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Stack $AVAX while it lasts ๐ https://t.co/4XT7Ai4PBq ๐ฅ๐ฅ
Options compute does not belong inside an onchain VM. Derive V3 moving to offchain matching with ZK settlement on Ethereum is the right evolution.
Continuous Greeks and portfolio margin break execution layers. Offchain risk engines plus ZK proofs remove the latency bottleneck.
Binance launching options on 1,000 US stocks & ETFs alongside Bitget rolling out US equity options in USDT marks an expansion of derivatives access for global retail.
For traders outside the US, the setup offers direct capital efficiency: posting USDT margin, trading equities alongside crypto under unified portfolio margin, and removing traditional banking rails.
Looking at the underlying financial plumbing, the trade-offs split across distinct models:
TradFi brokerage (Robinhood / retail brokers)
Orders route through PFOF/market makers, with clearing settled centrally via OCC central clearing.
โข Trade-offs: Standard market hours and strict margin/PDT limits, backed by established regulatory clearing.
CEX offshore equity options (Binance & Bitget)
Trades execute with Stablecoin (USDT) margin. Positions utilize unified portfolio margin with crypto, routed via omnibus broker accounts / OTC dealer arrangements with centralized clearing/custody.
โข Trade-offs: Global capital efficiency and continuous execution, dependent on centralized clearing intermediaries and omnibus dealer custody.
30-year Treasury yields just hit 5.2%. Highest since 2001.
Here's why every options trader should care: higher yields = higher cost of carry = every call option just got repriced.
In equity options, the risk-free rate feeds directly into Black-Scholes. When that rate jumps, forward prices rise, calls get more expensive, puts get cheaper. Portfolio hedges that worked at 3% rates look completely different at 5%.
Now here's where it gets spicy for crypto: BTC options pricing uses the same math, but your "risk-free rate" is staking yield. ETH staking at ~3.5%, various DeFi rates even higher. That means crypto options have been living with elevated cost of carry for years.
Tradfi options traders just woke up to what onchain options traders already deal with every day. The math is the same. The only difference is crypto figured it out first. ๐น๐ฅ
Every options trader on TradFi Twitter knows the MSCI rebalance play.
Index gets reshuffled โ scheduled buying/selling pressure โ implied vol spikes on affected names โ you sell premium into the crush.
Crypto has its own version now. BTC gets added to an index? Same playbook. Known catalyst date with directional flow and vol expansion baked in.
Onchain options let you express the trade without a broker, a margin call, or a 4 AM wire transfer. โก
Crypto projects can react in near real time to market conditions, selling into rallies more aggressively than public companies. The projects that do this the most, underperform relative to their peers.
New joint work with @MichaelCNowotny.
Tokens that print the fastest underperform the most.
Long the supply-stable, short the fastest diluters: 35โ45%/yr, Sharpe 1.39 (t=3.67), 2021โ2026. BTC buy-and-hold over the same window: 0.44.
And it isn't reversal in disguise. New piece with @0xprotean:
https://t.co/16x3MXMcPJ
Cross-sectional reversal in cryptocurrency returns is substantial. We extended our 70-name panel to a universe of 500 symbols and applied real-time selection criteria. Long-short (LMW) portfolios sorted on past returns and volatility generate high mean returns and high Sharpe ratios. Past winners sell off on average, and past losers rebound episodically. The effect is concentrated in projects with discretionary treasury management - a point we are continuing to investigate.