Anatol Struna

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@MisterSpread Arb

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@realdanielnita Un discurs patetic, prea mult elogiu gratuit. După toate mizeriile spuse de șeful lui, praf în ochi.

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@glcrypto1618 96850

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

When and how to take profits: the not-so-sexy thread

This won’t be the kind of post that gets clicks or hype, but it might be the one that actually saves you down the line. It’s not a doom take or a moonboy fantasy, is just something I’ve learned through experience and what I’ve seen play out repeatedly around me.

In my community, this question came up a lot, especially from younger traders and investors. The way I managed my portfolio last cycle didn’t just give me good returns, it gave me more freedom for my mental capital and that’s one of the most underrated things out there. That calm in the storm helped me make better, more rational decisions then and ever since.

So here’s the deal: let’s say you caught a monster trade be it early allocation, meme, whatever and now you’re looking at those magical “life-changing” gains. First off, they’re not gains until you lock them in. I don’t care what your PnL says, until you hit that withdraw button, it’s all just numbers on a screen.

And no, this is not a diamond hands competition. Get your head out of the fantasy land and into real capital management. I’ve had tens, maybe hundreds of DMs in the last 5 years from people who round-tripped six or even seven figures because they never took a dime out. Don’t be them.

Here’s the framework that worked for me:
Let’s say your monthly expenses are $5,000 (can be more can be less, take this as a benchmark). Take that number and cover two years of living costs, then add on 30% extra for inflation, unexpected situations, etc

That’s $5,000 x 24 = $120,000. Add 30% on top and you’re looking at $156,000.

That money? You bank it. No excuses. Move it to a separate expenses account, a cold wallet, somewhere it won’t get touched for anything else. That becomes your runway. You’ll use it to pay your monthly expenses and free your brain from survival mode.

For the usual hater suspects: this is not a “take profit now” post. I’m not saying we topped. I’m not calling anything on Bitcoin or the market.

This is just a grown-ass approach to crypto profits in a world where selling is seen as weakness and holding to zero is glorified like some badge of honor. Fuck that. You’re here to win long-term, not to gamble everything away for clout.

Get your foundation in place and the rest becomes 10x easier to navigate.

Retweet this, so others can get a balanced reminder when things turn hot again 🫡

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

$6,500/$6,600 for $ETH by Oct/Nov

First of all, goes without saying, that these are just potential targets, based on the patterns below.

You pick your favorite, either Adam&Eve or the Rounding Bottom. The idea and framework behind them is basically the same.
We measure the move from the Neckline to the bottom of the patterns and to the upside after the breakout, from the Neckline we draw the same % but to the upside. That gives us a projected target of $6,500/$6,600 by Q4 this year.
Adding to the mix the ETHBTC combination, and with a Bitcoin around $140,000 by then (conservative I would say) and with a ratio of 0.046, voila > $140,000 $BTC x 0.050 ETHBTC = $6,500 for ETHUSDT.
So whether you see it as an Adam & Eve or a Rounding Bottom, things start to line up.

Patterns don’t guarantee the future, but they can help map the road ahead and right now, that road points toward +$6.5K ETH in Q4 this year. This will be valid as long as ETH doesn't lose $3,970 area on weekly close.

If you enjoy this type of content, hit the like and Retweet 🫡

[Nicușor Dan @NicusorDanRO]

🔴 Atacurile boților continuă și nu întâmplător sunt vizate postările în care încercăm să arătăm românilor adevărata față a lui George Simion. Încercarea de manipulare a opiniei publice este fără precedent, iar autoritățile nu fac nimic în această privință.
🔴 Avem nevoie de mobilizarea tuturor ca să facem cunoscută această nedreptate!

#NicusorDan #boti #simion #dreptate

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

Alegeri Prezidentiale Romania Mai 2025

Romania trece in aceste zile printr-un moment important in istoria sa, din multe puncte de vedere. In postarea de astazi nu voi vorbi despre aspectul politic, pentru ca toate platformele sunt deja pline de experti in domeniu. Astazi voi vorbi despre aspectul economic, mai exact despre indicele $BET – Bucharest Exchange Trading Index.

O zicala faimoasa de pe Wall Street spune asa: "In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine."

Ce ne spune indicele $BET despre starea economiei Romaniei inainte de turul 2?
Nu e politica, e piata, deci o analiza bazata pe pret si grafice.

Indicele BET a crescut spectaculos, cu aproape 80%, de la minimele din octombrie 2022 până la maximele istorice din iulie 2024, in tandem cu redresarea bursei americane.
Desi acel varf nu a coincis cu instabilitatea politica din toamna trecuta, se poate observa ca in noiembrie au avut loc scaderi destul de importante si rapide, de aproximativ -13%.

Revenirea a fost de scurta durata, pentru ca, dupa ultimele scaderi din noiembrie si decembrie (cand din nou am avut instabilitate politica), indicele BET nu a mai reusit sa depaseasca rezistenta de la 17,700 si a reintrat pe o traiectorie descendenta.
Romania nu este pe muchie de cutit doar din punct de vedere politic, ci si economic. Indicele BET flirteaza cu zona 16,800, un suport saptamanal/lunar important.

