Amazon materially strengthens the SCS thesis, but it does not complete it. Arbitration economics, Disney’s appeals and workarounds, and licensing timing remain key risks.
Full note: https://t.co/o1M1pIRl8D
Not investment advice. (8/8)
Today we publish our second follow-up on InterDigital $IDCC.
Amazon has moved Streaming & Cloud Services from largely unrecognised optionality to material reported revenue.
The accounting, Samsung precedent and implications for Disney matter.
https://t.co/o1M1pIRl8D (1/8)
We continue to forecast $165m of recurring SCS revenue in FY27 and $247m in FY28.
FY27 requires meaningful Amazon and Disney economics. FY28 requires another substantial licence beyond those two counterparties.
Management’s ambition remains $300m+ of SCS ARR by 2030. (7/8)
A detailed analysis of InterDigital ($IDCC) will reach subscribers’ inboxes in the coming days. For now, today’s Q2 release marks a pivotal milestone: the first material monetisation of its Streaming & Cloud Services IP. (1/4)
There are important accounting and cash-flow nuances. We’ll address these, as well as the Disney opportunity which we continue to see as a 2026 event, in our full note. Subscribe: https://t.co/ZP3slF28gS (4/4)
UPC Mannheim hearing went very well for InterDigital — Disney highly likely to be enjoined (as predicted by ip fray) on June 16
$IDCC $DIS
https://t.co/sZMziVgujf
For context, @InterDigitalCom is guiding for $300m of ARR by 2030 for the entire streaming division by 2030.
We recently provided an update to our thoughts breaking down potential expectations around this: https://t.co/HodycLOkuB
$IDCC #IDCC
BREAKING: InterDigital seeking $200M/yr. from Amazon for license to streaming patents, according to Amazon lawyer in UK court
Amazon's counsel breached a protective order and revealed, seemingly inadvertently, this number in open court.
$IDCC $AMZN
https://t.co/pIak5eZBmd
It was always unlikely, but nevertheless an important negative tailrisk with regards to $IDCC. Good to see common sense prevail and be put to bed: https://t.co/CfsuikBA6B
Unified Patent Court threatens Amazon with initial €50M ($59M) fine, “severe consequences”, declares all UK interim licenses unenforceable, suggests EU WTO action against UK
$IDCC $AMAZN
https://t.co/wbuuFwNexi