The U.S. Navy is physically present and CENTCOM declared it would interdict all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports. This isn't a sanctions regime requiring bank compliance, it's warships.

A blockade doesn't need to be permanent to be devastating. No oil revenue means no imports, no imports means hyperinflation, and Iran's "diversified" economy runs on inputs it can no longer get.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@tara_riva @yarbatman The blockade is an enforcement of global sanctions against Iranian oil exports. It's no different than banks freezing billions of dollars of Iranian cash reserves. It's 100% legal. You don't get to oppress women & gays, murder your citizens, & bomb neighbors w/o consequences.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@TheAmer96874779 @JasonMBrodsky Note: A private bank in Oman or the UAE helping the Islamic Republic is *NOT* the same as the nations of Oman & UAE helping the Islamic Republic. We have private citizens in the US that are actively helping the Islamic Republic, Muslim Brotherhood, ISIS, etc.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@Mena142 @JasonMBrodsky It's 2026. You're not hiding a digital trail.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@bearsejuk @thurais75 @DrJStrategy The Kra Canal would take a long time to build & is opposed by so many influential Thai trade partners: the US, India, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, et al. They also don't have the money to build it *and* are reticent to accept Chinese funding in exchange for Chinese control.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@thurais75 @DrJStrategy Soooo your solution to Indonesia blockading the Malacca Strait....is to detour to the Sunda Strait, which is an even narrower straight fully controlled by....Indonesia?

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@genXalpha @TruthTrumpPost Who's he? He's the SOS of the world's most powerful and influential nation. You're acting like he's just a guy. In all areas of all aspects of life across all countries, different people carry different levels of influence & power. The US is rightly exerting their influence.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@shawnwenzel @academic_la Briana has a vagina, and has been very open about having had gender reassignment surgery.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@alexwickham @OzKaterji Americans that hate America want so badly to believe all of that rubbish is true. Is there a fraction of truth in the article? Sure, but that's all it is....a fraction. The majority is wish-casting by those whose primary allegiance is the Democratic Party, not the USA.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@dpatrikarakos Trump has NEVER said the goal was regime change, and has gone so far as to repeatedly say regime change wasn't a goal. Him tongue-in-cheek saying the regime has changed because they keep killing their leaders isn't the same as vocalizing that they want to overthrow the gov't.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@leylahamed @DillyHussain88 Since when are Israeli 18-20 year old kids responsible for the actions of Israeli politicians? How is anyone so dense as to think Bosnian, Israeli, Iranian, etc citizens should be held responsible, shamed, & disrespected for the actions of their leaders over the decades???

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@BowTiedMara #1) Super Güerrín
#2) Calabresa

I love Pizzeria Güerrín!

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@TortoRacoon @TheLatamGuy Buddy, that's not what an Italian pizza looked like in the 1800s, when Italians populated Argentina. You're ignoring 150 years of evolution in Italy.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@berkie1 Let's say a community didn't want to increase density, but did want to retain young professionals....what would be your proposal?

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@shanaka86 You said China's response was to sell gold, but didn't explain WHY that was the response, or what it accomplished. Can you explain that part?

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@Bobby9763Bobby @DeannaIndiana @MalcolmNance The conversation is about using ground forces to take control of the gulf islands, which are small. The largest, Queshm, is smaller than the city of Houston. If we were talking about continental Iran, I'd be in 100% agreement. Different story for the mini gulf islands.

[𝑅𝒾𝓈𝑜𝓃 @AnalyticsGOAT]

@WillLewis_1976 @MalcolmNance Buddy, come on. Let's use critical thinking. The POTUS did not tell oil execs he was going to invade a foreign country & kidnap the dictator before he told anyone in Congress. Trump can be a dummy at times, no doubt, but that's a bridge too far.