Andrew Rugg

Maker of polls and research analysis at Certus Insights.

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Five Findings: Government trust, working class and 9/11 at 25 https://t.co/clQNIeTDkQ

[Andrew Rugg @AndrewRugg]

5/ AI is increasingly seen as a jobs threat. 79% of U.S. adults say AI will eliminate more jobs than it creates, up from 67% in July 2025. Only 20% see it as a net job creator. Even Gen Z is mostly skeptical, only 26% optimistic.

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Five numbers worth your attention this week. 🧵

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4/ Religious-political spectacle has a ceiling. 87% reacted negatively to Trump's AI image showing him as a Jesus-like figure, including 80% of his own 2024 voters and 87% of White evangelicals. 69% reacted strongly negatively.

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5/ 71% of Americans say partisan gerrymandering should not be allowed.
74% of Democrats, 70% of independents, 69% of Republicans. Almost no difference between the parties.

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🧵 Five numbers from this week's public opinion data that I think are worth your attention.

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4/ Just 25% of non-homeowners expect to buy a home within 5 years, the lowest Gallup has ever measured.
Among 18-34 non-homeowners, that figure has crashed from 57% in 2013/2015 to 29% today.

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Five numbers from this week's polling:
1️⃣ Approval of the Iran cease-fire
2️⃣AI adoption is outpacing AI trust
3️⃣Ohio is starting to look competitive again
4️⃣Trump's handling of cost of living and inflation reach new lows
5️⃣Depression rates are up, particularly among two groups.

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5/5 AI familiarity is rising, but comfort is not (52%)

Pew finds 52% say AI makes them feel more concerned than excited, while only 10% say more excited than concerned.

Bottom line: exposure to AI is rising faster than trust.

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New in Signal & Sample: 5 polling takeaways on Iran, abortion, election rules, and AI.

This week’s issue shows Iran becoming a cost-of-living issue, while abortion access, proof-of-citizenship, and AI reveal deeper public divides.
https://t.co/IeO5bpvOPs

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4/5 Proof-of-citizenship starts with an opinion advantage (59%)

Economist/YouGov finds 59% support requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote, versus 29% opposed.

Bottom line: Democrats start from an uphill position on the broad principle.