Andrian Pelio

Crypto Trader / Portfolio Manager / Tweets are not financial advice

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Bitcoin ETF sees largest annual outflow of client funds #Bitcoin #ETF

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

#Bitcoin Cycles
What we're seeing now is a "catastrophe" for the unprepared. For a systematic market participant, it's a cyclical phase. There can only be one problem here: being without a strategy when the movement begins.

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

#SOLANA
While buying at $81, $75, and $60-70 isn't surprising, I was very interested in a group of professional SELL orders on #COINBASE in the $129-$150 range.
That's over 50% growth before these blocks were locked in. That's smart, experienced American money!

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

#Bitcoin has reached the 2nd layer of the Cycle!
Saying it's cheap, based on historical dynamics, is unnecessary!
Cheap = if you buy for 12 months +
There's a BUT. See the yellow arrows on the chart. Every time the price dropped to this layer, it broke through it and went lower!

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

I'm happy to see massive #BTC sales on exchanges right now!
This isn't a fixation anymore, but a clampdown to delay future growth momentum. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Apparently, the pressure on the price will continue and the market is expecting even more liquidations and panic! #CryptoMarket #BTC #Bitcoin

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Let me say right away that I don't believe in graphical analysis as a magic grail. We work with probabilities. Those who understand simple patterns, know the simple rules of the market, trade with stops, and work strictly according to probabilities will be profitable. #Crypto

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Trump's announcement of new tariffs and the general uncertainty surrounding the Fed's decisions spooked the markets, and investors switched to caution mode. Many entered with high leverage and the first normal pullback triggered a flurry of margin calls and forced selling #Crypto

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

@michaeljburry @jackclarkSF @claudeai @dwarkeshpodcast I see AI as a long cycle, not a quick revolution. The capital has already come in, now the market will weed out businesses with real cash flow from those that live only on expectations. Risk management is more important than narrative.

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Futures 93-94k
SPOT 95-98k
There's NO energy today to break above these levels. But there are no triggers yet to push towards 85-86k.
Everything will become clear soon, patience is the best ally. #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

#Bitcoin: We're approaching a more global resistance level. There will definitely be a battle for this level, and the outcome will determine the asset's movement in the coming week. #BTC #CryptoMarket

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

The main reason for the decline in #crypto today is the expected exclusion of #Microstrategy stocks from the Index.
According to the criteria, they should be 100% removed, as they don't meet the requirements (the question is how they got there in the first place). #CryptoMarket

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Large WHALE purchases on #BINANCE and #COINBASE
I think they'll reach their prices in Q1 2026. #BTC

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Major #Bitcoin price fixes will start at $90,000.
If there's energy to get there!
We're heading into the weekend again in a sideways range of $86-89k. #BTC #Crypto

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

In an analytical report for its clients, the American retail broker #FIDELITY directly hints that the time of the bear market is approaching. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

Moving from weak to strong hands?
According to #Glassnode statistics, the number of so-called "sharks"—wallets with balances between 100 and 1,000 #BTC - has increased significantly in the last month. Around 270,000 BTC were purchased in the month. #CryptoMarkets

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

The problem is leverage and lack of liquidity.
Rapid price movements eliminate leveraged #traders, further exacerbating liquidations. Liquidity has disappeared. The #crypto market will not stabilize until liquidity is restored.

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

#Bitcoin jumped to $90,000, liquidating $120 million in short positions.
It immediately sold to $86,000, liquidating $200 million in long positions.
This isn't market manipulation—market makers aren't pumping or dumping #BTC. They're "holding the spread!"

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

@MasterPandaWu While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are storming all-time highs, #Bitcoin stands on the sidelines, looking like a misunderstood genius. And while the market is busy, crypto enthusiasts are busy with their favorite hobby - reading tea leaves and looking for someone to blame.

[Andrian Pelio @AndrianPelio]

@crypto_chatter1 Even the #MicroStrategy case is perceived by the masses as a miracle, without understanding a word about corporate debt management, capital structure, and derivatives. Until then, keep believing that Blackrock is personally buying your "drawdowns." Good luck.