Daca investitorii isi pierd increderea pe termen scurt sau pur si simplu nu vor sa fie expusi la incertitudine politica, iar acest nivel de suport este pierdut, putem asista la o continuare a trendului descendent.
Urmatorul target, in cazul in care acest suport cedeaza, este zona 15,600, ceea ce ar insemna o posibila depreciere de aproximativ -7% pe termen scurt/mediu si o intrare in piata descendenta mai accentuata (bear market).
Pe termen scurt, inca de la primele ore ale diminetii, am observat acelasi tip de comportament al investitorilor: reducerea expunerii si a riscului, ceea ce a dus la o scadere de aproximativ -2,60%.

Concluzie:
Oricare ar fi rezultatul alegerilor dupa turul 2, e vital ca liderii sa tina cont si de increderea in piata de capital. Fara ea, redresarea economica devine tot mai complicata.

Vreau sa reamintesc ceea ce spuneam in noiembrie: in 37 de ani nu am mai vazut o asemenea polarizare si ura intre romani in jurul unor alegeri, si asta este cu adevarat trist.

P.S: Nu voi comenta din punct de vedere politic niciun reply sau raspuns la aceasta postare, pentru ca orice as adauga ar duce oricum la o discutie fara sfarsit, de aceea discutiile din comentarii le incurajez in acest spirit. 👇

https://t.co/h8YeEVwxLy

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

From Liquidity Euphoria to Hangover phase

1/ Since early 2023, I’ve been aggressively long U.S. equities, Bitcoin & the liquidity-fueled soft landing narrative.

But now, the regime has changed. Bookmark this for when the headlines catch up, a thread 🧵👇:

[andreibratucu🦇🔊 @andreibratucu]

The false prophets of the "New Media"

Dear international friends and users of X,

We are witnessing a dangerous situation unfold where Romania is being used by popular accounts on the platform to create panic and a false image of what is actually happening in the world.

One of those accounts is @marionawfal, whom I choose to reference because I met him a few months ago and helped my partner film an interview which now seems incredible to listen to. Everyone in the crypto industry had an image of Mario from the last cycle, and it was interesting to see him pivot to what is now called "New Media" and the success he was able to achieve mainly because of retweets from Elon Musk.

During the interview you can watch below, he talks about the high level of attention he receives and the responsibility that comes with it. He admits to taking a side in US politics by supporting Donald Trump because he is a "free speech" advocate, but other than that, he says that his journalism is objective regarding Ukraine/Gaza or any other hot topic around the world. He also speaks highly about posting factual information and not misinformation.

Now on the current subject, I feel he is not only taking a side but also spreading significant misinformation about the situation in Romania, and I want to help you understand by clarifying some of these "facts."

He refers to Calin Georgescu as "the rightful president of Romania."

Let me explain what happened here. Romania had a presidential election at the end of 2024. This type of election in Romania is split into two rounds unless one of the candidates gets more than 50% of the votes. In that case, the candidate wins from the first round and gets to be installed as president.

Calin Georgescu won the first round with 22.94% of the votes, which equals 2,120,401 votes out of 9,242,186. The total number of eligible voters on the lists was 18,021,800. By simple math, he obtained the vote of 11.77% of Romanians allowed to vote.

Although we can objectively admit he was a favorite for the second round based on these numbers, the election was annulled. The Constitutional Court of Romania first validated the first round and then two days later decided to cancel the election after voting had already started in some areas outside the country where voting takes three days to help Romanian citizens living abroad cast their votes. Romania's president at that time declassified the documents based on which the CCR canceled the elections, and most of the data given to the public was vague. It mentioned interference from another state, social media manipulation, or the cost of the campaign being different than previously declared. Georgescu declared 0$ (ZERO) campaign budget.

Now again, even if that would be enough to cancel the election, we all agree that the way the situation unfolded is terrible. It showed the lack of interest from Romanian authorities regarding the elections or, worse, parts of the system that accepted all of this before and during the vote.

The root of all problems

Much like all over the world, Romania is a country with corrupt politicians. Most of the time in the 35 years of democracy, the same parties ruled the country with one main goal: FILL THE POCKETS WHILE YOU CAN.

I'm pretty sure you know what that feels like and thus understand that most of the population is fed up and really wants change. It all erupted in the past 2-3 years with inflation skyrocketing after the pandemic and the cost of living becoming unbearable for some parts of the population.

Now here comes Calin Georgescu. A self-portrayed savior of the people and a fighter against the current establishment, he campaigned mainly on social media. Most of his ideology is nationalist, populist, and Christian Orthodox. Most of us had no idea who he was until the very last day before the first round, especially in big cities, and the fact that he won struck the country like a truck.

In fact, some of his voters declared that they had no idea who he was, but social media, especially TikTok, portrayed him as the savior, and the other options were people they couldn't vote for anymore. One week before the election, most polls gave Georgescu less than 5% and, in the best cases, 8% of the votes. So you can now understand the surprise we had after the counting was done.

