The AI CapEx supply chain is seeing euphoric stages where prices are dislocated from fundamentals. Analysts are lost, with some doubling price targets. This intense euphoria often precedes aggressive corrections, but timing the exact moment is difficult.
#StockMarket#AI
Is this the end for SanDisk? No one knows if DRAM memory companies can enter a super cycle, as it's never happened before. Professionals are baffled, asking 'Is it different this time?'
#TechNews#SanDisk#DRAM
Jobless claims are at a 57-year low, but don't get too comfortable yet. Higher oil prices may not stick around. Watch closely in the next 4-6 weeks for potential shifts.
#Economy#Markets
On 30 May I am doing a live seminar in London with Will and Rich.
Princess Alexandra Hall Β· Six Park Place Β· Mayfair
Presentations from 2pm. Panel Q&A at 4.15pm. Evening at Langan's.
Will Nutting has 30 years in equities.
His session is called Look Out The F Window.
His argument: the best long-term investing decisions come from observing the real world rather than staring at a screen.
Harder than it sounds when markets are moving.
This is why options matter.
Not as speculation. As protection.
Most retail investors are taught options as a way to amplify returns.
Professionals use them primarily to define and limit risk.
Rich McDonald is covering exactly this on 30 May in London.
On a professional desk you are taught one thing above everything else.
The downside first.
Always the downside first.
Not the upside. Not the opportunity. The downside.
Most retail investors are never taught this.
I spent 23 years on institutional trading desks.
The single biggest difference between professional and retail investors has nothing to do with information.
It has to do with how they think about risk.