Anca Agachi

🇷🇴 in 🇺🇲 via 🇪🇺. Defense Policy Analyst @RANDCorporation. Fellow @AtlanticCouncil. Security, conflict, emerging threats, foresight. Soapbox my own.

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

🧵Those who know me know I care a lot about understanding the future of security+conflict & helping policy systems adapt for what tomorrow may bring. So it's a *great* day when I get to geek out about these issues w/ @politico. cc @POLITICOMag 1/n
https://t.co/7A2U5QscZS

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

Hope and patience. 🇷🇴 My analysis for @AtlanticCouncil on the recent Romanian election's implications.

[Atlantic Council @AtlanticCouncil]

Romanians don’t want more of the same, so how will Dan be different?

“Hope and patience.” This is what Dan, the now president-elect of Romania, asked for in his speech when the first exit polls were released.

Patience because his mandate will be an incredibly difficult one. Immediately, he will have to choose a prime minister and help establish a pro-European political coalition in the Romanian Parliament, one third of which is made up of far-right parties. He will need to help build trust in an economy that has the EU’s highest budget deficit compared to gross domestic product. And he will need to lead the country’s foreign policy at a time when the regional context for Romania has never been more dangerous given Russia’s continued war in Ukraine. In the long term, Dan will have to face down the unaddressed root causes of discontent that gave oxygen to far-right parties in the first place and brought Romania to the brink of disaster. The country is plagued by poverty, inequality, a failing public health system, corruption, and inefficient, unresponsive, and distrusted state institutions, as well as a forgotten diaspora. He will have to “rebuild a one Romania” together with a divided population.

But Dan was also right to ask for hope. In the election result Sunday, Romania decided it cannot go back, and Romanians have firmly made the choice to remain anchored in the Western, transatlantic community. Despite external pressures, disinformation campaigns, suspicions of Russian interference, and fears of a contested election result, Romanians made it clear that they are European. But the same voters who turned out in massive numbers for two anti-system candidates also made it clear that more of the same in Romanian politics is simply not acceptable. This is the hope and the opportunity Romania is facing—starting now.

— @AncaAgachi is a nonresident fellow with Transatlantic Security Initiative in the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. She currently serves as a defense policy analyst at the RAND Corporation, where she focuses on international security and defense issues.

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

My thoughts on yesterday's Romanian🇷🇴 election. The result certifies Romanians want to be firmly anchored in Europe, but the new president will have a difficult mandate ahead.

[Atlantic Council @AtlanticCouncil]

FAST THINKING: Bucharest Mayor @NicusorDanRO won Sunday’s 🇷🇴 Romanian presidential election.

@Olari_Victoria, @AmbDanFried, and @AncaAgachi share their insights on what to expect next for Romania and for the country’s relations with the world:
https://t.co/V8rYQzEk5A

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

The NATO Summit madness begins tomorrow. In case your reading list isn't long enough already, @RANDCorporation has some fantastic pieces out (with more to come) on key issues on the summit agenda. Check out what @BHMcClintock and I have to say about @NATO and the final frontier.

[RAND @RANDCorporation]

The summit presents a critical opportunity to build on NATO's slow, steady progress on space.

@BHMcClintock and @AncaAgachi explain: https://t.co/K7QK4KGzxT

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@ProfPaulPoast Thanks so much, so helpful! Much appreciated.

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

Most anything @ProfPaulPoast writes is insightful, but this piece is particularly helpful in putting things into perspective, particularly in considering multipolarity as a potential underlying cause of present challenges.

[Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast]

"We do not need to be in a world war to be in a world at war."

I wrote that statement in a piece for @TheAtlantic, "Not a World War But a World at War"

What does that statement mean?

[THREAD]

https://t.co/W9qcTZaMEt

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@ProfPaulPoast Of course! I do have a question: I have been thinking about the same question your article asks, and one idea I keep coming back to relates to this piece https://t.co/zPVhRLVfI7 - do you consider multipolarity to supersede or underpin the demise of the standard treatment? 🙏🙏

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

And I also never read New Yorker articles about writing and post them on Twitter instead of actually writing the thing I am supposed to.
https://t.co/pT2LG2XQUJ

[Rasmus Hindren @RasmusHindren]

A very welcome even if at times overly critical review of crisis management. There is now room for out-of-the-box thinking about the future of crisis management. What could crisis management look like in the era and context of strategic competition? 1/4

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@RasmusHindren @HybridCoE @DefenceFinland Congratulations, Rasmus! I know you'll do a stellar job at an important time for your country!

[Sarah Bressan @bressansar.bsky.social @bressansar]

Global conflict update:
#Russia & #Ethiopia: most deadly state-based conflict-years recorded post 1989.
Trend of increased conflict between states in last decade, inc. major powers supporting opposite sides in intrastate conflict. @PRIOresearch https://t.co/XdSZJgydkO

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

The #NATO Summit started one week ago today. Still processing the implications of this historic event for the Alliance, 🇺🇦 & 🌍? Do revisit the excellent expert round-up put together by @AtlanticCouncil including some thoughts from yours truly.
https://t.co/qLpLOMpNyb

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@Rmanning4 @FT As early as 2018 the UN wrote about this and only now we are catching up. I recommend the entire HDR, it's good.
Also, the problem is not only our "lifestyles" but rather systemic incentive structures that allow the unsustainable exploitation of resources. https://t.co/MsX71JNFSc

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@AtlanticCouncil @DanSHamilton @sb_moller ✅In a particularly brilliant piece, @JohnCulver689 & Sarah Kirchberger analyze the lessons learned that 🇺🇸🇪🇺🇨🇳 are learning from 🇷🇺's invasion of 🇺🇦 in 🇹🇼.
Overall 🇨🇳 & Indo-Pacific will be one of the key items on the #NATO Summit Agenda next week. 4/4
https://t.co/HQwCcHHCIr

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

Thanks so much to @pwidakuswara @VOANews for reaching out to discuss the upcoming #NATO Summit & specifically how Allies are thinking about the Indo-Pacific. If you want to know more on the topic...1/n
https://t.co/QHVHE5DdmU

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@AtlanticCouncil @DanSHamilton ✅@sb_moller explores through the lens of Japan the topic of closer #NATO cooperation with the Asia Pacific 4 (🇯🇵🇰🇷🇦🇺🇳🇿) 3/n
https://t.co/VLlyFx77kc

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@FlorenceGaub @NATO @benedettabertiw @NATO_DefCollege Hair *and* outfit coordination game is strong, as were the excellent remarks on the panel today! Thanks both for the insights.

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@JRCookson So sorry in advance...(and thank you for everything you do!) https://t.co/KWWkXAEynB

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

If you read one thing today, make it this excellent new @ACScowcroft @ACGlobalChina report from @JohnCulver689 & Sarah Kirchberger on what lessons 🇺🇸🇨🇳🇪🇺 are learning from the 🇷🇺 war in 🇺🇦 and their application in a conflict over 🇹🇼.
https://t.co/HQwCcHHCIr

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

@ricbdc @FabianZuleeg Absolutely, @FabianZuleeg my bad for not including you, congrats on a great piece!

[Anca Agachi @AncaAgachi]

This is an excellent piece from @ricbdc about how we can move the needle on foresight. The need to make the discipline much more responsive and action-oriented is especially well taken.

[Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🇬🇱🟧 @ricbdc]

❓As EU’s executive capacity increases, #foresight should focus more on action & consider what needs to be done to avoid future problems before they develop. In simple terms, foresight needs to become #forethought‼️

Read @FabianZuleeg’s & my take: https://t.co/TZvbZnO3Hb @epc_eu