Angling Assets

Rancher | Angler | DoberDad | DataFreak

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

November through April represents the strongest six-month period of the year for the S&P 500. When this natural seasonal momentum coincides with the resolution of midterm election uncertainty, the combined effect can trigger powerful multi-month market advances.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Is France too big to fail?

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Over past century, stock market performance in year following midterm election shows a consistency rarely matched by other macro indicators:
Over 12 months: In roughly 90% of midterm cycles since 1920, U.S. stock market was higher 12 months after election than on election day

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Strong average 12-month gain: The average S&P 500 return in the 12 months following a midterm election is approximately 16%, nearly double the average 8.1% annual return of non-midterm years.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

The year-3 effect: In the standard four-year presidential cycle, year 3 – the calendar year immediately following the midterm election (2027 in this cycle) – is historically the strongest of all four years, averaging gains above 16%.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

@great_martis Diesel remains the real threat

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

https://t.co/ARQQxyO1c1

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

AI CapEx And Earnings: What Happens When Growth Slows https://t.co/N8Y1lnHT3I

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

If you need everything to be perfect, it is control not peace.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

https://t.co/g7eJbRbXRC

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

The Canary 🦜 in the Coal Mine⚫️

While the cattle focuses on US futures, something ominous is developing on the eastern belt.

The Taiwan index, the heart of the AI boom, is starting to let go. If there was ever a smoke signal of an impending collapse, this is it.

Stay safe, vigilant, disciplined, and remain a little curious.
But most of all, stay informed.

Yours truly.
The Great Martis💫

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

https://t.co/xYVIv2IhIa

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

The complete AI fund flows

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

https://t.co/MJtQZRBKxX

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

$1.6 trillion in projected AI capex drives 5% of 2027 sales and 25% of sales growth.
Half of that capex is debt-funded.
Would be a pity if something happened to the debt market.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Are experts really experts when they say 'inflation is hotter than expected' ?

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

42 AI stocks accounted for roughly 67% of S&P 500 price returns, 58% of earnings growth, and 81% of capex and R&D growth since January 2024.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Black Monday October 19, 1987 markets crashed 22%.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Now that America is embracing public executions, let's FINALLY unseal The Epstein Files and get going ;!)

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

@zerohedge In other words: Warsh is kowtowing to Trump when he should raise at least 25bps this month. And Trump is blaming everyone but himself. Lagging effects of 50%+ diesel have not even fully hit yet. Food and Energy inflation will remain hot in 2027.

[Angling Assets @AnglingAssets]

Fed will hike 25bps Oct 28. And it will be like a firecracker hitting an asteroid the size of Texas. Everyone is wrong about 2027 'return to normal' CPI and PCE projections. Lagging effects from 50%+ diesel have not even fully hit prices yet.