Artificial Bets

Statistician who got tired of flawed sports betting analysis.

Evaluating individual player performance using AI to find advantages the general public overlooks

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

Feeling amazing about the new AI tool and how it's pulling data and applying it

For anyone new, I had to start this because all baseball analysis for gambling is flawed and it was annoying me

We should be looking at per at-bat, strengths/weaknesses per pitch

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

I’ll never understand why anyone gives me a platform, but they can’t take it away now.

https://t.co/PMKRlIldg6

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

@Ka_Kahn Yeah a few days. Give or take 9 months

[Mat Ishbia @Mishbia15]

Winning starts with our fans. When I walk the concourse at games there aren’t food options for families who don’t want to spend a lot of money. That needs to change, so today we’re rolling out our $2 value menu for all home @Suns games.

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

stepping away for a few days, be back soon with actual readable graphics

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

Lead off hitters 0-10 through 5 innings, lost by .5 runs as Kikuchi shut out the Orioles through 5

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️Early MLB Play⚾️

Blue Jays / Orioles First 5 Over 4.5 (-104)

- Orioles #1 in OPS last 15 days

- First career start for Povich - 32% K rate in AAA is great, but he's a lefty facing 7 right handed batters and I expect some long counts

- Kikuchi (LHP) facing 7 RHB and has given up 10 earned in his last 8 innings (Pirates/Tigers)

- Blue Jays #10 in OPS last 15 days

- Blue Jays being favored and over/under of 8.5 runs in this game points to traffic on the bases

- Orioles 7th best road OPS

I expect base runners early and often and Povich to start potentially erratic, hopefully a few will cross the plate.

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

Ends up hitting into a double play on an 0-2 count where he had to chase outside the zone

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

Baseball is getting harder and harder to watch. First pitch of an ab calling a ball 6” off the plate a strike completely changes the at bat and the inning

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

Baseball is getting harder and harder to watch. First pitch of an ab calling a ball 6” off the plate a strike completely changes the at bat and the inning

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️ Early Hit Parlay⚾️

(-111)

Davis Scheider to get a hit
Josh Naylor to get a hit

- Lefty/Righty advantage split
- Hitting in top 4
- Playing for team favored to win
- AI points to ++ matchup

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️Early MLB Play⚾️

Blue Jays / Orioles First 5 Over 4.5 (-104)

- Orioles #1 in OPS last 15 days

- First career start for Povich - 32% K rate in AAA is great, but he's a lefty facing 7 right handed batters and I expect some long counts

- Kikuchi (LHP) facing 7 RHB and has given up 10 earned in his last 8 innings (Pirates/Tigers)

- Blue Jays #10 in OPS last 15 days

- Blue Jays being favored and over/under of 8.5 runs in this game points to traffic on the bases

- Orioles 7th best road OPS

I expect base runners early and often and Povich to start potentially erratic, hopefully a few will cross the plate.

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

sure why not, worked last time I did it

Anthony Santander to strike out in first at bat +240

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️ 06/06 NRFI AI Model ⚾️

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️06/05 NRFI Model⚾️

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

@roche0804 @Bets_Conn

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

#NRFI Play of the Day -

Rays / Marlins NRFI (-135)

Rays 27th worst OPS in baseball last 15 games

Marlins 23rd worst out of 30 teams

Marlins last in MLB last 15 games with just 16 walks, next lowest is 24, they are having real issues at the plate lately.

Jesus Luzardo since returning from IL has given up 3 runs in 20 innings, and oddly all 3 runs were batted in by Jurickson Profar.

SP for the Rays, Ryan Pepoit, is the real deal. Posting a .95 WHIP, above average OPS and barrel rate so far in 2024.

And did I mention Vegas has this best NRFI of the day?
(Marlins NRFI -350, Rays NRFI -325).

Ship it, taking with confidence

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

@JaredErickson17 These NRFIs man. It was cruising too

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

@Bets_Conn It’s insane… once I saw the line flip to -145 I got nervous

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

@Benhuson7 lol sorry my bad. I flipped them today to match the order of the rankings. I am horrible at formatting

[Artificial Bets @ArtificialBets]

⚾️ NRFI AI Model 06/04⚾️