After that night, Romanians started to analyze the winner of the first round, and what they found was sometimes scary and other times funny—ranging from "There are microchips in Pepsi that enter your body like a laptop" to "The moon landing was fake", "5G technology is extremely dangerous" or "Covid is not real, you can't see it." You can find most of his statements on this website with sources: https://t.co/Djk58nOjyN.

Setting aside some of these statements, which are mostly harmless, he said things like "Romania should look towards Russian wisdom." He even said he would be ready to leave NATO if it felt necessary and criticized the EU and the way it treats Romania.

While we can agree on some small details in these claims, you have to understand the raw feeling of Romanians when it comes to Russia after more than 40 years of communism. It's the same in most of the Eastern Bloc, and it is being passed from one generation to another. And it is mostly hate.
Romania is not the most developed country in Europe, but it grew a lot after being accepted into NATO and the EU, and you can check the economic data that sustains this. That being said, you can probably understand why some of those statements were labeled as dangerous by parts of the population that doesn't want to accept even a small chance of leaving the EU/NATO and turning toward "Russian wisdom."

Back to our current government

One thing that actually unites most Romanians these days is their lack of trust in the current political scene. There is a feeling of exhaustion among us, and we just want honest people ruling the country. Probably just a dream, as my personal take is it will never happen and most of this drama is just "circus". It's always the same situation, just different pockets. Our current prime minister, @CiolacuMarcel , was recently investigated by journalists for different private flights paid for by a company that scammed many Romanians in the real estate industry. Of course, some of those involved in the scam are also politicians. So you probably now understand why we also want change. The situation in Romania is wild these days. We do want change; some think Georgescu is that change, some think he is exactly what we don't need.

I don't want to make any judgments in this article. I'm trying to show you what I think "New Media" and "Citizen journalism" should be, at least in my view. What I thought Mario also stands for after that interview.

In the course of the last few weeks, Mario has posted every step of Georgescu alongside a network of other popular accounts, some of them known for edgy takes or straightforward propaganda, like Jackson Hinkle or Alex Jones. He even came to Romania to interview Calin and George Simion and said he was afraid.
Afraid of what?
What did he think he did wrong to be afraid of?
Nothing.
Just the usual recipe of fear to create drama for views. Many Romanians are asking him in replies to actually dig deeper into the matter and to listen to everyone, but he clearly took a side and goes forward. Why? We don't know for sure; there are some people claiming he was paid to campaign for Georgescu, but there is no actual proof of that being the case.
Maybe it's because he wants to continue with the whole "Anti-Soros" agenda widely spread even by Elon Musk these days. We don't know, and I don't want to point out a reason without proof or facts.

In fact, that's exactly why I wrote this piece. I'm tired of Old Media, and now the concept of "New Media" is failing harder than I would've ever imagined. Misinformation spreads the fastest on the internet, and most people don't take the time to double or triple check.

It is exactly the same practice of biased mainstream media, but for the other side.
It's no longer
"it must be true, I saw it on CNN"
but
"it must be true, I saw *insert popular account* posted it."

We are witnessing a difficult situation, not only in Romania, and I think journalism should evolve into what it should've always been. But this is not the way. We need to present facts and acknowledge the responsibility, especially as our accounts grow bigger.

I encourage every one of you to join the conversation and fill the gaps that I might've missed. Bring facts, bring arguments, do not bring insults.

I hope I was clear enough and that this helps some of you understand the situation better. I would love to see you help this post get the attention it needs.

Thank you,
andreibratucu

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@MisterSpread 😂

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@glcrypto1618 #wif

[MisterSpread @MisterSpread]

Never short a boring asset - #ETH

Hehe, it seems that the old saying was very accurate here and the people who got ahead of themselves and shorted ETHUSDT under $2,400 got blown out of the water last week.
ETHUSDT smashed through $2400 monthly resistance area and went to print another HigherHigh in it's current bullish sequence.
Even with the recent correction on Bitcoin, ETHUSDT managed to hold quite strong. I'm really curios where will ETH print its next HigherLow in this current structure, but as long as the price stays above $2,400 area (even a wick lower is OK), this is among the most bullish charts in the crypto space currently.
Adding Ichimoku for more context and we have the bullish trifecta almost complete:

1. Price above the Kumo, the Conversion and the Base line ✅
2. Kumo to be thick and green ✅ (here I want to see the Kumo/Cloud going thicker like a Snicker :D to be complete)
3. Conversion line > Base line and above the Kumo ✅

Sorry, my bad...ETHUSDT is NOT the most bullish chart out there...ETHBTC is :). Last week we saw ETHBTC rallying +28% post BTC ETF approval and we saw a Weekly bullish engulfing candle which took out 100 days of bearishness. Last final confirmation for the more conservative types will be when ETHBTC passes 0.061 area and continues above it.

Thank you for reading, if you find this type of content helpful, likes and retweets are appreciated, wishing you all a great week filled with green trades 🫡!

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

Paris

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

cc: @WarrenBuffett

[Anatol Struna @AnatolStruna]

@crypto_ro1 😂