Arya

Entrepreneur/Data Geek. Applying machine learning to online advertising and to financial markets

[Arya @AryaV]

Jensen’s inequality:
E[f(x)] ≥ f(E[x])
…if f(x) is convex

This is the reason we must do things.

When the world is convex, the "noise" of reality is actually a bonus. The messiness, the outliers, and the unexpected wins mean the actual outcome of action will always pull ahead of your static expectations.

[Scottie Pippen @ScottiePippen]

Nobody teaches you that discipline feels like punishment until the results start feeling like freedom

[Beff (e/acc) @beffjezos]

The rarest object type in the universe isn't black holes. It's us. Conscious matter. The flame of life.

We have a duty to expand it in scope and scale in order to preserve it.

[Arya @AryaV]

@OfficialLoganK @GoogleAIStudio 👋

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

Albania has appointed an AI-generated government minister who will avoid getting corrupted.

[Arya @AryaV]

@nope_its_lily I met the guy whose (grand)mother invented the Tiramisu. You couldn’t eat it - it was dense and heavy like a 1970s desert

[Arya @AryaV]

🎯

[Patrick Saner @patrick_saner]

The Swiss Franc (CHF) keeps strengthening - even as the SNB has returned to ZIRP and volatility has declined. This goes against the conventional wisdom and argues something else is going on.

A few points below.

[Arya @AryaV]

@businessbarista Ai

[Arya @AryaV]

@patio11 Please check @warpdotdev - I use it as my primary shell and it automatically pipes all errors to an LLM and fixes them for me.
(no connection just a happy user)

[Arya @AryaV]

@patio11 Use @warpdotdev as your shell - you’ll never have that problem ever again

[Arya @AryaV]

@rexsalisbury Does anyone have a sample side letter that can be used with a safe to ensure conversion in (say) 18-24 months even if the company doesn’t raise more money

[Arya @AryaV]

15/16 apparently had the best weather in the region - well-balanced summer and winter. Sassicaia 15 was very sophisticated and “elegant” whereas the 16 was very powerful, and probably could take a few more years to mature

[Arya @AryaV]

Wall to wall Sassicaia 2013-2018. The 13 was flat. The 15 was excellent! @MiamKitty

[Arya @AryaV]

This exactly - All taxes are a balance between extraction and disincentivization. The state needs to find a point along that curve where tax revenue is maximized for taxes that affect productivity.
(Sin taxes on the other hand would be aimed at maximizing disincentives while minimizing non-compliance)

https://t.co/wrWcA6bg4K

[Arya @AryaV]

@jburnmurdoch Have you considered the impact of IHT on living persons? If they’re going to be taxed away anyways would it reduce the willingness to generate more wealth, and hence reduce the productivity of the wealthiest (and in some cases most productive) people in society?

[Arya @AryaV]

@bbsteamer @ChaoticInvestor @kittysquiddy @roaringmeows @josephdviviano @bbsteamer Can I please DM you regarding a particular data point in KIA

[Arya @AryaV]

@patio11 Someone launched this for the Indian stock market

https://t.co/AGP7Q6JPHW

[Abid Hassan 🇮🇳 @abidsensibull]

#VerifiedBySensibull is out.
Here is the first one from me.
https://t.co/OBEHR7agmT

To share your P&L, please go to https://t.co/mdbZUIdn9i

[Arya @AryaV]

@kittysquiddy Happy to contribute if I can. Can provide international/india data if it helps.