ares-observatory

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCSTs (GFS, GDPS & ICON) show opportunities next week and into the following week.
BUL permit still pending.

FLT Plans till 21 JUN (Likelihood: medium-high)

08 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
09 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
10 JUNIMG ROU
thenBUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCSTs (GFS, GDPS & ICON) show opportunities next week and into the following week.
BUL permit still pending.

FLT Plans till 20 JUN (Likelihood: medium-high)

08 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
09 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
10 JUNIMG ROU
thenBUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is again highly unstable.
Observe the difference between 6 hours of synoptic model run time below.
BUL permit still pending.

FLT Plans till 18 JUN (Likelihood: medium)

02-07 JUN-
08 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
09 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
10 JUNIMG ROU
thenBUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX is FCST to somewhat stabilise in the second half of week 24.
BUL permit still pending.

FLT Plans till 17 JUN (Likelihood: medium)

02-07 JUN-
08 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
09 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
10 JUNIMG ROU
thenBUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable into the 2nd week of JUN.
BUL permit still pending.

FLT Plans till 16 JUN (Likelihood: medium)

01 JUNROU Permit received
02-07 JUN-
08 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
09 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
10 JUNIMG ROU
thenBUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable into the 2nd week of JUN.
Possibly clear on 06-07 JUN for BUL.
Permits still pending.

FLT Plans till 15 JUN (Likelihood: low)

01 JUNReassess Permits
02 JUN-
03 JUN-
04 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4?
05 JUNXFER CHE to BUL/ROU
then BUL/ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable into the 2nd week of JUN.
Clear on SAT 06 JUN, then patchy again.
Permits are still pending.

FLT Plans till 14 JUN (Likelihood: low)

01 JUNReassess Permits
02 JUN-
03 JUN-
04 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4?
05 JUNXFER CHE to BUL/ROU
then BUL/ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable in the 1st week of JUN.
Some possibly clear days from SAT onwards.
Permits are still pending.

FLT Plans till 13 JUN

01 JUNReassess Permits
02 JUN-
03 JUN-
04 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4?
05 JUNXFER CHE to BUL/ROU
then BUL/ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

Common abbreviations used in our posts: (part 2)

OktaRelated to clearness of sky (0/8 = clear, 8/8 = overcast)
PMAfternoon
SGCPSpectral Ground Control Point
STBYStand-by (aircraft remaining on ground)
WXWeather
XCKCross Check
XFERTransfer (of aircraft between sites)

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

For reference, here are the common abbreviations used in our posts: (part 1)

AMMorning
COMCommunication
CKCheck
FCSTForecast
FLTFlight
GCPGround Control Point
IMGImaging or Image
HHigh pressure system
LLow pressure system

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable in the 1st week of JUN.
Permits are still delayed, we postpone the build-in till this is resolved.

FLT Plans till 12 JUN

01 JUNReassess Permits
02 JUNBuffer
03 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4?
then BUL/ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable.
GFS, GDPS and ECMWF are divergent.
From mid of week 23 we expect diurnal patterns of clear AM followed by convective cloud.
Probability of the following plan is medium.

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
02 JUNXFER CHE to BUL
03-11 JUNBUIL, then ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable, no clear H in sight.
GFS and ECMWF are divergent. We also compare GDPS with GFS.
Probability of the following plan is medium.

FLT Plans till 10 JUN

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
02 JUNXFER CHE to ROU/BUL
03-10 JUNROU/BUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable, no clear H in sight.
GFS and ECMWF are divergent.
Probability of the following plan is medium; planning for opportunistic half-day sorties.

FLT Plans till 09 JUN

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
02 JUNXFER CHE to ROU/BUL
03-09 JUNROU/BUL

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable.
Probability of the following plan is low.

FLT Plans till 08 JUN

01 JUN-
02-03 JUN -
04 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
05 JUNXFER CHE to ROU
06 JUNROU
07 JUNXFER BUL
08 JUNBUL
then Back to ROU

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is remaining unstable.
The unknowns of BUL IMG inspection aggravate the situation.
Probability of the following plan is low.

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4 (AM), XFER CHE to BUL
02-03 JUN BUL targets
04 JUNBuffer for IMG Inspection
05 JUNROU
06 JUNSTBY

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

WX FCST is rather marginal for the mission area with ECMWF being less optimistic than GFS.
Probability of the following plan is low.

FLT Plans till 05 JUN

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4 (AM), XFER CHE to ROU
02 JUN ROU targets
03 JUNROU targets
04 JUNSTBY
05 JUNSTBY

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

ARES is preparing for its first FLT campaign this year in Bulgaria and Romania.
Plans are dynamic at this point due to long-term WX FCSTs being uncertain.

FLT Plans till 04 JUN

01 JUNBuild-in AVIRIS-4
02 JUN XFER CHE to BUL
03 JUNBuffer
04 JUNIMG BUL targets

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

Back at the home base, establishing the vacuum again during warmup.

[ares-observatory @AresObservatory]

Mission MAJORITY is completed: nicely diffuse!