Anthony M

I track tropical cyclones around the world, severe weather & winter storms❄️/patterns. Also a future meteorologist who loves weather, dogs🦮 & Chicago Bears🐻⬇️

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@Brian59392320 Here you go

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

It is not often you get a pattern this favorable to come together especially around Christmas. Now this doesn’t guarantee snow in the southeast, but as shown on the 12z EPS the 23rd through the end of the month has potential. We just need everything to come together right.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@traddsi Here’s Charleston, there’s a non zero chance but like I’m sure your aware of it isn’t easy getting snow at the SC coast.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@12_mehtab Through the end of the month at least, definitely looks to have some staying power. It’s not one of those in and out cold shots.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@12_mehtab The GEFS one is acting weird, it doesn’t seem to be loading properly.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@CacaceWX @SCweather_wx It’s possible, it’s also possible the energy gets suppressed and we stay cold and dry. We are from a final solution but the setup has high potential if everything goes right.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@SCweather_wx If everything comes together right it could definitely be something special. All we can do is hope for the best. 🤞

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@CacaceWX @SCweather_wx I wouldn’t rule out anything at this point.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

It’s worth keeping an eye on the 7-10 day timeframe in the east as an active jet stream sets up with strong blocking to the north, a deeply negative -EPO and a clipper/Miller B type storm to bring in some colder air ahead of it. As always the track of this low will be key.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@RyanECU Yep when the gulf moisture from the south and cold air crashes together fun things happen. Snow in NC is never certain but this is the pattern to do it, just need everything to come together right.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

This is one of the most impressive ensemble runs I have seen in a while. We have all 4 major teleconnections (-NAO, -AO, +PNA, -EPO) lining up to deliver at the very least some cold air, but also the potential for snow even as far south as the SE. We will see. 👀🤞

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@SethMonteith150 It would be nice, nothing is certain down here but it’s a good pattern at least.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@MattSenior19 It’s alright and thank you, hoping for a good winter for the entire east coast 🤞

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

As we head into December it is looking likely that a monster ridge is going to set up around Greenland tanking the NAO index. The NAO, EPO and AO all being negative is a great look for the EC, but the only issue is the PNA struggles to flip positive making the SE ridge a concern.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@MattSenior19 It depends where you live, I live in NC so for us it’s a bigger concern. It definitely could end up helping areas further north as long as it isn’t too strong.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@BradyBGWX Yeah definitely, especially with these kind of setups we usually see a lot of changes sometimes even 12-24 hours out. It’s just nice to finally have some winter weather to track even if nothing comes out of it.

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

At hour 144 on the 12z Euro you can see the cold air is in place but it keeps the southern wave a lot more strung out/flat than the GFS does. The CMC is on the Euro’s side right now but we will see how things trend.

[Eric Webb @webberweather]

Tho model support for this system late next week looks bleak, (potential) overrunning type winter storms like this have a reputation for busting wetter/further north than modeled. I'd keep an eye on this if I was in the Carolinas & southern mid-Atlantic.

#ncwx #vawx

[Anthony M @AnthonyMweather]

@ManleyWeather @WeathersWX @wx_virginia I’m just happy too see snow show up on models even if the chances of it happening are very low. Charlotte is lucky to get snow in mid January let alone November. Lol